Otwarty dostęp

Examining the Impact of Legal Arizona Worker Act on Native Female Labor Supply in the United States


Zacytuj

Figure 1

LAWA and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
LAWA and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure 2

LAWA and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
LAWA and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure 3

Native high-skilled female participation rate
Native high-skilled female participation rate

Figure 4

Native high-skilled female weekly hours (hours > 0)
Native high-skilled female weekly hours (hours > 0)

Figure 5

Native low-skilled female participation rate
Native low-skilled female participation rate

Figure 6

Native low-skilled female weekly hours (hours > 0)
Native low-skilled female weekly hours (hours > 0)

Figure 7

Native high-skilled female daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children
Native high-skilled female daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children

Figure 8

Native low-skilled female daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children
Native low-skilled female daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children

Figure 9

Wages in household service occupations (housekeepers, gardeners, and childcare workers)
Wages in household service occupations (housekeepers, gardeners, and childcare workers)

Figure 10

Size of immigrant workforce in household service occupations
Size of immigrant workforce in household service occupations

Figure 11

Size of native workforce in household service occupations
Size of native workforce in household service occupations

Figure 12

Size of household service occupations workforce
Size of household service occupations workforce

Figure 13

Robustness check: taking into account pre-treatment match quality
Robustness check: taking into account pre-treatment match quality

Figure 14

Robustness check: leave-one-out test
Robustness check: leave-one-out test

Figure A1

Alabama universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
Alabama universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure A2

Alabama universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
Alabama universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure A3

Georgia universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
Georgia universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure A4

Georgia universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
Georgia universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure A5

Mississippi universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
Mississippi universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure A6

Mississippi universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
Mississippi universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure A7

North carolina universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
North carolina universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure A8

North carolina universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
North carolina universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure A9

South carolina universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
South carolina universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure A10

South carolina universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
South carolina universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure A11

Utah universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce
Utah universal e-verify and size of low-skilled immigrant workforce

Figure A12

Utah universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce
Utah universal e-verify and share of low-skilled immigrants in workforce

Figure A13

Native female weekly hours (0-25 wage pct. | hours >0)
Native female weekly hours (0-25 wage pct. | hours >0)

Figure A14

Native female weekly hours (25-50 wage pct. | hours>0)
Native female weekly hours (25-50 wage pct. | hours>0)

Figure A15

Native female weekly hours (50-75 wage pct. | hours>0)
Native female weekly hours (50-75 wage pct. | hours>0)

Figure A16

Native female weekly hours (75-100 wage pct. | hours>0)
Native female weekly hours (75-100 wage pct. | hours>0)

Figure A17

Native married women participation rate
Native married women participation rate

Figure A18

Native married women weekly hours (hours > 0)
Native married women weekly hours (hours > 0)

Figure A19

Native high-skilled male participation rate
Native high-skilled male participation rate

Figure A20

Native high-skilled male weekly hours (hours > 0)
Native high-skilled male weekly hours (hours > 0)

Figure A21

Native Low-skilled Male Participation Rate
Native Low-skilled Male Participation Rate

Figure A22

Native low-skilled male weekly hours (hours > 0)
Native low-skilled male weekly hours (hours > 0)

Figure A23

Native high-skilled male daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children
Native high-skilled male daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children

Figure A24

Native low-skilled male daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children
Native low-skilled male daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children

Figure A25

Size of immigrant workforce (male) in household service occupations
Size of immigrant workforce (male) in household service occupations

Figure A26

Size of immigrant workforce (female) in household service occupations
Size of immigrant workforce (female) in household service occupations

Figure A27

Size of native workforce (male) in household service occupations
Size of native workforce (male) in household service occupations

Figure A28

Size of native workforce (female) in household service occupations
Size of native workforce (female) in household service occupations

Figure A29

Low-skilled natives occupational income score (male)
Low-skilled natives occupational income score (male)

Figure A30

Low-skilled natives occupational income score (female)
Low-skilled natives occupational income score (female)

