Informality | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All firms | Firms with less than 10 employees | |||||
Overall | Male | Female | Overall | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
No high school degree | 0.093** | 0.018 | 0.004 | 0.172** | 0.088 | 0.112 |
(0.041) | (0.038) | (0.016) | (0.066) | (0.068) | (0.122) | |
High school degree | 0.037** | 0.011 | −0.003 | −0.003 | 0.103 | −0.087 |
(0.015) | (0.033) | (0.016) | (0.043) | (0.074) | (0.093) | |
Higher degree | 0.010 | 0.001 | −0.002 | −0.000 | 0.054 | −0.076 |
(0.014) | (0.029) | (0.012) | (0.055) | (0.107) | (0.064) | |
15–24 | 0.172 | 0.052 | 0.021 | 0.444 | 0.147 | 0.337 |
(0.125) | (0.063) | (0.024) | (0.264) | (0.205) | (0.224) | |
25–34 | 0.038 | −0.022 | −0.003 | 0.063 | −0.011 | 0.074 |
(0.038) | (0.046) | (0.009) | (0.085) | (0.070) | (0.058) | |
35–44 | 0.036 | −0.035 | −0.006 | 0.094 | 0.041 | 0.062 |
(0.043) | (0.029) | (0.014) | (0.073) | (0.046) | (0.062) | |
45–54 | 0.022 | 0.010 | −0.000 | 0.078* | 0.128** | 0.049 |
(0.038) | (0.034) | (0.016) | (0.043) | (0.055) | (0.043) | |
55–64 | 0.020 | −0.032 | −0.002 | 0.023 | 0.009 | −0.007 |
(0.021) | (0.034) | (0.003) | (0.029) | (0.037) | (0.019) | |
Individual-level control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Monthly informal wage | Hourly informal wage | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | Male | Female | Overall | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
No high school degree | 0.232 | 0.539** | −0.128 | 0.205 | 0.670*** | −0.187 |
(0.195) | (0.196) | (0.295) | (0.203) | (0.230) | (0.370) | |
High school degree | 0.331 | 0.445** | −0.031 | 0.312 | 0.517** | 0.193 |
(0.221) | (0.203) | (0.461) | (0.195) | (0.199) | (0.488) | |
Higher degree | 0.527 | 1.990*** | 0.909* | 0.841** | 2.336*** | 1.472** |
(0.339) | (0.551) | (0.473) | (0.357) | (0.484) | (0.591) | |
15–24 | −0.018 | 0.185 | −0.465 | 0.289 | 0.607 | −0.051 |
(0.345) | (0.352) | (0.546) | (0.441) | (0.489) | (0.627) | |
25–34 | 0.582*** | 0.430*** | 0.622** | 0.568** | 0.508*** | 0.620* |
(0.205) | (0.148) | (0.256) | (0.207) | (0.164) | (0.306) | |
35–44 | 0.303 | 0.539*** | 0.606* | 0.268 | 0.645*** | 0.295 |
(0.308) | (0.139) | (0.296) | (0.245) | (0.144) | (0.355) | |
45–54 | 0.506 | 0.492** | 0.593* | 0.347 | 0.536*** | 0.488 |
(0.304) | (0.210) | (0.294) | (0.287) | (0.168) | (0.334) | |
55–64 | 0.700** | 0.779* | −0.308 | 0.672** | 0.779* | −0.150 |
(0.297) | (0.396) | (0.463) | (0.264) | (0.387) | (0.414) | |
Individual level control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Fraction of formal affected | Fraction at minimum | Excluding outlier regions | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male | Female | Male | Female | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
No high school degree | −0.002 | −0.006 | 0.012 | −0.005 | 0.007 | 0.012 |
(0.053) | (0.014) | (0.045) | (0.020) | (0.038) | (0.014) | |
High school degree | 0.018 | −0.012 | 0.006 | −0.010 | 0.015 | −0.002 |
(0.036) | (0.016) | (0.038) | (0.016) | (0.033) | (0.018) | |
Higher degree | −0.019 | −0.002 | 0.015 | −0.001 | −0.012 | −0.003 |
(0.032) | (0.015) | (0.035) | (0.016) | (0.031) | (0.013) | |
15–24 | 0.007 | −0.012 | 0.054 | 0.040 | 0.089 | 0.034 |
(0.060) | (0.032) | (0.063) | (0.029) | (0.087) | (0.023) | |
25–34 | −0.049 | 0.001 | −0.031 | 0.001 | −0.019 | −0.001 |
(0.053) | (0.009) | (0.054) | (0.011) | (0.047) | (0.009) | |
35–44 | −0.006 | −0.022 | −0.030 | −0.015 | −0.032 | −0.016 |
(0.036) | (0.016) | (0.035) | (0.020) | (0.029) | (0.020) | |
45–54 | 0.016 | −0.002 | 0.010 | 0.001 | 0.007 | 0.001 |
(0.052) | (0.013) | (0.044) | (0.012) | (0.034) | (0.023) | |
55–64 | −0.063 | 0.000 | −0.008 | 0.004 | −0.045 | −0.001 |
(0.047) | (0.005) | (0.038) | (0.004) | (0.036) | (0.003) | |
