<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<sec><h3>Research background</h3>
<p>Understanding the rationale for macroeconomic policy coordination with the aim of achieving greater policy credibility and effectiveness in West Africa still remains the subject of debate.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Purpose</h3>
<p>This study evaluates the effect of macroeconomic policy coordination on economic growth uncertainty in West Africa, utilizing a panel data set of the 15 member states from 1980 to 2020.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Research methodology</h3>
<p>The study employed Pedroni’s cointegration test procedure and the Generalized Linear Model, fixed effect procedure for evaluation.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Results</h3>
<p>The stationarity test results show that the variables are stationary at first difference at the 5% significant level, for the common and individual effect tests respectively. The cross section dependence test result indicates that there exists a cross-sectional independence for the variables under consideration. Pedroni’s cointegration test results indicate that there exists a long run relationship between economic growth uncertainty and macroeconomic policy variables. The fixed effect model result shows that monetary policy variable, inflation (INF) affect growth uncertainty negatively. The fiscal policy variable, government debts (DEBTS) indicates a positive sign to growth uncertainty and is significant statistically. The coefficient of the regional trade variable, (TRADE) and exchange rate indicate positive signs and are insignificant statistically.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Novelty</h3>
<p>It is important to ascertain how uncertainty affect policy coordination gains. Thus this study has utilized the econometric models approach to evaluate the effect of policy decisions as economies encounter exogenous policy shocks in the face of uncertainty, in order to ascertain if coordination is preferred to individual policy decisions.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>

Research background
Understanding the rationale for macroeconomic policy coordination with the aim of achieving greater policy credibility and effectiveness in West Africa still remains the subject of debate.

Purpose
This study evaluates the effect of macroeconomic policy coordination on economic growth uncertainty in West Africa, utilizing a panel data set of the 15 member states from 1980 to 2020.

Research methodology
The study employed Pedroni’s cointegration test procedure and the Generalized Linear Model, fixed effect procedure for evaluation.

Results
The stationarity test results show that the variables are stationary at first difference at the 5% significant level, for the common and individual effect tests respectively. The cross section dependence test result indicates that there exists a cross-sectional independence for the variables under consideration. Pedroni’s cointegration test results indicate that there exists a long run relationship between economic growth uncertainty and macroeconomic policy variables. The fixed effect model result shows that monetary policy variable, inflation (INF) affect growth uncertainty negatively. The fiscal policy variable, government debts (DEBTS) indicates a positive sign to growth uncertainty and is significant statistically. The coefficient of the regional trade variable, (TRADE) and exchange rate indicate positive signs and are insignificant statistically.

Novelty
It is important to ascertain how uncertainty affect policy coordination gains. Thus this study has utilized the econometric models approach to evaluate the effect of policy decisions as economies encounter exogenous policy shocks in the face of uncertainty, in order to ascertain if coordination is preferred to individual policy decisions.

Macroeconomic Policy Coordination and Economic Growth Uncertainty in West Africa

Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences

Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Macroeconomic Policy Coordination and Economic Growth Uncertainty in West Africa"}

Research background
Understanding the rationale for macroeconomic policy coordination with the aim of achieving greater policy credibility and effectiveness in...

Macroeconomic Policy Coordination and Economic Growth Uncertainty in West Africa

Data publikacji: 31 maj 2024

Zakres stron: 203 - 226

Otrzymano: 15 mar 2023

Przyjęty: 26 lut 2024

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foli-2024-0012

Słowa kluczowe
Macroeconomic, policy coordination, Growth uncertainty, ECOWAS

© 2024 Ephraim Ugwu et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Macroeconomic Policy Coordination and Economic Growth Uncertainty in West Africa

Data publikacji: 31 maj 2024

Zakres stron: 203 - 226

Otrzymano: 15 mar 2023

Przyjęty: 26 lut 2024

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foli-2024-0012

Słowa kluczoweMacroeconomic, policy coordination, Growth uncertainty, ECOWAS

© 2024 Ephraim Ugwu et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Słowa kluczowe
Macroeconomic, policy coordination, Growth uncertainty, ECOWAS