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A numerical approach for an epidemic SIR model via Morgan-Voyce series


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Fig. 1

Comparison of the residual errors of S(t) (without vaccination) for equation (1).
Comparison of the residual errors of S(t) (without vaccination) for equation (1).

Fig. 2

Comparison of the residual errors of I(t) (without vaccination) for equation (1).
Comparison of the residual errors of I(t) (without vaccination) for equation (1).

Fig. 3

Comparison of the residual errors of R(t) (without vaccination) for equation (1).
Comparison of the residual errors of R(t) (without vaccination) for equation (1).

Fig. 4

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.005 via M-VCM.
The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.005 via M-VCM.

Fig. 5

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.01 via M-VCM.
The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.01 via M-VCM.

Fig. 6

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.02 via M-VCM.
The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.02 via M-VCM.

Fig. 7

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.03 via M-VCM.
The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.03 via M-VCM.

Fig. 8

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.06 via M-VCM.
The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.06 via M-VCM.

Comparisons of the values of R(t) for HPM, HCM, LADM and M-VCM for example 1.

t R(t) (HPM) R(t) (HCM for L=5) R(t) (LADM) R(t) Morgan-Voyce

0.2 10.06108073 10.06108073 10.06108073 10.0610807329
0.4 10.12432405 10.12432405 10.12432405 10.1243240513
0.6 10.18972750 10.18972751 10.18972750 10.1897275117
0.8 10.25728304 10.25728317 10.25728304 10.2572831742
1.0 10.32697698 10.32697760 10.32697698 10.3269776025

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.02 via M-VCM.

t ERS ERI ERR

0.1 3.1084×10−7 1.0500×10−9 2.4970×10−7
0.2 4.0778×10−7 2.0300×10−9 2.9760×10−7
0.3 5.2230×10−7 3.2950×10−9 3.5110×10−7
0.4 6.5640×10−7 4.0000×10−9 4.1066×10−7
0.5 8.1100×10−7 6.8300×10−9 4.7650×10−7
0.6 9.9065×10−7 9.2000×10−9 5.4925×10−7
0.7 1.1948×10−7 1.2043×10−8 6.2904×10−7
0.8 1.4266×10−7 1.5405×10−8 7.1630×10−7
0.9 1.6880×10−6 1.9000×10−8 8.1140×10−7
1 1.9819×10−6 2.4010×10−8 9.1494×10−7

Comparisons of the residual errors ERS for HPM, HCM, LADM and M-VCM for example 1.

t ERS (HPM) ERS (HCM for L=5) ERS (LADM) ERS M-VCM

0.2 2.2416×10−8 1.0080×10−9 2.2417×10−8 3.8045×10−9
0.4 6.6425×10−7 1.0201×10−9 6.6427×10−7 4.4120×10−9
0.6 4.6388×10−6 1.0363×10−9 4.6389×10−6 5.2320×10−9
0.8 1.7832×10−5 1.0566×10−9 1.7833×10−5 6.3120×10−9
1.0 4.9171×10−5 1.9918×10−7 4.9172×10−5 1.9256×10−7

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.005 via M-VCM.

t ERS ERI ERR

0.1 2.0017×10−7 2.0805×10−8 1.0544×10−8
0.2 2.4419×10−7 2.5143×10−8 1.1137×10−8
0.3 2.9299×10−7 2.9958×10−8 1.1797×10−8
0.4 3.4678×10−7 3.5273×10−8 1.2529×10−8
0.5 4.0577×10−7 4.1114×10−8 1.3337×10−8
0.6 4.7020×10−7 4.7505×10−8 1.4226×10−8
0.7 5.4027×10−7 5.4471×10−8 1.5200×10−8
0.8 6.1622×10−7 6.2036×10−8 1.6262×10−8
0.9 6.9824×10−7 7.0221×10−8 1.7416×10−8
1 7.8657×10−7 7.9046×10−8 1.8661×10−8

Comparisons of the residual errors ERI for HPM, HCM, LADM and M-VCM for example 1.

t ERI (HPM) ERI (HCM for L=5) ERI (LADM) ERI M-VCM

0.2 2.0373×10−8 1.0080×10−9 2.0375×10−8 8.9114×10−9
0.4 5.9888 ×10−7 1.0201×10−9 5.9892×10−7 9.0230×10−9
0.6 4.1424×10−6 1.0363×10−9 4.1426×10−6 9.0493×10−9
0.8 1.5741×10−5 1.0566×10−9 1.5741×10−5 8.9952×10−9
1.0 4.2787×10−5 1.9918×10−7 4.2789×10−5 4.4706×10−7