Figure A31

Low-skilled natives employment rate (male)
Low-skilled natives employment rate (male)

Figure A32

Low-skilled natives employment rate (female)
Low-skilled natives employment rate (female)

Weights used in construction of synthetic control for low-skilled immigrant analysis in Table 2

StatesArizonaAlabamaGeorgiaMississippiNorth CarolinaSouth CarolinaUtah
Size ofworkforceShare ofworkforceSize ofworkforceShare ofworkforceSize ofworkforceShare ofworkforceSize ofworkforceShare ofworkforceSize ofworkforceShare ofworkforceSize ofworkforceShare ofworkforceSize ofworkforceShare ofworkforce
Alaska0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.2570.0350.0000.0000.0620.0000.0000.001
Arkansas0.0000.0000.0000.0370.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0410.0000.0000.0000.000
California0.0000.1070.0000.0000.0000.0180.0000.0000.0000.0090.0000.0000.0000.000
Colorado0.1350.2190.0000.0000.1990.1890.0000.0000.0000.1180.0000.0000.0000.420
Connecticut0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Delaware0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0090.0000.0000.0000.0060.0430.1510.0000.000
District of0.0000.0000.0300.0110.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0320.000
Columbia
Florida0.1520.2710.0000.0000.0470.0680.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Hawaii0.0000.0000.0340.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Idaho0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0460.0000.0000.0000.000
Illinois0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Indiana0.0000.0000.0000.0000.2190.0000.0000.0000.3100.1470.0970.2610.0000.000
Iowa0.0000.0000.0000.0420.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Kansas0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.271
Kentucky0.0000.0000.4070.3700.3260.2440.0000.0000.0000.0000.3670.2120.0000.000
Louisiana0.0500.0000.4540.4320.0000.0170.3700.1960.1710.0340.1650.2510.1510.044
Maine0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Maryland0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0740.0330.0000.0000.0660.0000.0000.0000.0460.000
Massachusetts0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Michigan0.0000.0000.0000.0440.0000.0000.0000.2610.0280.0240.0000.0010.0000.000
Minnesota0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Missouri0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Montana0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Nebraska0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Nevada0.0830.0000.0000.0000.0090.0620.0000.0000.0000.0520.0000.0000.0140.052
New0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0330.0000.5180.086
Hampshire
New Jersey0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
New Mexico0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0710.0000.0000.0000.000
New York0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0400.0000.0000.0000.0210.0070.0000.0000.0000.000
North0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Dakota
Ohio0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.1280.0000.0000.000
Oklahoma0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Oregon0.0000.0000.0570.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0660.0000.0000.0000.000
Pennsylvania0.3130.0000.0190.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Rhode Island0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
South0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Dakota
Tennessee0.0000.0000.0000.0580.0000.2230.0000.0000.1000.3120.0000.0000.0000.000
Texas0.0370.4030.0000.0000.0850.1370.0000.0000.0720.0370.0000.0000.0000.000
Vermont0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Virginia0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0380.0000.0000.0000.0530.000
Washington0.2300.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.1940.0300.1070.1250.1860.127
West Virginia0.0000.0000.0000.0060.0000.0000.3720.5070.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Wisconsin0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Wyoming0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000

Weights used in construction of synthetic Arizona for occupation income score analysis in Table 6

