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The Prognostic Value of Troponin Levels Adjusted for Renal Function in Heart Failure – A Systematic Review

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Apr 06, 2025

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Fig. 1

Flowchart for the process of article selection
Flowchart for the process of article selection

Fig. 2

Studies divided according to their results
Studies divided according to their results

General characteristics of the included studies

Author, year Study Type Population (N) Baseline Pathology Duration of Follow-up Type of troponin Main Outcome(s)
Yilmaz Oztekin, 2023 [48] Retrospective cohort study 249

Nonischemic CHF

LVEF 30 [25 – 35] %

30 months hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Bosselmann, 2013 [49] Prospective cohort study 424

CHF

LVEF < 45%

4.5 years (IQR: 2–7.7) hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Aulin, 2022 [26] Substudy of a RCT (ARISTOTLE) 4568

CHF

All LVEF

1.9 years (median) hs-cTnT

HF hospitalization

All-cause mortality

Berge, 2022 [27] Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study (ACE 2 study) 143

AHF

All LVEF

823 days (median) hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Berge, 2021 [31] Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study (ACE 2 study) 143

AHF

All LVEF

464(median) Hs-TnT All-cause mortality
Aimo, 2019 [28] Retrospective analysis of data from 3 cohorts 1449

AHF

All LVEF

11 months (median) hs-cTnT

In-hospital mortality

All-cause mortality

Cardiovascular mortality

Ledwoch, 2021 [30] Retrospective cohort study 971

AHF

All LVEF

30 days hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Ledwoch, 2022 [29] Retrospective registry 847

AHF

All LVEF

30 days hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Jungbauer, 2014 [32] Prospective cohort study 149

CHF

All LVEF

757 days (mean) (IQR 711-809) hs-cTnT

All-cause mortality

Composite endpoint of all-cause mortality or CHF-related rehospitalization

Guisado-Espartero, 2014 [33] Prospective cohort study RICA registry 406

AHF

All LVEF

1 year cTnT

All-cause mortality

Readmission for worsening HF

Composite of mortality or readmission

Zymliński, 2017 [22] Prospective cohort study 130

AHF

LVEF 30 [24 – 38] %

1 year hs-cTnI Cardiovascular mortality
O'Connor, 2011 [51] Substudy of an RCT (PROTECT study) 288 AHF with renal insufficiency 60 days (primary) and 7 days (secondary) cTnT

Composite endpoint including worsening

HF despite treatment or worsening renal function

Barlera, 2013 [34] Prospective RCT (GISSI-HF) 6975

CHF

All LVEF

3.9 years hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Masson, 2012 [35] Substudy of two RCTs (Val-HeFT & GISSI-HF) 5284

CHF

Reduced LVEF

Val-HeFT: 24 months (median); GISSI-HF: 47 months (median) hs-cTnT

All-cause mortality

HF mortality

Cardiovascular hospitalization

Lupon, 2013 [36] Prospective cohort study 876

CHF

All LVEF

41.4 months hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Ather, 2013 [37] Retrospective cohort study 196

AHF

LVEF 26 ± 13 %

5 years cTnI All-cause mortality
Lok, 2013 [38] Substudy of an RCT DEAL-HF 209 CHF Median 8.7 years (8.7 ± 1 year) hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Egstrup, 2012 [39] Prospective cohort study 416

CHF

LVEF ≤45%

Median 4.4 years (IQR: 1.9-7.5) hs-cTnT All-cause mortality Composite outcome of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular hospitalization
Zhang, 2015 [40] Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study 1189

CHF

Reduced LVEF

1 year cTnT, cTnI All-cause mortality
Kawahara, 2011 [20] Prospective cohort study 95

Nonischemic CHF

LVEF <45%

4.25 years hs-cTnI Cardiovascular mortality
Fabbri, 2015 [41] Retrospective analysis of SAFE-SIMEU database 1234

AHF Median

LVEF 45%

1 year All-cause mortality
Lee, 2022 [42] Retrospective analysis of a prospective registry (KorAHF) 4396