Comparisons of the residual errors ERR for HPM, HCM, LADM and M-VCM for example 1.

t ERR (HPM) ERR (HCM for L=5) ERR (LADM) ERR M-VCM

0.2 1.5573×10−9 1.7802×10−12 1.5573×10−9 1.9663×10−9
0.4 7.7657×10−9 3.5556×10−12 7.7656×10−9 2.7950×10−9
0.6 2.0477×10−7 5.3304×10−12 2.0477×10−7 3.7913×10−9
0.8 1.1701×10−6 7.1090×10−12 1.1701×10−6 4.9600×10−9
1.0 4.1334×10−6 4.5486 ×10−7 4.1334×10−6 2.4930×10−7

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.01 via M-VCM.

t ERS ERI ERR

0.1 5.1591×10−8 9.3905×10−8 1.7736×10−9
0.2 5.5453×10−8 1.1294×10−7 2.5089×10−9
0.3 5.9708×10−8 1.3399×10−7 3.4104×10−9
0.4 6.4395×10−8 1.5712×10−7 4.4980×10−9
0.5 6.9554×10−8 1.8243×10−7 5.7929×10−9
0.6 7.5227×10−8 2.1000×10−7 7.3172×10−9
0.7 8.1458×10−8 2.3993×10−7 9.0941×10−9
0.8 8.8295×10−8 2.7229×10−7 1.1148×10−8
0.9 9.5794×10−8 3.0717×10−7 1.3503×10−8
1 1.0402×10−7 3.4464×10−7 1.6184×10−8

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.03 via M-VCM.

t ERS ERI ERR

0.1 2.2100×10−8 3.7200×10−8 6.9600×10−10
0.2 2.7380×10−8 4.9700×10−8 1.7400×10−9
0.3 3.3490×10−8 6.4701×10−8 3.0619×10−9
0.4 4.0500×10−8 8.2200×10−8 4.6670×10−9
0.5 4.8700×10−8 1.0270×10−7 6.6010×10−9
0.6 5.7000×10−8 1.2640×10−7 8.9000×10−9
0.7 6.8390×10−8 1.5347×10−7 1.1605×10−8
0.8 8.0117×10−8 1.8420×10−7 1.4750×10−8
0.9 9.3220×10−8 2.1914×10−7 1.8380×10−8
1 1.0780×10−7 2.5836×10−7 2.2531×10−8

The residual errors for equation (1), ν = 0.06 via M-VCM.

t ERS ERI ERR

0.1 8.5647×10−7 5.4000×10−8 2.0762×10−7
0.2 9.5890×10−7 5.3700×10−8 2.4940×10−7
0.3 1.0660×10−6 5.2000×10−8 2.9568×10−7
0.4 1.1792×10−6 4.9930×10−8 3.4662×10−7
0.5 1.2972×10−6 4.6100×10−8 4.0240×10−7
0.6 1.4202×10−6 4.0964×10−8 4.6333×10−7
0.7 1.5484×10−6 3.4200×10−8 5.2955×10−7
0.8 1.6819×10−6 2.5800×10−8 6.0120×10−7
0.9 1.8205×10−6 1.5672×10−8 6.7870×10−7
1 1.9641×10−6 3.7710×10−9 7.6213×10−7

Comparisons of the values of I(t) for HPM, HCM, LADM and M-VCM for example 1.

t I(t) (HPM) I(t) (HCM for L=5) I(t) (LADM) I(t) M-VCM

0.2 15.54049369 15.54049370 15.54049369 15.5404936937
0.4 16.08106363 16.08106367 16.08106363 16.081063672
0.6 16.62033527 16.62033570 16.62033527 16.6203357015
0.8 17.15693346 17.15693567 17.15693345 17.156935671
1.0 17.68949465 17.68950236 17.68949464 17.6895023739

Comparisons of the values of S(t) for HPM, HCM, LADM and M-VCM for example 1.

t S(t) (HPM) S(t) (HCM for L=5) S(t) (LADM) S(t) M-VCM

0.2 19.39842557 19.39842556 19.39842557 19.3984255735
0.4 18.79461232 18.79461227 18.79461232 18.7946122770
0.6 18.18993727 18.18993677 18.18993727 18.1899367871
0.8 17.58578366 17.58578115 17.58578366 17.5857811555
1.0 16.98352883 16.98352001 16.98352883 16.9835200246
eISSN:
2956-7068
Język:
Angielski
Częstotliwość wydawania:
2 razy w roku
Dziedziny czasopisma:
Computer Sciences, other, Engineering, Introductions and Overviews, Mathematics, General Mathematics, Physics