Donor statesOccupation income scoreEmployment rate
Native maleNative femaleNative maleNative female
Alaska0.0000.0000.0000.000
Arkansas0.0000.0000.0000.000
California0.0000.0990.3380.000
Colorado0.1990.2110.0000.621
Connecticut0.0000.0000.0000.000
Delaware0.0000.1750.0270.000
District of Columbia0.0000.0090.0000.000
Florida0.0000.4020.0000.000
Hawaii0.0000.0000.0000.000
Idaho0.0000.0000.0000.000
Illinois0.0000.0000.0000.000
Indiana0.0000.0000.0000.000
Iowa0.0000.0000.0000.000
Kansas0.0000.0000.0000.000
Kentucky0.0000.0000.0000.000
Louisiana0.2190.0000.0000.000
Maine0.0000.0000.0000.000
Maryland0.1840.0240.0070.000
Massachusetts0.0000.0000.0000.000
Michigan0.0000.0000.0000.000
Minnesota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Missouri0.0000.0000.0000.000
Montana0.0000.0000.1980.000
Nebraska0.0000.0000.0000.000
Nevada0.1460.0000.0870.052
New Hampshire0.2180.0000.0000.000
New Jersey0.0000.0000.0000.000
New Mexico0.0200.0000.0000.000
New York0.0000.0000.0000.000
North Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Ohio0.0000.0000.0000.000
Oklahoma0.0000.0000.0000.000
Oregon0.0000.0000.0000.000
Pennsylvania0.0000.0000.0000.000
Rhode Island0.0000.0000.0000.000
South Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Tennessee0.0000.0000.0000.000
Texas0.0000.0810.1100.000
Vermont0.0000.0000.0000.000
Virginia0.0140.0000.0000.000
Washington0.0000.0000.0440.030
West Virginia0.0000.0000.1880.297
Wisconsin0.0000.0000.0000.000
Wyoming0.0000.0000.0000.000

Universal E-verify and low-skilled immigrant workforce

Average pre–post difference in the stateAverage pre–post difference in the synthetic stateDD estimatesRank, lowest to highestP-value from one-tailed test, P (Δ ≤ Δ treat)
A. Arizona (adoption year: 2007)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce23,02771,912–48,8851/440.023
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce–0.0080.003–0.0112/440.045
B. Alabama (adoption year: 2011)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce12,50616,339–3,8337/440.159
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce0.0060.007–0.0028/440.182
C. Georgia (adoption year: 2011)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce39,51341,080–1,56715/440.341
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce0.0050.0030.00226/440.591
D. Mississippi (adoption year: 2008)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce4,2168,181–3,9658/440.182
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce0.0030.0020.00121/440.477
E. North Carolina (adoption year: 2011)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce6602,320–1,66014/440.318
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce0.0010.003–0.0035/440.114
F. South Carolina (adoption year: 2011)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce19,77817,8611,91729/440.659
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce0.0070.0070.00015/440.341
G. Utah (adoption year: 2010)
Size of low-skilled immigrant workforce18,11521,022–2,90711/440.250
Share of low-skilled immigrant in the workforce0.0070.0040.00330/440.682

LAWA and native daily time spent on housework, gardening, and caring for children (hours)

Avgerage pre–post difference in ArizonaAverage pre– post difference in synthetic ArizonaDD EstimatesRank, highest to lowestP-value from one-tailed test, P (△ ≥ △ AZ)
Female
High skilled0.3060.1510.15511/450.244
Low skilled−0.604−0.067−0.53735/380.921
Male
High skilled0.2150.0960.11913/430.302
Low skilled−0.3230.156−0.47934/370.919

Weights used in construction of synthetic Arizona for time-use analysis in Table 4