AHF

All LVEF

784 days (IQR 446–1116) hs-cTnI All-cause mortality
Bayes-Genis, 2013 [43] Prospective cohort study 879

CHF

LVEF 34 [26–43] %

3.46 years (mean) hs-cTnT All-cause mortality
Felker, 2012 [44] Biomarker substudy within an RCT ASCEND-HF 808

AHF

Median LVEF 25%

180 days cTnI

All-cause mortality

Composite of 30-day mortality and rehospitalization

Dyspnea improvement at 6 and 24 h

Worsening HF or death to day 7

Length of stay

Mcdowell, 2023 [45] Biomarker substudy within an RCT (PARADIGM-HF trial) 1559

CHF

LVEF ≤40%

30.7 months (mean) hs-cTnT

Composite endpoint (cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization)

Cardiovascular death

All-cause mortality

Demissei, 2021 [23] Post-hoc analysis of an RCT (RELAX-AHF) 1161

AHF

All LVEF

180 days hs-cTnT Cardiovascular mortality
Tentzeris, 2011 [46] Prospective cohort study 172

CHF

LVEF < 45%

1301 days hs-cTNT All-cause mortality or HF hospitalization
Bjurman, 2012 [47] Prospective cohort study 131

AHF

LVEF 43.1 ± 13.8 %

3 years cTnT All-cause mortality
Horiuchi, 2021 [50] Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort (AKINESIS study) 787 AHF 1 year hs-cTnI

All-cause mortality

HF hospitalization

WRF (defined as ≥0.3 mg/dL or 50% increase in creatinine within 5 days)

j_rjim-2025-0006_tab_005

Search strategy Retrieved Articles
((“heart failure”[Title/Abstract] OR “heart failure”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“troponin”[Title/Abstract] OR “troponin”[MeSH Terms])) AND (2011:2024[pdat]) 1325
((“heart failure”[Title/Abstract] OR “heart failure”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“troponin”[Title/Abstract] OR “troponin”[MeSH Terms])) AND ((english[Filter]) AND (2011:2024[pdat])) 1280
(((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) NOT ((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) AND “case reports”[Publication Type])) NOT (((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) NOT ((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) AND “case reports”[Publication Type])) AND “animals”[MeSH Terms:noexp])) AND (english[Filter]) 1032
((((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) NOT ((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) AND “case reports”[Publication Type])) NOT (((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) NOT ((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) AND “case reports”[Publication Type])) AND “animals”[MeSH Terms:noexp])) AND “english”[Language] AND 2011/01/01:2024/12/31[Date - Publication]) NOT ((((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) NOT ((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) AND “case reports”[Publication Type])) NOT (((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) NOT ((((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms])) NOT ((“heart failure”[MeSH Terms] OR “heart failure”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“troponin”[MeSH Terms] OR “troponin”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“prognosis”[Title/Abstract] OR “prognosis”[MeSH Terms]) AND (“meta analysis”[Publication Type] OR “review”[Publication Type] OR “systematic review”[Filter]))) AND “case reports”[Publication Type])) AND “animals”[MeSH Terms:noexp])) AND “english”[Language] AND ((“infant”[MeSH Terms] OR “child”[MeSH Terms] OR “adolescent”[MeSH Terms]) AND 2011/01/01:2024/12/31[Date - Publication])) 992

Details of studies evaluating heart failure hospitalizations

Author, year Type of biomarker Troponin cut-off HR/OR (95%CI) HR/OR (95%CI) Parameters included in the adjusted/multivariable analysis
Unadjusted (univariable) analysis Adjusted (multivariable) analysis
O'Connor, 2011 [51] cTnT 0.01 ng/mL 1.64; p=0.08

0.03 ng/mL 1.61; p =0.07

Espartero, 2014 [33] cTnT 0.02 ng/mL 1.25 (0.83-1.89); p=0.29 1.13 (0.72-1.77); p=0.59 Age, Sex, BMI, Ischemic heart disease, Previous HF, Anemia, LVEF, NYHA III-IV, eGFR b 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, Troponin T, NT-proBNP

