Determinants of Load Capacity Factor in Nigeria: Implications for Sustainable Development
James Temitope Dada
Orcid profile, Mosab I. Tabash
Orcid profile, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan
Orcid profile and 
Published Online: Jun 25, 2025
Page range: 17 - 33
Received: Apr 30, 2025
Accepted: May 29, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jec-2025-0002
Keywords
© 2025 James Temitope Dada et al., published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Research purpose
Motivated by the growing level of ecological degradation and the need to accomplish sustainable development, this study examines the influence of energy consumption, institutions, urbanization, education, and economic growth on the load capacity factor (LCF) of Nigeria.
Methodology
The study uses data from the Nigerian time series between 1984 and 2020. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) is utilized to analyse the level of cointegration and short- and long-run impact among the variables. Furthermore, Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) were used as robustness checks for the long-run estimates of ARDL.
Findings
The results suggest that in the short run, per capita income, institutions, and urbanization positively influence the LCF. However, in the long run, per capita and institutions have an insignificant effect on the LCF. On the other hand, energy consumption and primary school enrolment negatively impact the LCF in both periods. Similarly, urbanization has a negative long-run influence on the LCF, thus decreasing the environmental quality.
Practical implications
Based on the study's outcome, the study offers significant policy implications, such as changing consumption and production patterns to green ones to achieve green growth and sustainable development.