High-skilled femaleLow-skilled femaleHigh-skilled maleLow-skilled male
Donor statesWeightDonor statesWeightDonor statesWeightDonor statesWeight
Alaska0.010Arkansas0.000Arkansas0.000Arkansas0.002
Arkansas0.000California0.000California0.000California0.000
California0.000Colorado0.000Colorado0.180Colorado0.450
Colorado0.275Connecticut0.000Connecticut0.000Connecticut0.000
Connecticut0.000Florida0.209Delaware0.000Florida0.189
Delaware0.145Hawaii0.043District of0.000Idaho0.000
Columbia
District of0.000Idaho0.073Florida0.064Illinois0.000
Columbia
Florida0.248Illinois0.000Hawaii0.022Indiana0.000
Hawaii0.000Indiana0.000Idaho0.000Iowa0.000
Idaho0.149Iowa0.000Illinois0.000Kansas0.000
Illinois0.000Kansas0.000Indiana0.000Kentucky0.015
Indiana0.000Kentucky0.000Iowa0.000Louisiana0.000
Iowa0.000Louisiana0.000Kansas0.000Maine0.000
Kansas0.000Maryland0.051Kentucky0.000Maryland0.000
Kentucky0.000Massachusetts0.000Louisiana0.188Massachusetts0.000
Louisiana0.046Michigan0.000Maine0.000Michigan0.000
Maine0.000Minnesota0.000Maryland0.000Minnesota0.000
Maryland0.000Missouri0.000Massachusetts0.000Missouri0.000
Massachusetts0.000Montana0.000Michigan0.000Montana0.000
Michigan0.000Nebraska0.000Minnesota0.000Nebraska0.000
Minnesota0.000Nevada0.127Missouri0.000Nevada0.113
Missouri0.000New Hampshire0.000Montana0.000New0.000
Hampshire
Montana0.000New Jersey0.000Nebraska0.000New Jersey0.000
Nebraska0.000New Mexico0.000Nevada0.143New Mexico0.000
Nevada0.126New York0.000New Hampshire0.000New York0.000
New Hampshire0.000Ohio0.000New Jersey0.000North Dakota0.000
New Jersey0.000Oklahoma0.000New Mexico0.000Ohio0.000
New Mexico0.000Oregon0.000New York0.000Oklahoma0.000
New York0.000Pennsylvania0.000North Dakota0.000Oregon0.002
North Dakota0.000Rhode Island0.000Ohio0.000Pennsylvania0.000
Ohio0.000South Dakota0.104Oklahoma0.000Tennessee0.000
Oklahoma0.000Tennessee0.000Oregon0.000Texas0.166
Oregon0.000Texas0.392Pennsylvania0.000Virginia0.063
Pennsylvania0.000Virginia0.000Rhode Island0.000Washington0.000
Rhode Island0.000Washington0.001South Dakota0.089West Virginia0.000
South Dakota0.000West Virginia0.000Tennessee0.000Wisconsin0.000
Tennessee0.000Wisconsin0.000Texas0.205
Texas0.000Vermont0.000
Vermont0.000Virginia0.109
Virginia0.000Washington0.000
Washington0.000West Virginia0.000
West Virginia0.000Wisconsin0.000
Wisconsin0.000
Wyoming0.000

Sensitivity check – excluding post-2010

Average pre–post difference in ArizonaAverage pre– post difference in synthetic ArizonaDD estimatesRankP-value from one-tailed test
A. Native female participation rate
High skilled0.0170.0140.00430/45 (lowestto highest)0.667
Low skilled-0.011-0.007-0.00415/45 (lowestto highest)0.333
B. Native female hours per week
High skilled-0.343-0.201-0.14212/45 (lowestto highest)0.267
Low skilled-0.620-0.455-0.16517/45 (lowestto highest)0.378
C. Household service occupations
Number ofimmigrants11,65017,435-5,7851/44 (lowest tohighest)0.023
Number ofnatives8,8913,4515,4403/45 (highestto lowest)0.067

LAWA and native labor supply

Average pre– post difference in ArizonaAverage pre–post difference in synthetic ArizonaDD estimatesRank, lowest to highestP-value from one-tailed test, P (△ ≤ △ AZ)
A. Native female participation rate
High skilled0.0160.0110.00531/450.689
Low skilled−0.031−0.020−0.0119/450.200
Married0.0170.0090.00836/450.800
B. Native female hours per week
High skilled−0.496−0.244−0.2528/450.178
Low skilled−0.983−0.712−0.27115/450.333
Married−0.1480.070−0.21713/450.289
Wage per hour
percentile
−100−0.3170.106−0.4237/450.156
−75−0.319−0.170−0.14916/450.356
−50−0.505−0.395−0.11015/450.333
−25−1.168−1.017−0.15118/450.400
C. Native male participation rate
High skilled−0.018−0.008−0.0105/450.111
Low skilled−0.069−0.046−0.0236/450.133
D. Native male hours per week
High skilled−1.314−1.083−0.23014/450.311
Low skilled−2.157−1.377−0.7795/450.111