Aulin, 2022 [26] hs-cTnT Continuous variable (Log-transformed using natural logarithm) χ2 =5.54; p=0.062 χ2=6.29; p=0.0454

Step 1: randomized treatment, age, sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, history of stroke/(TIA), (BMI), heart rate, sinus rhythm and renal function ([CrCl])

Step 2: Step 1 + NT-proBNP


Aimo, 2019 [28] hs-cTnT limit of detection 5 ng/L, upper reference value 14 ng/L HR 0.97; 95%CI 0.87-1.09; p=0.59

NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, hs-CRP were log2-transformed.

The prognostic model includes the three biomarkers.


hs-cTnT 1.41 (1.35-1.47); p <0.001

eGFR ≥90 1.37 (1.06-1.76) p=0.014
mL/min/1.73 m2

eGFR 60-89
mL/min/1.73 m2 1.40 (1.31-1.50); <0.001

eGFR 30-59
mL/min/1.73 m2 1.45 (1.36-1.54); p<0.001

eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 1.17 (0.96-1.42); p =0.121

Details of studies evaluating all-cause mortality

3A. ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN CHRONIC HEART FAILURE

Author, year Type of biomarker Troponin cut-off Outcome HR/OR (95%CI) HR/OR (95%CI); Parameters included in the adjusted/multivariable analysis
Unadjusted (univariable) analysis Adjusted (multivariable) analysis
Barlera 2012 [34] hs-cTnT

Continuous variable

Log-transformed, natural logarithm

Median 3.9 years HR 1.50 (1.24 – 1.81) NT-proBNP, NYHA class, age, COPD, SBP, DM, eGFR, sex, uricemia, LVEF, Hb, BMI, aortic stenosis

Bayes-Genis 2013 [43] hs-cTnT Continuous variable, logarithmic form Median follow-up 3.46 (1.85 – 5.05) years Total cohort HR 2.71 (2.25 – 3.26), p<0.001 Total cohort HR 1.58 (1.27 – 1.97), p<0.001 age, sex, ischemic etiology of HF, LVEF, NYHA class, DM, Hb (g/dL), serum Na (mmol/L), BB treatment, ACEI/ARB treatment, eGFR (in mL/min/1.73 m2), NT-proBNP, cystatin C, sST2
Renal insufficiency HR 2.62 (2.04 – 3.37), p<0.001 Renal insufficiency subgroup HR 1.65 (1.24 – 2.2), p<0.001

McDowell 2023 [45] hs-cTnT Continuous variable, log transformed median 37 months HR 1.63 (1.31 – 2.03), p<0.001 PREDICT-HF score: Age, sex, race, BMI, region, time since HF diagnosis, NYHA class, prior HF hospitalization, treatment with sacubitril-valsartan/beta-blocker, DM, PAD, prior MI, valvular heart disease, bundle branch block, prior PCI, LVEF, SBP, serum K, Cl, BUN, uric acid, albumin, bilirubin, total cholesterol, LDL, triglycerides, AST, Hb, absolute lymphocyte count, absolute neutrophil count, absolute monocyte count, NT-proBNP or BNP

Lupon 2013 [36] hs-cTnT Continuous variable quadratic term, logarithmic function of hs-cTnT Median 41.4 (IQR 22.1 – 60.5) m HR 11.68 (5.51 – 24.75) HR 3.9 (1.81 – 8.41) age, sex, LVEF, eGFR, BMI, NYHA functional class, DM, COPD, AF, ischemic etiology, Hb, serum Na, BB treatment, and ACEI or ARB

Masson 2012 [5] hs-cTnT

3 categories:

↓ hs-cTnT over time (changes < −15%)

Stable levels (changes between −15% and +15%), or

↑ levels (relative changes > +15%).

