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Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of COVID-19 Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Patients Requiring Invasive Mechanical Ventilation in a Lower Middle-Income Country


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Fig. 1

Comparison of the Area under the ROC curve between SOFA and APACHE II scoring models
Comparison of the Area under the ROC curve between SOFA and APACHE II scoring models

Laboratory parameters among survivors and non-survivors

Survivors (n=30) Non-Survivors (n=41) All patients (n=71) p-value
Hemoglobin at 24 hours ( g/dl) N=71 13.05(11.5-13.5) 11.9(9.85-14) 12.4(10.6-13.7) 0.34
Hemoglobin at 48 hours( g/dl) N=70 12.05(10.7-12.9) 11.05(9.45-13.15) 11.75(9.97-12.97) 0.112
TLC at 24 hours (x10^9/L) 11.15(8.0-15.1) 14.3(9.3-18.2) 12.9(8.9-16.5) 0.046
TLC at 48 hours (x10^9/L) 11.15(8.5-14.9) 13.95(9.3-20.0) 12.6(12.6-16.07) 0.133
Platelets count at 24 hours(x10^9/L) 3310(237.25-363) 224(157.5-335.5) 269(198-353) 0.063
Platelets count at 48 hours(x10^9/L) 334.5(277.5-406.7)) 212.5(132.75-317.5) 269.5(171.25-356.25) <0.001
Blood Urea Nitrogen(mg/dl) 25(15.75-43) 27(22.5-51.5) 26(19-43) 0.159
Blood Urea Nitrogen at 48 hours( mg/dl) 26(21-49.25) 37.5(28.25-58.25) 35.5(22.75-54.25) 0.057
Creatinine at 24 hours ( mg/dl) 1.25(0.9-1.65) 1.4(1.1-2.05) 1.4(1-1.9) 0.111
Creatinine at 48 hours(mg/dl) 1(0.7-1.35) 1.85(0.9-25) 1.3(0.8-2.35) 0.007
Sodium 24 hours (mmol/L) 138.5(131.75-141) 139(133-143) 139(133-142) 0.307
Sodium 48 hours(mmol/l) 141(136.75-144) 143(139.25-147.75) 142.5(138-147) 0.032
Bicarbonate 24 hours (mmol/L) 22.3(19.3-24.8) 20.7(17.5-23.45) 21.9(18-24) 0.102
Bicarbonate at 48 hours(mmol/L) 22.8(21.2-26.8) 20.65(18.75-22.5) 21.55(19.9-24.5) 0.002
C-Reactive Protein 24 hours (n=70) (mg/L) 160(69-236) 165(58-203.5) 161.5(63-214.5) 0.948
C-Reactive Protein at 48 hours (n=63) (mg/L) 123(48.5-196) 192.5(85.5-278) 165(61-244) 0.054
C-Reactive Protein Max (n=60) (mg/L) 201(169-292) 235(162-317.5) 230(169.25-301) 0.6
Ferritin at 24 hours (n=68) (ng/ml) 879.5(420.75- 2518.5) 1519(669.75-3183.5) 1278.5(548.75-2566) 0.159
Ferritin at 48 hours (n=53) (ng/ml) 674(304-1883.5) 2075(896.5-3000.5) 1287(599.5-2752.75) 0.008
Ferritin Max (n=61) (ng/ml) 1169.5(648-4424) 2282(1193.5-6727) 1923(758.5-5415) 0.088
D-Dimer at 24 hours (n=69) (mg/ml) 1.8(1.05-4) 3.65(2.1-13.72) 3.3(1.25-9.5) 0.038
D-Dimer at 48 hours (n=60) (mg/L ) 3.2(1.7-11.6) 8.1(2.35-15.4) 5.3(1.95-15.3) 0.045
D-Dimer Max(n=61) (mg/L ) 5.3(2.5-16.8) 18.3(6.5-30) 14.5(4.6-30) 0.009
Procalcitonin (n=68) (ng/ml) 0.53(0.209-1.45) 0.80(0.17-3.58) 0.603(0.202-2.102) 0.411
Procalcitonin at 48 hours (n=54) (ng/ml) 0.51(0.25-2.99) 2.85(0.48-9.72) 1.33(0.431-7.47) 0.077
LDH 24 hours (n=67) (I.U/L) 650(535-774.5) 667.5(569.75-867) 652(569-831) 0.40
LDH48(n=58) (I.U/L) 575(430-696.75) 670(579.25-823) 618(498-743.5) 0.004
pH at admission 7.4(7.35-7.43) 7.37 (7.25-7.43) 7.39(7.32-7.43) 0.21
pH 48 hours 7.41(7.36-7.45) 7.34 (7.27-7.41) 7.39(7.315-7.43) 0.001

