<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The number of road accidents in the world is decreasing year by year. This number has been affected by the pandemic in recent years but is still very high. Therefore, it is necessary to take all possible measures and steps to reduce this number. The objective of the article is to forecast the number of road accidents in Poland depending on the day of the week. For this purpose, the annual data on the number of road accidents in Poland broken down by days of the week were analyzed, and a forecast for the years 2022-2040 was prepared on the basis of the police statistics. The forecast was made using selected models of neural networks. The research results show that a decrease in in the number of road accidents can be expected. However, the obtained results could be affected by the selected number of random samples (training, testing and validation).</p>
</abstract>

The number of road accidents in the world is decreasing year by year. This number has been affected by the pandemic in recent years but is still very high. Therefore, it is necessary to take all possible measures and steps to reduce this number. The objective of the article is to forecast the number of road accidents in Poland depending on the day of the week. For this purpose, the annual data on the number of road accidents in Poland broken down by days of the week were analyzed, and a forecast for the years 2022-2040 was prepared on the basis of the police statistics. The forecast was made using selected models of neural networks. The research results show that a decrease in in the number of road accidents can be expected. However, the obtained results could be affected by the selected number of random samples (training, testing and validation).

Forecasting the Number of Road Accidents in Poland Depending on the Day of the Week using Neural Networks

Stanislaw Staszic University of Applied Sciences in Pila

LOGI – Scientific Journal on Transport and Logistics

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

The number of road accidents in the world is decreasing year by year. This number has been affected by the pandemic in recent years but is still very high....

Forecasting the Number of Road Accidents in Poland Depending on the Day of the Week using Neural Networks

Published Online: Feb 17, 2023

Page range: 35 - 42

Received: Jul 18, 2022

Accepted: Jan 09, 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/logi-2023-0004

Keywords
Road accident, pandemic, forecasting, neural networks

© 2023 Piotr Gorzelanczyk et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Forecasting the Number of Road Accidents in Poland Depending on the Day of the Week using Neural Networks

Published Online: Feb 17, 2023

Page range: 35 - 42

Received: Jul 18, 2022

Accepted: Jan 09, 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/logi-2023-0004

KeywordsRoad accident, pandemic, forecasting, neural networks

© 2023 Piotr Gorzelanczyk et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Keywords
Road accident, pandemic, forecasting, neural networks