Optimal control strategy of COVID-19 spread in Morocco using SEIRD model
, , and
Nov 22, 2020
About this article
Published Online: Nov 22, 2020
Page range: 66 - 79
Received: Jul 07, 2020
Accepted: Oct 20, 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/mjpaa-2021-0007
Keywords
© 2020 H. Ferjouchia et al., published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
This paper aims to predict the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Morocco from a mathematical approach. Based on the reliability of the data and the nature of confirmed cases, the SEIRD model is employed to provide a theoretical framework to forecast COVID-19 ongoing epidemic. Findings suggest that the structure and parameters of the proposed model give insights into the dynamics of the virus. Hence, this study contributes to the conceptual areas of knowledge on COVID-19 in proposing an optimal control plan to help decrease the number of confirmed cases by applying preventive measures such as social distancing, wearing facial masks. Matlab/Simulink TM simulations are used to illustrate the findings.