Complications observed in patients during the hospital stay

Complications Frequency Percentage(%)
Septic Shock 44 62.0
Multi-organ Dysfunction 31 43.7
Myocardial injury 30 42.3
Thrombotic complications 2 2.8
Acute kidney Injury 57 80.3
Renal replacement therapy 16 22.5
CRRT 2.8
Both CRRT/ Hemodialysis 8.5
Intermittent Hemodialysis 11.3
Hospital-acquired Pneumonia/VAP. 38 53.5
Acinetobacter 14
Stenotrophomonas
Pseudomonas
Klebsiella
E.coli
Fungal infections 28 39.4
Bacteremia 13 18.3
Catheter-associated urinary tract infection 8 11.3
Pneumothorax 11 15.5
Subcutaneous emphysema 9 12.7
Critical illness myopathy 5 7.2
Bed scores 2 2.9
GI Bleed 17 24.6
Re-intubation 4 5.8
Arrhythmias(new-onset) 20 28.1
CPR with ROSC 12 16.9
Diabetic ketoacidosis 6 8.45

Multi-variate regression analysis of predictors of mortality

Variable p-value Odds ratio (95% Confidence interval)
SOFA score Admission 0.26 1.19(0.8-1.64)
APACHE-II score Admission 0.012 1.18(1.03-1.34)
PF (PA02/Fi02) ratio Admission 0.20 0.99(0.98-1.003)
Dimer>1.5 mg/L 0.037 5.15(1.108-23.96)
Acute kidney injury 0.75 0.76(0.13-4.26)
PEEP at admission (cmH20) 0.26 1.17(0.88-1.57)

Univariate analysis of predictors of mortality

Variable p-value Odds ratio (95% Confidence interval)
Age 0.52 1.01 (0.97-1.04)
Age>60 0.65 1.24 (0.48-3.21)
PEEP at 48 hours 0.009 1.3 (1.06-1.6)
PEEP at 24 hours 0.32 1.09 (0.91-1.32)
PF ratio admission 0.032 0.99 (0.98-0.99)
PF ratio at 48 hours 0.56 0.99 (0.99-1.003)
APACHE-II at 24 hours 0.000 1.19 (1.08-1.31)
APACHE-II 48 hours 0.000 1.17 (1.07-1.27)
SOFA score at 24 hours 0.000 1.48 (1.19-1.85)
SOFA score at 48 hours 0.000 1.47 (1.2-1.8)
Hypertension 0.81 1.11 (0.434-2.87)
Acute kidney injury 0.019 4.62 (1.28-16.64)
Myocardial injury 0.416 1.49(0.56-3.90)
TLC at 24 hours (x10^9/L 0.079 1.06 (0.99-1.14)
Platelets count at 48 hours(x10^9/L) 0.001 0.99 (0.98-099)
Dimer>1.5 mg/L 0.031 3.1 (1.11-8.71)
D-Dimer Maximum 0.017 1.06 (1.01-1.12)
D-Dimer at 24 hours (n=69) (mg/ml) 0.067 1.05 (0.996-1.12)
D-Dimer at 48 hours (n=60) (mg/L ) 0.089 1.05 (0.99-1.12)
C-Reactive Protein 24 hours (n=70)(mg/L) 0.923 1 (0.996-1.005)
C-Reactive Protein >180 mg/L 0.80 1.12 (0.43-2.9)
Procalcitonin >1 ng/ml 0.236 1.82 (0.67-4.93)
LDH 24 hours (n=67) (I.U/L) 0.212 1.001 (1.00-1.002)
LDH 48 hours (I.U/L) 0.017 1.005(1.001-1.008)

