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Breast cancer risk assessment and risk distribution in 3,491 Slovenian women invited for screening at the age of 50; a population-based cross-sectional study


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FIGURE 1.

10-year breast cancer risk distribution in Slovenian women, aged 50 years, by using S-IBIS without breast density data and with breast density data. Clopper-Pearson 95% confidence intervals are shown.
10-year breast cancer risk distribution in Slovenian women, aged 50 years, by using S-IBIS without breast density data and with breast density data. Clopper-Pearson 95% confidence intervals are shown.

Questionnaire content used for Slovenian International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (S-IBIS) evaluation tool score calculation

Factors affecting levels of endogenous hormones (menarche, menopause, first birth age).
Exogenous hormone intake (menopause hormone replacement therapy).
Anthropometric characteristics (height, weight).
Breast biopsy (done, not done, presence of atypia, atypical hyperplasia).
Family history of breast and ovarium cancer (mother, sisters, half-sisters, daughters, grandmothers, aunts, male relatives).
Ovarian cancer of the participants.

Number of screening mammographies among 3,491 women through their whole screening period (aged 50–69 years) in case of different screening scenarios

Risk category Lifetime breast cancer risk 10-year breast cancer risk

Age-based screening (current screening)17 Slovenian risk-based screening18 Age-based screening (current screening)17 PROCAS risk-based screening27
Low risk 11,860 4,744
Population risk 34,130 34,130 21,720 15,204
Moderately increased risk 770 1,540 1,190 1,190
High risk 10 20 140 280
Total 34,910 35,690 34,910 21,418

10-year and lifetime breast cancer risk frequencies in the study group (risk calculated with the Slovenian International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (S-IBIS) evaluation tool, breast density information included) (N = 3,491)

Risk category Frequency (N) Per cent (%)
10-year breast cancer risk
  low 1,186 34.0
  population 2,172 62.2
  moderately increased 119 3.4
  high 14 0.4
Lifetime breast cancer risk
  population 3,413 97.8
  moderately increased 77 2.2
  high 1 0.03

Characteristics of study participants (n = 3,491)

Frequency (N) Per cent (%)
Family history: first-degree relatives with breast/ovarian cancer (mother, father, sisters, daughters)
  positive (1 relative) 326 9.3
  positive (2 or more relatives) 28 0.8
  negative 2,854 81.8
  unknown 283 8.1
Family history: second-degree relatives with breast/ovarian cancer (aunts, uncles, grandmothers, half-sisters)
  positive (1 relative) 437 12.5
  positive (2 or more relatives) 148 4.2
  negative 2,552 73.1
  unknown 354 10.1
Age (years) at menarche
  < 13 1,138 32.6
  13 940 26.9
  > 13 1,339 38.4
  unknown 74 2.1
Age (years) at first birth
  < 25 1,570 45.0
  25–28 736 21.1
  29–34 659 18.9
  35 191 5.5
  nulliparous 335 9.6
  unknown 0 0.0
Menopausal status
  premenopausal 1,392 39.9
  perimenopausal 632 18.1
  postmenopausal 631 18.1
  unknown 836 23.9
HRT usage
  yes 286 8.2
  no 3,123 89.5
  unknown 82 2.3
Breast biopsy
  no biopsy 3,123 89.5
  biopsy (hyperplasia, atypical hyperplasia, LCIS) 21 0.6
  biopsy (else) 44 1.3
  biopsy (unknown result) 256 7.3
  unknown if biopsy done 47 1.3
Breast density
  BI-RADS a 215 6.2
  BI-RADS b 1,802 51.6
  BI-RADS c 1,410 40.4
  BI-RADS d 34 1.0
  unknown (no screening mammography) 30 0.9
BMI
  < 19 48 1.4
  19–25 1,165 33.4
  > 25 1,336 38.3
  unknown 942 27.0

Breast cancer risk categories for Slovenian women at the age of 50 and risk-based screening scenarios according to different protocols18,24,26

Breast cancer risk category Lifetime risk 10-year risk Slovenian risk-based screening guidelines18,25 PROCAS study protocol27
Low risk (%) ** < 1.3 ** 5-year mammography screening interval
Population risk (%) < 16 1.3–3.9 2-year mammography screening interval 3-year mammography screening interval
Moderately increased risk (%) 16–30 4.0–6.5 1-year mammography screening interval 2-year mammography screening interval
High risk (%) > 30 > 6.5 1-year mammography screening interval 1-year mammography screening interval
eISSN:
1581-3207
Język:
Angielski
Częstotliwość wydawania:
4 razy w roku
Dziedziny czasopisma:
Medicine, Clinical Medicine, Internal Medicine, Haematology, Oncology, Radiology