Weights used in construction of synthetic Arizona for household service sector analysis in Table 5

Donor statesHourly wageNative supplyNative maleNative femaleImmigrant supplyImmigrant maleImmigrant femaleOverall supply
Alaska0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Arkansas0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
California0.0000.0640.0000.0560.0000.0150.0000.000
Colorado0.1020.3860.0000.0000.0000.0000.0570.411
Connecticut0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Delaware0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
District of0.0000.0000.0000.0010.0000.0000.0000.000
Columbia
Florida0.2820.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0200.000
Hawaii0.0000.0310.0000.0300.0000.0000.0000.000
Idaho0.0440.0000.0000.0000.1100.0000.0000.011
Illinois0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0420.0580.0000.000
Indiana0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Iowa0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Kansas0.0000.0000.0000.1740.0000.0000.0000.000
Kentucky0.0320.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Louisiana0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Maine0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Maryland0.0380.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Massachusetts0.0000.0000.0000.0840.0000.0000.0000.000
Michigan0.0000.0000.0000.0000.2100.0000.0000.000
Minnesota0.0000.0000.0250.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Missouri0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Montana0.0990.0000.0000.0590.0000.0000.0000.000
Nebraska0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Nevada0.0000.2300.3770.4330.0000.0000.1370.170
New Hampshire0.0000.0190.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
New Jersey0.0000.0000.0920.0000.4430.0000.0000.208
New Mexico0.0000.2310.0000.0000.0000.0000.3360.074
New York0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0170.000
North Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Ohio0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Oklahoma0.0000.0000.4360.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Oregon0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0860.000
Pennsylvania0.0000.0040.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Rhode Island0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
South Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Tennessee0.0000.0000.0000.1590.0000.0000.0000.000
Texas0.4040.0000.0700.0040.1600.3410.1060.099
Vermont0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Virginia0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.5850.2190.000
Washington0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0360.0000.0000.000
West Virginia0.0000.0350.0000.0000.0000.0000.0210.026
Wisconsin0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Wyoming0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000

LAWA and household service occupations’ wages/supply

Average pre–post difference in ArizonaAverage pre– post difference in synthetic ArizonaDD estimatesRankP-value from one-tailed test
A. Price of Household services
Log hourly wages0.0140.0010.01218/45 (highest0.400
to lowest)
B. Household service occupations’ supply
Overall immigrant10,08719,811-9,7241/44 (lowest0.023
supplyto highest)
Male immigrant5,19712,581-7,3831/44 (lowest0.023
to highest)
Female immigrant4,8909,090-4,2001/44 (lowest0.023
to highest)
Overall native12,3914,7557,6361/45 (highest0.022
supplyto lowest)
Native male8,9802,2476,7321/45 (highest0.022
to lowest)
Native female3,4127542,6586/45 (highest0.133
to lowest)
Overall22,47822,17430427/45 (lowest0.600
(immigrant +to highest)
native) supply

Weights used in construction of synthetic Arizona for female labor supply analysis in Table 3

Donor states0–25 pct.25–50 pct.50–75 pct.75–100 pct.
Alaska0.0000.0000.0000.000
Arkansas0.0000.0000.0000.000
California0.0000.0070.0000.000
Colorado0.0640.1690.1980.170
Connecticut0.0000.0000.0000.000
Delaware0.0000.0870.0000.000
District of Columbia0.0140.0100.0000.015
Florida0.0000.3910.1630.406
Hawaii0.0000.0010.0000.000
Idaho0.0000.0190.0000.000
Illinois0.0000.0000.0000.000
Indiana0.0000.0000.0000.054
Iowa0.0000.0000.0000.000
Kansas0.0000.0000.0000.000
Kentucky0.0000.0000.0000.000
Louisiana0.0000.0000.0000.000
Maine0.0000.0000.0000.000
Maryland0.0000.0000.0000.000
Massachusetts0.0000.0000.0000.000
Michigan0.0000.0000.0000.000
Minnesota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Missouri0.0000.0000.0000.000
Montana0.0000.0000.0000.000
Nebraska0.2400.0000.0000.000
Nevada0.1180.0740.2030.095
New Hampshire0.0000.0000.0000.000
New Jersey0.0000.0000.0000.000
New Mexico0.2300.0000.0000.000
New York0.0000.0000.1240.000
North Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Ohio0.0000.0000.0000.000
Oklahoma0.0000.0000.0000.000
Oregon0.0000.0000.0000.000
Pennsylvania0.0000.0000.0000.000
Rhode Island0.0000.0000.0000.000
South Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Tennessee0.0000.0000.0000.000
Texas0.3360.2400.3130.095
Vermont0.0000.0000.0000.000
Virginia0.0000.0000.0000.135
Washington0.0000.0000.0000.000
West Virginia0.0000.0000.0000.031
Wisconsin0.0000.0000.0000.000
Wyoming0.0000.0000.0000.000