Demographic and clinical features of the study population

Variables Median (Interquartile ranges) Survivors (n=30) Non-Survivors (n=41) All patients (n=71) P-value
Age (years) 55(47.5-64) 59(46-65) 56(48-64) 0.35
Age (years) 0.86
<40 41.7%(5) 58.3%(7) 16.9%(12)
41-50 55.6%(5) 44.4%(4) 12.7%(9)
51-59 41.2%(7) 58.8%(10) 23.9%(17)
>60 39.4%(13) 60.6%(20) 46.5%(33)
Diabetes Mellitus 38.5%(15) 61.5%(24) 54.9%(39) 0.47
Hypertension 41%(16) 59%(23) 54.9%(39) 0.81
Ischemic heart disease 41.7%(10) 58.3%(14) 33.8%(24) 0.94
Chronic kidney disease 33.3%(3) 66.7%(6) 12.7%(9) 0.72
Proning 43.9%(18) 56.1%(23) 57.7%(41) 0.74
Vasopressors requirement 37.5%(15) 62.5%(25) 56.3%(40) 0.35
BMI (kg/m2) 29.5 (24.04-28.53) 25.95 (24.04-28.5) 25.95 (24.22-27.68) 0.7
ICU Admission SOFA score 5(4-7) 12(9-14) 7(5-9) <0.001
48 hours SOFA score 4(2-6) 10(9-12) 6(4-10) <0.001
ICU Admission APACHE II score 8(7-10) 21(14-28) 15(11-24) <0.001
APACHE II 48 score hours 9 (6- 11) 20 (12-25) 13(9-23) <0.001
PEEP ICU Admission 8(8-10) 8(6-10) 10(8-10) 0.217
PEEP 48 hours 10(8-11) 10(8-12) 10(7.75-12) 0.007
Tidal volume (ml/kg) at ICU admission 6(5.62-6.43) 6.42(5.62-6.84) 6.17(5.62-6.57) 0.674
Tidal volume at 48 hours 6.35(5.9-6.86) 6.13(5.62-6.85) 6.27(5.7-6.85) 0.548
PF ratio ICU admission (PA02/Fi02) 118(81.09-219.31) 107.37(65.75-141.25) 112.5(76.75-160) 0.041
PF ratio 48 hours(PA02/Fi02) 164.7(115.03-221.41) 141.41(108.03-192.75) 154.55(108.75-199.25) 0.208
Duration of symptom onset to ER 7(4-10) 7(5-10) 7(4-10) 0.313
presentation
Symptom onset to ICU admission 9(5.7-11.25) 9(7-12) 9(7-12) 0.472
Length of ICU stay 6(4-9) 8(4-11.5) 8(4-10) 0.177
Length of ICU stay with IMV 4.5(3-7) 8(4-11) 6(3-10) 0.008
The total length of stay 17(10.75-21.25) 9(7.5-15) 11(8-20) 0.001
Acute kidney injury 66.6%(20) 90.2%(37) 80.3%(57) 0.014

Area under ROC curve and cut-off values of APACHE II and SOFA score for prediction of mortality

Scoring variable Area under ROC curve (95% confidence interval) Standard error p-value Cut-of value Sensitivity Specificity
Admission APACHE II score 0.803(0.697-0.908) .054 0.000016 13.5 0.775 0.70
48 hour APACHE II score 0.795(0.687-0.903) .055 0.000027 12.5 0.75 0.80
Admission SOFA score 0.763(0.649-0.876) .058 0.000181 6.5 0.775 0.67
48 hour SOFA score 0.805(0.699-0.910) .054 0.000014 5.5 0.80 0.70
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