Median FU

ValHEFT 24 (1-3; 18-24) months

GISSI 47 (38 – 55) months

Val-HEFT 1.69 (1.49 – 1.92)

GISSI-HF 2.23 (1.86 – 2.69)

Val-HEFT 1.60 (1.41 – 1.82)

GISSI-HF 1.97 (1.58 – 2.46)

Val-HeFT: age, sex, BMI, LVEF (%), NYHA class (III or IV), ischemic etiology of HF, SBP, DBP, Hr, DM, AF, COPD, prescription of diuretics, beta-blockers or spironolactone, serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, log baseline hs-cTnT.

GISSI-HF: age, BMI, LVEF, NYHA class, ischemic etiology of HF, SBP, DBP, HR, DM, AF, COPD, prescription of diuretics or beta-blockers, serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, log baseline hs-cTnT.


Val-HEFT 1.59 (1.39 – 1.82)

GISSI-HF 1.88 (1.50 – 2.35)

Val-HeFT: previous parameters + baseline NT-proBNP and hs-CRP

GISSI-HF: previous parameters + baseline NT-proBNP and hs-CRP


Lok 2013 [38] hs-cTnT hs-cTnT > 26.5 ng/ml Median 8.4 years HR 1.53 (1.32 – 1.78)

Model 1: HR 1.45 (1.24 – 1.71)

Model 2: HR 1.36 (1.14 – 1.62)

Model 3: HR 1.27 (1.06 – 1.53)

Model 1 = Age, gender

Model 2 = Model 1 + renal function (eGFR), HF etiology, NT-proBNP

Model 3 = Model 2 + GDF-15, hs-CRP, galectin 3


Yilmaz Oztekin 2023 [48] hs-cTnT Hs-cTnT ≥ 21.5 ng/L median follow-up of 30 months HR 1.012 (1.007–1.017), p<0.001 HR:1.012, 95% CI:1.003–1.020, p= 0.005 eGFR, hemoglobin, NT-proBNP, BMI, and left atrial diameter

Tentzeris 2011 [46] hs-cTnT hs-cTnT > 14 pg/mL median follow-up 1301 [707 – 1636] days) HR 4.54; 95% CI, 1.92–10.73, p<0.001 HR 1.92 (1.11 – 3.33) p=0.02 age, sex, NYHA class, eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2, median NT-proBNP > 1809 pg/mL

Jungbauer 2014 [32] hs-cTnT hs-cTnT > 14 ng/L 3-year follow-up OR 4.80 (1.58 – 14.59) p = 0.0057 HR 1.2 (1.03 – 1.50) p = 0.025 Age, eGFR, LVEF, NYHA class > 2

Bosselmann 2013 [49] hs-cTnT Quartile groups median follow-up of 4.5 (interquartile range: 2–7.7) years HR 3.07 (1.90 – 4.96) P<0.001 age, sex, LVEF, NYHA class, DM, IHD, eGFR

Egstrup 2012 [39] hs-cTnT Quartile groups Median 4.4 (IQR 1.9 – 7.5) years

Q2, HR 1.8 (1.1 – 2.9), p = 0.014;

Q3, HR 2.7 (1.7 – 4.2), p = 0.001;

Q4, HR 4.6 (3.0 – 7.0), p = 0.001;

Q1 reference

Q2, HR 1.4, 95% CI 0.9 to 2.4, p _ 0.15;

Q3, HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.3 to 3.1, p _ 0.008;

Q4, HR 3.1, 95% CI 1.9 to 5.1, p _0.001)

age, gender, LVEF, NYHA class, DM, CAD, Hb, eGFR, interval of inclusion

The gender-specific 99th percentile concentration limit as established in a healthy population: men > 18 ng/L women > 8 ng/L

HR 1.4 (95% confidence interval 0.9 to 2.4, p 0.16) for quartile 2, 1.7 (0.9 to 2.5, p 0.12) for quartile 3, and 2.6 (1.6 to 4.4, p <0.001) for quartile 4

Troponin T 99th percentile 1.7 (1.2–2.5) 0.003

age, gender, LVEF, NYHA class, DM, CAD, Hb, eGFR, interval of inclusion, NT-proBNP

