Influence of the Farm Harvest Prices on Acreage and Income From Sugarcane Crop in Haryana State of India

Correlation of prices with area, yield, production, and income of sugarcane crop in Haryana

Periods	Area	Yield	Production	Income
First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92)	0.28	0.75*	0.73*	0.96*
Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02)	0.07	0.43	0.26	0.98*
Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12)	−0.89*	0.81*	−0.80*	0.99*
Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22)	0.25	0.74*	0.53	0.93*
Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22)	−0.70*	0.93*	0.21	0.99*

Contribution of price and yield in per hectare income of sugarcane

Periods	Change in income (ΔI)	Price effect (Y0ΔP)	Yield effect (P0ΔY)	Interaction effect (ΔPΔY)
First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92)	14,558.06 (100%)	7,698.78 (52.88%)	3,069.52 (21.08%)	3,789.76 (26.03%)
Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02)	30,624.13 (100%)	22,476.29 (73.39%)	4,033.11 (13.17%)	4,114.73 (13.44%)
Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12)	151,851.52 (100%)	107,001.89 (70.46%)	12,872.50 (8.48%)	31,977.14 (21.06%)
Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22)	81,521.73 (100%)	42,791.58 (52.49%)	31,976.61 (39.22%)	6,753.53 (8.28%)
Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22)	277,895.60 (100%)	117,489.34 (42.28%)	8,084.34 (2.91%)	152,321.92 (54.81%)

Growth behavior of area, prices, yield, production, and income of sugarcane crop in Haryana

Periods/Variables	Area	Price	Yield	Production	Income
First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92)	2.00*	9.30*	3.50*	5.60*	13.10*
Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02)	2.00*	6.80*	0.70*	2.70*	7.50*
Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12)	−8.30*	15.20*	2.50*	−6.00*	18.10*
Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22)	0.70*	1.40*	1.60*	2.30*	3.10*
Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22)	−1.00*	8.10*	1.70*	0.80*	10.00*

Variability in area, prices, yield, production, and income of sugarcane in Haryana

Periods	Variables	Minimum	Maximum	Mean	Standard deviation	Coefficient of variation (%)
First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92)	Area	104.20	161.9	134.52	16.72	12.43
	Prices	166.55	388.37	283.55	76.03	26.81
	Yield	36.91	55.87	47.62	7.04	14.79
	Production	4,844.16	9,045.35	6,416.58	1,357.87	21.16
	Income	6,235.63	20,793.70	13,864.62	5,246.49	37.84
Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02)	Area	111.80	161.90	138.47	16.07	11.60
	Prices	452.65	914.46	736.78	160.92	21.84
	Yield	48.67	58.49	55.51	2.86	5.16
	Production	6,449.74	9,270.38	7,681.44	949.78	12.36
	Income	22,030.48	52,654.61	41,082.52	9,668.73	23.53
Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12)	Area	79.20	189.00	124.15	36.11	29.09
	Prices	764.40	2,663.28	1,576.38	727.37	46.14
	Yield	56.35	73.19	64.60	6.37	9.85
	Production	5,176.60	10,650.15	7,884.35	1,837.90	23.31
	Income	43,073.94	194,925.50	105,236.40	57,534.98	54.67
Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22)	Area	93.50	114.90	102.12	6.50	6.36
	Prices	2,728.38	3,304.62	2,937.01	156.38	5.32
	Yield	73.90	85.98	79.06	4.59	5.81
	Production	6,909.65	9,709.05	8,090.75	895.89	11.07
	Income	202,609.50	284,131.20	232,678.80	24,555.48	10.55
Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22)	Area	79.20	189.00	124.82	25.28	20.25
	Prices	166.55	3,304.62	1,383.43	1,086.68	78.55
	Yield	36.91	85.98	61.70	12.95	20.99
	Production	4,844.16	10,650.15	7,518.28	1,426.47	18.97
	Income	6,235.63	284,131.20	98,215.57	90,779.73	92.43

Impact of lagged year yield, price of sugarcane, lagged year price, and yield of sugarcane on current year area of sugarcane in Haryana

Regression Coefficients	First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92)	Second period (from1992/93 to 2001/02)	Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12)	Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22)	Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22)
Constant	−1.50	−3.49	0.38	0.83	0.19
Area of sugarcane lagged by one year	1.29	0.58	1.39	−0.46	0.90
Price of sugarcane lagged by one year	0.72	0.02	1.10	0.20	0.32
Yield of sugarcane lagged by one year	0.33	1.57	0.18	2.05	0.71
Price of paddy lagged by one year	−0.91	0.08	−1.15	−0.47	−0.46
Yield of paddy lagged by one year	−0.18	−0.44	−1.03	−0.32	−0.59
Coefficient of determination (R2)	0.87	0.85	0.98	0.73	0.81
Coefficient of adjustment	0.71	0.68	0.96	0.41	0.78
Standard error of the estimate	0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.09