Carbon Leakage in the context of increasing the EU greenhouse gas emission reduction targets – the ways the EU and global emission behave and what influences its scale
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Jun 28, 2019
About this article
Published Online: Jun 28, 2019
Page range: 6 - 23
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/oszn-2019-0006
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© 2019 Jan Gąska, Maciej Pyrka, Robert Jeszke, Wojciech Rabiega, Monika Sekuła, published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.
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![Total emission in the EU in different scenarios [MtCO2eq.]Source: CAKE/KOBiZE own study based on d-PLACE model results](https://sciendo-parsed.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/64726a02215d2f6c89dc7271/j_oszn-2019-0006_fig_003.jpg?X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Content-Sha256=UNSIGNED-PAYLOAD&X-Amz-Credential=AKIA6AP2G7AKOUXAVR44%2F20250912%2Feu-central-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-Date=20250912T005917Z&X-Amz-Expires=3600&X-Amz-Signature=34bc572752926f4994d9c97c0603d3ddacc6ff14dbd0129a448ff97b485a5b73&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&x-amz-checksum-mode=ENABLED&x-id=GetObject)
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Types of scenarios and models used for analysis
| GHG’s emission reduction target for EU-28 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario | Total GHG’s emission reduction in 2030 compared to 1990 | EU ETS in 2030 compared to 2005 | non-ETS in 2030 compared to 2005 | Market Stability Reserve in EU ETS |
| 40% | 43% | 30% | Not included | |
| 40% | 43% | 30% | Included | |
| 45% | 48% | 36% | Included | |
| 40% | 43% | 30% | Not included | |
| 40% | 43% | 30% | Included | |
| 45% | 48% | 36% | Included | |