Aulin 2022 [26] cTnT Continuous variable Log-transformed, natural logarithm

Long-term all-cause mortality

Median follow-up 1.9 years

χ2 = 220 χ2 = 127 Step 1: randomized treatment, age, sex, HTN, DM, CAD, history of stroke/TIA, BMI, HR, SR, renal function (CrCl)

χ2 = 56 Step 2: Step 1 + N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)

Zhang 2015 [40] Separate analysis for cTnT and cTnI 90th percentile cTnT > 0.105 ng/ml 1-year all-cause mortality OR 3.9 (1.96 – 7.76) age ≥75 years, NYHA class III/IV, AF, eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2, DM, use of diuretics

90th percentile cTnI 1-year all-cause mortality OR 1.59 (0.65 – 3.88) age ≥75 years, NNYHA class III/IV, AF, eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2, diabetes, use of diuretics

3B. ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN ACUTE HEART FAILURE

Berge 2021 [31] hs-TnT

Continuous variable

Log-transformed, natural logarithm)

Long-term all-cause mortality HR 1.37 (95%CI 1.10 – 1.71) HR 1.20 (95%CI 0.93 – 1.55) Age, male sex, BMI, NYHA class IV, COPD, DM, NT-proBNP, CRP, eGFR

Berge 2022 [27] hs-TnT

Continuous variable

Log-transformed, natural logarithm

HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.10 – 1.61 Not statistically significant NEWS2 score, age, male sex, BMI, smoking, NYHA class IV, HF, AF, COPD, CAD, hypertension, diabetes, NT-proBNP, CRP, eGFR

Ledwoch 2022 [30] hs-TcnT

Continuous variable

Log-transformed, natural logarithm

30-day all-cause mortality

HFrEF OR 2.58 (95%CI 1.57 – 4.23)

HFmrEF OR 4.53 (95%CI 1.85 – 11.1)

HFpEF OR 1.48 (95%CI 0.89 – 2.46)

age, sex, NYHA class, DM, HTN, MI, AF, eGFR

Aimo 2019 [28] hs-cTnT hs-cTnT ≥ 43 ng/L In-hospital mortality RR 2.7 (95%CI 1.7 – 4.5)

In-hospital mortality

Not statistically significant

6-month ACM HR 1.73 (95%CI 1.17 – 2.54)

12-month ACM HR 1.60 (95%CI 1.11 – 2.33)

24-month ACM HR 1.89 (95%CI 1.27 – 2.82)

Patient cohort, age, sex, new-onset vs.worsening HF, history of CAD, admission LVEF, NYHA class, SBP, Hr, eGFR, Hb, Na, white blood cell count, history of AF, HTN, DM, COPD

Continuous variable

Log2-transformed

In-hospital mortality

HR 1.45 (95%CI 1.31 – 1.59)

In-hospital mortality

HR 1.30 (95%CI 1.07 – 1.60)


Ledwoch, 2021-2022 [30] hs-cTnT

eGFR ≥ 45 ml/min: hs-cTnT > 40 ng/L

eGFR < 45 ml/min: hs-cTnT > 55 ng/L

30-day all-cause mortality

eGFR ≥ 90ml/min AUC 0.75 (0.64 – 0.86)

eGFR 60 – 89 ml/min AUC 0.74 (0.62 – 0.85)

eGFR 45 – 59 ml/min AUC 0.77 (0.64 – 0.91)

eGFR 30 – 44 ml/min AUC 0.63 (0.50 – 0.75)

eGFR < 30 ml/min AUC 0.62 (0.49 – 0.74)

N/A N/A

Horiuchi 2021 [50] hs-cTnI Continuos variable log-2 transformed 1-year all-cause mortality

Tertile 1 HR 0.88 (0.37 – 2.11)

Tertile 2 HR 1.10 (0.55 – 2.18)

Tertile 3 HR 1.20 (0.69 – 2.07)

HR 1.12 (1.03 – 1.22), p=0.012 age, Black race, history COPD, oedema, SBP, Hr, Na, Hb, and BUN, BNP, sNGAL, uNGAL, and Gal3.

