<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Defence capabilities have always been heavily dependent on technological capabilities. This dependence is significantly emphasized nowadays due to the very rapid advancement of science and technology relevant to defence, and especially due to the emergence of disruptive technologies. However, emerging and disruptive technologies are well known throughout human history (fire, wheel, metals, gunpowder, external and internal combustion engines, etc.). Today, the cycle of emergence, application and response to the EDT is much faster, due to globalisation and maturation of information technologies. Smaller countries, because of their modest industrial and technological base at the national level, have problems to follow the emerging and disruptive technologies. In modern civilization, the military is losing its traditional centuries-old role as a privileged customer for purchasing new, technologically advanced products and must face competition in the open market. In this case, defence must be actively involved in monitoring and predicting technological trends, with an emphasis on disruptive technologies. Countries, especially those with strong armed forces and a long military tradition, have been doing this for a long time, but supranational activities (NATO and the EU) are relatively recent. These supranational activities are an important complement to national efforts and it is recommended that they should not be neglected by smaller NATO and EU member states.</p>
</abstract>

Defence capabilities have always been heavily dependent on technological capabilities. This dependence is significantly emphasized nowadays due to the very rapid advancement of science and technology relevant to defence, and especially due to the emergence of disruptive technologies. However, emerging and disruptive technologies are well known throughout human history (fire, wheel, metals, gunpowder, external and internal combustion engines, etc.). Today, the cycle of emergence, application and response to the EDT is much faster, due to globalisation and maturation of information technologies. Smaller countries, because of their modest industrial and technological base at the national level, have problems to follow the emerging and disruptive technologies. In modern civilization, the military is losing its traditional centuries-old role as a privileged customer for purchasing new, technologically advanced products and must face competition in the open market. In this case, defence must be actively involved in monitoring and predicting technological trends, with an emphasis on disruptive technologies. Countries, especially those with strong armed forces and a long military tradition, have been doing this for a long time, but supranational activities (NATO and the EU) are relatively recent. These supranational activities are an important complement to national efforts and it is recommended that they should not be neglected by smaller NATO and EU member states.

Prediction of the EDT Trends – National and Supranational Activities

Land Forces Academy Review

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Prediction of the EDT Trends \u2013 National and Supranational Activities"}

Defence capabilities have always been heavily dependent on technological capabilities. This dependence is significantly emphasized nowadays due to the very...

Prediction of the EDT Trends – National and Supranational Activities

Published Online: Dec 30, 2021

Page range: 328 - 336

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/raft-2021-0043

Keywords
technology prediction, emerging and disruptive technologies, TechWatch

© 2021 Mladen Viher et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Prediction of the EDT Trends – National and Supranational Activities

Published Online: Dec 30, 2021

Page range: 328 - 336

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/raft-2021-0043

Keywordstechnology prediction, emerging and disruptive technologies, TechWatch

© 2021 Mladen Viher et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Keywords
technology prediction, emerging and disruptive technologies, TechWatch