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Regional Economic Integration and Its Impact on Income Distribution and the Poverty Level: The Case of the WAEMU Zone


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Fig. 1

GDP per capita.Source: authors’ computation.
GDP per capita.Source: authors’ computation.

Fig. 2

Regional economic integration index.Source: authors’ computation.
Regional economic integration index.Source: authors’ computation.

Fig. 3

Poverty headcount rate.Source: authors’ computation.
Poverty headcount rate.Source: authors’ computation.

Heterogeneous panel causality test results.

lnPOV GINI REI lnREM lnGDP CC POP
lnPOV −0.5599 (0.5756) 2.0470** (0.0407) 0.4123 (0.6801) 1.1441 (0.2526) −0.3039 (0.7612) 0.6270 (0.5307)
GINI 0.6428 (0.5204) −0.4899 (0.6242) 0.8665 (0.3862) 0.3513 (0.7254) −0.6080 (0.5432) −0.1381 (0.8902)
REI 3.1594*** (0.0016) 2.7527*** (0.0059) 3.8692*** (0.0000) 0.5314 (0.5951) −0.5156 (0.6061) 0.9304 (0.3522)
lnREM 2.7370*** (0.0062) 0.9483 (0.3430) 2.2553** (0.0241) 2.6512*** (0.0080) 3.2922*** (0.0010) −0.1016 (0.9191)
lnGDP 2.3861** (0.0170) 0.9317*** (0.0000) 2.5827*** (0.0098) 2.8435*** (0.0045) −0.1012 (0.9033) 2.7147*** (0.0066)
CC −0.5047 (0.6138) 2.9592*** (0.0031) 1.6822* (0.0925) 2.2788** (0.0227) 1.8482* (0.0646) 1.2308 (0.2184)
POP 6.2131*** (0.0000) 3.6573*** (0.0003) 2.7282*** (0.0064) 4.6874*** (0.0000) 2.7159*** (0.0066) 2.2000** (0.0278)

Descriptive statistics.

Variables POV GINI REI REM GDP CC POP
Mean 53.612 22.059 0.000 3.689 779.831 −0.663 2.840
Median 54.468 24.288 −0.062 2.559 648.281 −0.676 2.798
Maximum 92.847 49.900 5.408 10.711 1,692.545 0.176 3.907
Minimum 10.029 −28.100 −4.583 0.226 322.778 −1.563 1.912
Std. Dev. 16.818 18.421 1.224 2.823 351.196 0.381 0.449
Skewness −0.193 −0.064 0.254 0.959 0.601 0.074 0.558
Kurtosis 2.882 1.311 5.810 2.712 2.128 2.541 3.073
Jarque-Bera 1.355 23.911*** 67.976*** 31.370*** 18.363*** 1.935 10.411***
Probability 0.508 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.380 0.005

Principal component analysis details.

Number Value Difference Proportion Cumulative value Cumulative proportion
Panel A: Eigen values of the observed matrix
1 1.491 0.490 0.373 1.491 0.373
2 1.001 0.171 0.250 2.492 0.623
3 0.831 0.153 0.208 3.323 0.831
4 0.677 0.169 4.000 1.000
Panel B: Eigenvectors (loadings)
Variable PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4
REI1 0.558 0.448 0.173 −0.677
REI2 0.550 0.398 −0.404 0.613
REI3 0.483 −0.416 0.708 0.304
REI4 −0.391 0.684 0.552 0.272
Panel C: Ordinary correlations
REI1 REI2 REI3 REI4
REI1 1.000
REI2 0.297 1.000
REI3 0.178 0.119 1.000
REI4 −0.064 −0.121 −0.186 1.000

VIF results.

Variables VIF 1/VIF
POP 2.14 0.467
REI 1.75 0.572
GDP 1.68 0.595
CC 1.48 0.676
GINI 1.37 0.727
REM 1.34 0.747
Mean VIF 1.63

PMG estimation results.

Variables GINI index Poverty headcount
Coefficient Std. err. Coefficient Std. err.
Short run
ECT −0.760*** 0.131 0.0697 0.0971
ΔlnPOV(−1) 0.510*** 0.0369
ΔREI −0.176 0.137 0.162 0.121
ΔEI(−1) −0.129 0.0993
ΔGINI −0.0191 0.0354
ΔGINI(−1) 0.0138 0.0174
ΔlnREM −0.470 0.487 −0.263 0.171
ΔlnREM(−1) 0.338 0.222
ΔlnGDP 45.44** 20.92 −1.456 1.114
ΔCC 1.509** 0.695 0.0910 0.194
ΔPOP 9.780 8.824 −0.880 0.702
ΔPOP (−1) 0.931 1.396
Constant 9.221** 4.700 0.128 0.108
Long run
REI 0.0684* 0.0367 −0.0761*** 0.0224
GINI −0.0475*** 0.0111
lnREM −0.0308 0.059 0.172*** 0.0439
lnGDP 0.138 0.211 0.549*** 0.204
CC −0.0804 0.154 0.126** 0.0643
POP 0.753*** 0.132 1.136*** 0.213
Number of observation 192 184

Time-series analysis results based on the DOLS method.