Guisado Espartero 2014 [33] cTnT cTnT > 0.02 ng/mL 1-year all-cause mortality 2.52 (1.58 – 4.01) 1.91 (1.09 – 3.32) age, female sex, BMI > 25 kg/m2, IHD, previous HF, anemia, LVEF < 45%, NYHA III–IV, eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2, NT-proBNP > 3264 pg/mL

Separate analysis of patients with eGFR<60: patients with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 and intermediate-high TnT had more deaths than those with eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73

Bjurman 2013 [47] cTnT cTnT>10ng/L All-cause long-term mortality at 3 years HR 2.94 (1.06 – 8.15), p=0.038 HR 147 (11.2 – 1929.8), p<0.001 Age, ALP, urea, creatinine, orosomucoid, NT-proBNP, TnT, CK-MB, CysC

Ather 2013 [37] cTnI with 3 measurements during 3 different admissions

The median value of minimum cTnI was 0.03 ng/ml (IQR: 0.03 to 0.06 ng/ml

The median overall cTnI was 0.06 ng/ml (IQR: 0.04 to 0.1 ng/ml)

The median value of maximum cTnI was 0.15 ng/ml (IQR: 0.08 to 0.42 ng/ml)

delta cTnI equal to 0.01 ng/ml (IQR: – 0.05 to 0.09 ng/ml)

All-cause long-term mortality

(632 person-years)

Minimum cTnI: HR=5.8, 95% CI 1.7 to 19.7

Median cTnI: HR=2.3, 95% CI: 1.3 to 4.1

Delta cTnI: HR=1.1, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.23

Maximum cTnI was not associated with mortality

minimum TnI was the only TnI pattern significantly

associated with mortality, with a .2 value of 13.7, pb0.001 and HR of 13.7 (95% CI: 3.7 to 50.8)

minimum TnI > 0.04 ng/ml HR=1.6, 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.3,

age, gender, race, ischemic etiology of HF, EF, NYHA class, number of vessels having more than 50% stenosis on angiography, baseline admission TnI, baseline peak TnI, CV admission, HF admission and total number of admissions during the run-in period; history of smoking, HTN, PAD, AF, DM, COPD, CKD, LVF, CAD

Felker 2012 [44] cTnI Continuous variable, log transformed in using log base 2 Death at 30 days

Doubling of cTnI: OR 1.23 (1.01 – 1.50), p=0.035

20% increase of cTnI OR 3.39 (1.26 – 9.15), p=0.0158

Absolute change in troponin

OR 0.76 (0.57 – 1.02), p=0.063

Doubling of cTnI: OR 1.11 (0.89 – 1.38), p=0.37 Age, log(BUN), serum sodium, hypotension (baseline), dyspnoea at rest

Death at 180 days Doubling of cTnI: HR 1.25 (1.13 – 1.38), p<0.001 Doubling of cTnI: HR 1.11 (0.99 – 1.25), p=0.086 Age, log(BUN), serum sodium, hypotension (baseline), dyspnoea at rest (baseline).

Lee 2022 [42] cTnI cTnI≥0.05 ng/mL (elevated); <0.05 ng/mL (normal) Overall all-cause mortality

Compared to patients with non-IHF and normal troponin, subgroup categories:

Non-IHF and ↑ troponin HR 1.77 (1.52 – 2.07), p<0.001

IHF and normal troponin HR 1.61 (1.26 – 2.06), p<0.001

IHF and ↑ troponin HR 2.29 (1.97 – 2.66), p<0.001

Compared to patients with non-IHF and normal troponin, subgroup categories:

