<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

Mumps is a viral contagious disease associated with puffy cheeks and tender and swollen jaw. It spreads through direct contact with saliva or respiratory droplets from the mouth, nose or throat of infected persons. In this work, we present a mathematical model which describes the dynamics of the disease in a human population. The model incorporates isolation and treatment of infected individuals as a control measure. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is locally and globally asymptotically stable when the control reproduction number Rc is less than one. It is also shown that the model has a unique endemic equilibrium which exists when Rc > 1. The existence of a unique endemic equilibrium confirms the global stability of the DFE, and the absence of backward bifurcation in the model. Optimal control analysis is performed on the model to obtain the proportion of infected humans to be isolated for optimal control of the disease. Plots are presented to show the dynamics of the disease in the presence of the control measures.
</abstract>

Mumps is a viral contagious disease associated with puffy cheeks and tender and swollen jaw. It spreads through direct contact with saliva or respiratory droplets from the mouth, nose or throat of infected persons. In this work, we present a mathematical model which describes the dynamics of the disease in a human population. The model incorporates isolation and treatment of infected individuals as a control measure. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is locally and globally asymptotically stable when the control reproduction number Rc is less than one. It is also shown that the model has a unique endemic equilibrium which exists when Rc > 1. The existence of a unique endemic equilibrium confirms the global stability of the DFE, and the absence of backward bifurcation in the model. Optimal control analysis is performed on the model to obtain the proportion of infected humans to be isolated for optimal control of the disease. Plots are presented to show the dynamics of the disease in the presence of the control measures.

Mathematical model for the transmission of mumps and its optimal control

Biometrical Letters

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Mathematical model for the transmission of mumps and its optimal control"}

Mumps is a viral contagious disease associated with puffy cheeks and tender and swollen jaw. It spreads through direct contact with saliva or respiratory...

Mathematical model for the transmission of mumps and its optimal control

Data publikacji: 28 cze 2023

Zakres stron: 77 - 95

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bile-2023-0006

Słowa kluczowe
Mumps, Mathematical model, Control reproduction number, Optimal control

© 2023 Emmanuel Chidiebere Duru et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Mathematical model for the transmission of mumps and its optimal control

Data publikacji: 28 cze 2023

Zakres stron: 77 - 95

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bile-2023-0006

Słowa kluczoweMumps, Mathematical model, Control reproduction number, Optimal control

© 2023 Emmanuel Chidiebere Duru et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Słowa kluczowe
Mumps, Mathematical model, Control reproduction number, Optimal control