Otwarty dostęp

Utilizing the Foresight Methodology and Delphi Method to Assess Innovation Effectiveness in Advancing Bulgaria’s Green Deal Objectives

  
24 lip 2025

Zacytuj
Pobierz okładkę

Barder O., Ramalingam B. (2012). Complexity, adaptation, and results, Center For Global Development, Retrieved from https://www.cgdev.org/blog/complexity-adaptation-and-resultsSearch in Google Scholar

Berkhout F., Hertin J. (2002). Foresight futures scenarios: Developing and applying a participative strategic planning tool, ‘Greener management International’, vol. 37, Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282069810_Foresight_futures_scenarios_Developing_and_applying_a_participative_strategic_planning_toolSearch in Google Scholar

Bohnerth J. C. (2015). Energy Cooperatives in Denmark, Germany and Sweden – a Transaction Cost Approach, Uppsala Universitet, Retrieved from http://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:820202/FULLTEXT01.pdfSearch in Google Scholar

Bonaccio S., Dalal R. S. (2006). Advice taking and decision-making: An integrative literature review, and implications for the organizational sciences, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, vol.101, issue 2, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0749597806000719Search in Google Scholar

Ecken P., Gnatzy T., Gracht H. A. (2011). Desirability bias in foresight: Consequences for decision quality based on Delphi results, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.78, issue 9, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162511001193Search in Google Scholar

Georghiou L. (1996). The UK technology foresight programme, Futures, vol.28, issue 4, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0016328796000134Search in Google Scholar

Gnatzy T., Warth J., Gracht H., Darkow I-L. (2011). Validating an innovative real-time Delphi approach - A methodological comparison between real-time and conventional Delphi studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.78, issue 9, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162511000813Search in Google Scholar

Johnson T.R., Budescu D. V., Wallsten T. S. (2001). Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic value, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Retrieved from https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.369Search in Google Scholar

Jolson M. A., Rossow G. L. (1971). The Delphi Process in Marketing Decision Making. Journal of Marketing Research, 8(4), Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1177/002224377100800406Search in Google Scholar

Habegger B. (2020). Strategic Foresight in public policy: Reviewing the experiences of the UK, Singapore, and the Netherlands, Futures, vol. 42, issue 1, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016328709001402Search in Google Scholar

Lamberson P. J., Page S. E. (2011). Optimal Forecasting Groups, Management Scienece, vol57, No4, Retrieved from https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/mnsc.1110.1441Search in Google Scholar

Loveridge, D. (2008). Foresight: The art and science of anticipating the future, Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/286106557_Foresight_The_Art_and_Science_of_Anticipating_the_FutureSearch in Google Scholar

Martin, B. (1995). Foresight in science and technology, Technology, Analysis and Strategic Management, Retrieved from https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09537329508524202Search in Google Scholar

Rowe G. Wright G. (1999). The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis, International Journal of Forecasting, vol.15, Issue 4, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207099000187Search in Google Scholar

Sniezek J. A., Schrah G. E. (2004). Improving judgment with prepaid expert advice, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Retrieved from https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.468Search in Google Scholar

Soll J. B. (1999). Intuitive Theories of Information: Beliefs about the Value of Redundancy, Cognitive Pscyhology, vol. 38, issue 2, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0010028598906995Search in Google Scholar

Voros J. (2003). Generic Foresight Process Framework, Foresight, vol.5, Issue 5, Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235308871_A_generic_foresight_process_frameworkSearch in Google Scholar

Wiersema M. F., Bantel K. A. (2017). Top Management Team Demography and Corporate Strategic Change, Academy of Management Journal. vol.35, No1, Retrieved from https://journals.aom.org/doi/abs/10.5465/256474Search in Google Scholar

Yaniv I., (2011). Group diversity and decision quality: Amplification and attenuation of the framing effect, International Journal of Forecasting, vol.27, issue 1, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207010000944Search in Google Scholar

Yaniv I., Milyavsky M (2007). Using advice from multiple sources to revise and improve judgments, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process, vol.103, issue 1, Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S074959780600063XSearch in Google Scholar