Non-IHF and ↑ troponin HR 1.60 (1.36 – 1.88), p<0.001

IHF and normal troponin HR 1.44 (1.12 – 1.85), p=0.005

IHF and ↑ troponin HR 1.88 (1.60 – 1.55), p<0.001

Age, sex, previous history of admission due to HF, HTN, DM, CKD, COPD, CVA, prior history of CAD, MI, malignancy, initial SBP, initial LVEF, initial Na, initial Cr, AF at admission, medication at discharge, including ACEI/ARB, BB, or AA

cTnI≥0.05 ng/mL 90-day all-cause mortality

Non-IHF

HR 3.08 (2.27 – 4.17), p<0.001

IHF HR 3.47 (2.02 – 5.93), p<0.001

Non-IHF

HR 2.47 (1.81 – 3.37), p<0.001

IHF

HR 2.91 (1.65-5.12), p<0.001


cTnI≥0.05 ng/mL Post-90-day all-cause mortality

Non-IHF

HR 1.41 (1.18 – 1.68), p<0.001

IHF

HR 1.03 (0.81 – 1.32), p=0.79

Non-IHF

HR 1.36 (1.13 – 1.63), P<0.001

IHF

N/A


Fabbri 2015 [41] cTnT or cTnI

cTnT ≥ 50 ug/L

cTnI ≥0.5 ng/L

1-year all-cause mortality HR 1.21 (1.05 – 1.39) age, sex, new-onset dysrhythmias, cardiac valvular diseases, CAD, presence PM or ICD, history of AHF, CKD, COPD, DM, CVD, cognitive defects, poor nutritional status, compliance with pharmacology prescriptions (ACEI, ARB, BB, loop diuretics, MRA, anticoagulants, antithrombotic agents), plasma Na<135 mEq/L, NT-proBNP > 5000ng/L, eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73m2

Details of studies evaluating cardiovascular mortality

AUTHOR/YEAR Type of biomarker Troponin cut off HR/OR (95%CI) HR/OR (95%CI) Parameters included in the adjusted/multivariable analysis
Unadjusted (univariable) analysis Adjusted (multivariable) analysis
Zymliński 2017 [22] hs-cTnI >= URL 1.44 - systolic blood pressure, natural logarithm of N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide, diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease.
Increase vs stable/decrease 2.22 1.90 (0.84–4.29)
1Ln/pgml 1.97 (1.88–7.87) 1.67 (1.01–2.76)
Increase vs decrease 3.84 (1.88–7.87) 3.22 (1.52–6.82)

Kawahara 2011 [21] hs-cTnI hs-cTnI at baseline (ng/mL) (≥0.03 = 1, b0.03 = 0) 15.895 10.679 age, sex, NYHA class, body weight, creatinine
5.7 (1.2–7.9)

Demissei 2017 [23] hs-cTnT 1.63 (1.46–1.81) 1.64 (1.44–1.88) Adjusted for a pre-defined baseline model encompassing clinical variables (geographic region, systolic blood pressure, orthopnoea, angina, hyperthyroidism, mitral regurgitation, and atrial fibrillation/flutter at screening), laboratory parameters (white blood cell count, lymphocyte %, blood urea nitrogen, sodium, potassium, calcium, and total protein), and study treatment. The covariate orthopnoea on the ordinal scale (0,1,2,3) was dichotomized into binary as: orthopnoea: 2/3 vs. 0/1. Rationale: there were 0 subjects who died due to cardiovascular causes for orthopnoea level ‘none

Masson 2012 [5] hs-cTnT upper limit of 13.5 ng/L Mortality for worsening heart failure Val-HeFT 2.32 (1.90–2.82) 2.26 (1.78–2.86) age, BMI, LVEF, NYHA class, ischemic etiology of HF, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, prescription of diuretics, beta-blockers or spironolactone, serum creatinine, log baseline hs-cTnT.
age, BMI, LVEF, NYHA class, ischemic etiology of HF, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, heart rate, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, COPD, prescription of diuretics or betablockers, serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, log baseline hs-cTnT.
Mortality for worsening heart failure GISSI-HF 2.99 (2.30–3.89) 2.9 (2.08–4.03)
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