Countries Benin Burkina Faso Côte d’Ivoire Guinea-Bissau Mali Niger Senegal Togo
GINI POV GINI POV GINI POV GINI POV GINI POV GINI POV GINI POV GINI POV
REI 21.72*** (0.404) −0.410*** (0.0778) 13.70*** (0.504) −0.0439 (0.0610) 37.51*** (0.218) 8.256*** (0.0426) −27.39*** (1.284) −1.738*** (0.0427) −20.88*** (0.639) 3.868*** (0.0848) −4.117*** (0.331) −0.0763*** (0.0125) −6.574*** (0.773) 4.694*** (0.0930) 0.889*** (0.0629) 0.0473*** (0.00293)
GINI 0.434*** (0.0261) 0.0161 (0.0101) −0.0378** (0.0158) 0.0118*** (0.00398) −0.0750*** (0.00875) 0.210*** (0.00354) 0.961*** (0.0101) −0.0615*** (0.00318)
lnREM 3.935*** (0.574) 0.430*** (0.131) −25.24*** (0.729) 0.490*** (0.0755) −11.50*** (1.060) −9.812*** (0.217) 47.94*** (1.891) 3.426*** (0.0643) 524.8*** (0.886) −2.416*** (0.128) −18.06*** (1.013) 0.452*** (0.0384) −16.40*** (0.710) −14.39*** (0.0851) −0.405*** (0.130) 0.246*** (0.00541)
lnGDP −336.6*** (4.239) −5.705*** (0.952) 11.89*** (2.466) −1.061*** (0.258) 96.68*** (2.409) 4.606*** (0.470) 180.7*** (11.51) −0.817* (0.429) −1,490*** (3.473) −0.0993 (0.507) 13.76** (6.074) −1.598*** (0.248) 82.09*** (3.111) −3.765*** (0.383) 16.14*** (1.195) 0.421*** (0.0520)
CC 82.29*** (1.202) −1.150*** (0.235) −1.217 (2.310) 1.367*** (0.243) 16.78*** (0.995) 4.571*** (0.192) 110.2*** (6.415) 5.054*** (0.214) 451.2*** (2.953) −1.850*** (0.383) 42.24*** (3.598) −3.687*** (0.138) 12.12*** (0.726) −8.876*** (0.0846) 9.481*** (0.951) 0.00849 (0.0399)
POP −152.2*** (1.578) 9.313*** (0.306) −186.1*** (7.143) 5.575*** (0.770) −106.6*** (0.722) −12.98*** (0.138) 56.74*** (5.049) 3.464*** (0.181) −566.3*** (1.891) 2.314*** (0.252) 51.68*** (6.414) 2.547*** (0.244) 1.946* (1.087) 20.10*** (0.133) 6.701*** (0.332) 1.271*** (0.0142)

Cross-sectional dependence results.

Breusch-Pagan LM Pesaran scaled LM Pesaran CD
lnPOV 85.085*** 7.628*** 0.760
GINI 66.641*** 5.163*** −0.270
REI 144.761*** 15.602*** 8.739***
lnREM 223.665*** 26.146*** 2.875***
lnGDP 276.497*** 33.206*** 12.214***
CC 116.811*** 11.867*** −0.423
POP 278.034*** 33.412*** −0.801

Definition and data sources.

Variable name Symbol Definition Unit Source
Poverty POV It is a situation where someone lacks the necessary resource he/she needs. % World Development Indicators and POVCALNET
Income inequality GINI It measures the distribution of wellbeing. Index World Development Indicators and Standardized World Income Inequality Database (Solt 2019).
Remittances REM It is the sum of money sent by migrants to their families at home or for saving. % World Development Indicators
Control of corruption CC It is the extent to which public officers use public power/resource for private gain. A higher value indicates a high level of corruption. Index Worldwide Governance Indicators
Gross domestic product per capita GDP It is the gross domestic product divided by population. Constant 2010 US$ World Development Indicators
Population growth POP It is the annual growth rate of the population. % World Development Indicators
Regional economic integration REI It is measured with trade liberalisation (% of GDP), foreign direct investment (% of GDP), migration flow (%) and inflation rate (%, CPI). Index World Development Indicators, UNCTAD statistics database, United Nations Population Division

Panel unit root test results.

Variables CIPS CADF
Level First difference Level First difference
lnPOV −3.417*** −5.345*** −3.017** −3.970***
GINI −4.849*** −6.420*** −3.129*** −4.710***
REI −2.959** −5.540*** −2.446 −4.277***
lnREM −1.727 −3.885*** −1.948 −3.322***
lnGDP −2.142 −4.587*** −2.547 −3.856***
CC −2.174 −4.565*** −2.031 −3.417***
POP −4.263*** −4.937*** −5.180*** −5.568***
Critical values 1%: −3.15%: −2.8610%: −2.73 1%: −3.1005%: −2.86010%: −2.730

Correlation results

POV GINI REI REM GDP CC POP
POV 1.000
GINI −0.256 1.000
REI −0.214 0.239 1.000
REM −0.070 −0.175 0.222 1.000
GDP −0.486 0.204 0.147 0.038 1.000
CC −0.023 0.181 −0.021 −0.028 0.287 1.000
POP 0.210 −0.141 0.297 −0.183 −0.381 0.210 1.000

Westerlund panel cointegration test results.

Statistics Value Z-value P value Robust P value
Income distribution equation
Gt −30.138 −83.323 0.000 0.000
Ga −7.610 3.576 1.000 0.380
Pt −42.230 −34.492 0.000 0.000
Pa −7.164 2.670 0.996 0.460
Poverty equation
Gt −4.010 −2.560 0.005 0.010
Ga −2.350 5.513 1.000 1.000
Pt −10.378 −2.035 0.021 0.020
Pa −1.986 4.639 1.000 0.980
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