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Butcher’s Bills: Engagement-level preponderance and casualties in the French Revolution Wars and Napoleonic Wars, 1792–1815

   | Mar 11, 2024

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Regression coefficients, dependent variable: Casualty ratio

Independent variables Coefficient Standard errors t-stat
French victory, draw or loss −0.3416 0.4559 −0.75
Napoleonic Wars 1805–1815 −1.4569 0.9832 −1.48
Bonaparte Battlefield Command 0.5015 1.7589 0.29
Iberia 0.9750 1.2449 0.78
Russia 0.7140 2.2787 0.031
Preponderance ratio −0.5051* 0.02444 −20.69
Number of national armies 0.1707 0.4754 −0.36
R-square 0.3509
N 823

Summary data

Characteristics 945 Engagements 823 Engagements
Battle Outcome
French victory 442 399
Draw 34 26
French defeat 470 398
Mean Preponderance Ratio
French victory 4.209 4.400
Draw 0.007 1.494
French defeat 1.296 1.277
Mean Casualty Ratio
French victory –1.932
Draw 0.021
French defeat 0.235
Number National Armies
Two 635 552
Three or more 311 271

Ordered logit coefficients, dependent variable: Engagement outcome

Independent variables Coefficient Standard errors Z score
Preponderance ratio 0.2566* 0.0415 6.17
Napoleonic Wars 1805–1815 −0.2840 0.1503 −1.89
Bonaparte Battlefield Command 1.6079* 0.3211 5.01
Iberia 0.4168* 0.1894 2.20
Russia 0.0815 0.3160 0.26
Number of national armies −0.1004* 0.0475 −2.11
Pseudo R-square 0.0687
N 945
eISSN:
1799-3350
Language:
English
Publication timeframe:
Volume Open
Journal Subjects:
History, Topics in History, Military History, Social Sciences, Political Science, Military Policy