LAWA and occupation income score

Average pre–post difference in ArizonaAverage pre– post difference in synthetic ArizonaDD estimatesRankP-value from one-tailed test
A. Occupational income score
Low-skilled-0.844-0.474-0.3693/45 (lowest0.067
native maleto highest)
Low-skilled-0.426-0.5250.09927/45 (lowest0.600
native femaleto highest)
B. Employment rate
Low-skilled-0.101-0.066-0.03542/45 (highest0.933
native maleto lowest)
Low-skilled-0.050-0.027-0.02342/45 (highest0.933
native femaleto lowest)

Weights used in construction of synthetic Arizona for male labor supply analysis in Table 3

Donor statesLabor force participation (LFP)Hours per week
High skilledLow skilledHigh skilledLow skilled
Alaska0.0000.0000.0000.000
Arkansas0.1550.0000.0000.000
California0.2240.4630.1290.071
Colorado0.0000.0000.1280.466
Connecticut0.0000.0000.0000.000
Delaware0.0000.0000.0000.000
District of Columbia0.0000.0160.0000.022
Florida0.1240.0000.2200.011
Hawaii0.0730.0000.0000.000
Idaho0.0000.0000.0000.034
Illinois0.0000.0000.0000.000
Indiana0.0000.0000.0000.000
Iowa0.0000.0000.0000.000
Kansas0.0000.0000.0000.000
Kentucky0.0000.0000.0000.000
Louisiana0.0000.0460.0000.000
Maine0.0000.0000.0000.000
Maryland0.0000.0000.0000.000
Massachusetts0.0000.0000.0000.000
Michigan0.0000.0000.0000.000
Minnesota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Missouri0.0000.0000.0000.000
Montana0.0000.2330.1930.000
Nebraska0.0000.0000.0000.000
Nevada0.1150.0000.1600.315
New Hampshire0.0000.0000.0000.000
New Jersey0.0000.0000.0000.000
New Mexico0.1220.0000.0000.000
New York0.0000.0000.0000.000
North Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Ohio0.0000.0000.0000.000
Oklahoma0.0000.0000.0000.000
Oregon0.0000.0000.0000.020
Pennsylvania0.0000.0000.0000.000
Rhode Island0.0000.0370.0000.000
South Dakota0.0000.0000.0000.000
Tennessee0.0840.0000.1110.000
Texas0.0000.0000.0540.000
Vermont0.0000.0000.0000.000
Virginia0.0000.0700.0000.000
Washington0.0000.0000.0060.061
West Virginia0.0000.1350.0000.000
Wisconsin0.0000.0000.0000.000
Wyoming0.1030.0000.0000.000

Summary statistics

ArizonaOther states
US-born labor force participation
Low-skilled female0.660.68
High-skilled female0.800.82
Married women0.720.75
Single women0.800.80
Male0.770.80
High-skilled male0.900.92
US-born labor hours (hours >0)
Low-skilled female37.4136.74
High-skilled female38.7838.19
Married women37.5636.94
Single women39.6139.05
Low-skilled male42.1243.18
High-skilled male44.3744.89
Household service sector
Hourly earnings7.998.60
% self-employed0.280.28
% female0.600.68