Individual level control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Monthly wages | Hourly wages | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | Male | Female | Overall | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
No high school degree | 0.321*** | 0.475*** | −0.140 | 0.327*** | 0.616*** | −0.205 |
(0.091) | (0.074) | (0.206) | (0.085) | (0.111) | (0.250) | |
High school degree | 0.353*** | 0.316*** | 0.443*** | 0.338*** | 0.362*** | 0.504*** |
(0.054) | (0.051) | (0.087) | (0.060) | (0.070) | (0.117) | |
Higher degree | 0.471*** | 1.013*** | 0.468*** | 0.512*** | 1.170*** | 0.551*** |
(0.151) | (0.186) | (0.095) | (0.137) | (0.187) | (0.101) | |
15–24 | 0.110 | 0.364* | −0.055 | 0.215 | 0.668** | 0.035 |
(0.155) | (0.194) | (0.251) | (0.202) | (0.271) | (0.297) | |
25–34 | 0.410*** | 0.299*** | 0.535*** | 0.403*** | 0.345*** | 0.527*** |
(0.069) | (0.052) | (0.073) | (0.059) | (0.050) | (0.081) | |
35–44 | 0.372*** | 0.287*** | 0.617*** | 0.304*** | 0.337*** | 0.559*** |
(0.109) | (0.064) | (0.109) | (0.088) | (0.065) | (0.113) | |
45–54 | 0.508*** | 0.589*** | 0.576 | 0.448*** | 0.658*** | 0.596 |
(0.165) | (0.081) | (0.465) | (0.147) | (0.076) | (0.510) | |
55–64 | 0.640** | 0.829** | −0.141 | 0.674*** | 0.880** | −0.052 |
(0.276) | (0.327) | (0.336) | (0.241) | (0.332) | (0.327) | |
Individual level control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Employment | |||
---|---|---|---|
Overall | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) |
No high school degree | 0.041 | −0.040 | 0.055** |
(0.128) | (0.040) | (0.024) | |
High school degree | −0.033 | 0.046 | −0.008 |
(0.079) | (0.058) | (0.023) | |
Higher degree | −0.015 | 0.150 | 0.021 |
(0.077) | (0.092) | (0.043) | |
15–24 | 0.153 | −0.036 | −0.008 |
(0.209) | (0.074) | (0.040) | |
25–34 | 0.072 | 0.043 | −0.020 |
(0.169) | (0.050) | (0.019) | |
35–44 | −0.215 | −0.029 | −0.017 |
(0.235) | (0.048) | (0.027) | |
45–54 | −0.166 | −0.021 | −0.024 |
(0.142) | (0.034) | (0.029) | |
55–64 | 0.023 | −0.031 | 0.000 |
(0.039) | (0.070) | (0.006) | |
Individual-level control | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES |
Fraction of formal affected | Fraction at minimum | Excluding outlier regions | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male | Female | Male | Female | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
No high school degree | −0.001 | 0.033 | −0.068 | 0.042 | −0.078** | 0.073*** |
(0.046) | (0.022) | (0.050) | (0.027) | (0.035) | (0.025) | |
High school degree | 0.088 | 0.009 | 0.060 | 0.022 | 0.058 | −0.007 |
(0.068) | (0.028) | (0.066) | (0.035) | (0.056) | (0.024) | |
Higher degree | 0.156 | 0.021 | 0.211 | 0.044 | 0.119 | 0.024 |
(0.106) | (0.046) | (0.125) | (0.044) | (0.104) | (0.044) | |
15–24 | −0.070 | −0.046 | 0.028 | 0.003 | 0.032 | −0.002 |
(0.062) | (0.029) | (0.075) | (0.047) | (0.094) | (0.046) | |
25–34 | 0.058 | −0.031 | 0.060 | −0.000 | 0.051 | −0.016 |
(0.049) | (0.022) | (0.063) | (0.023) | (0.051) | (0.021) | |
35–44 | 0.047 | −0.015 | −0.055 | −0.031 | −0.035 | −0.039 |
(0.067) | (0.036) | (0.055) | (0.037) | (0.043) | (0.043) | |
45–54 | 0.065 | −0.001 | −0.010 | 0.002 | −0.061* | −0.031 |
(0.062) | (0.029) | (0.041) | (0.021) | (0.032) | (0.042) | |
55–64 | −0.229*** | −0.011 | −0.033 | 0.018** | −0.052 | 0.003 |
(0.049) | (0.010) | (0.068) | (0.007) | (0.080) | (0.007) | |
Individual level control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Less impacted regions | More impacted regions | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | |||||||
Overall labor force statistics | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F |
Working-age population (000) | 15760 | 15567 | 15861 | 15735 | 16111 | 15935 | 9774 | 9877 | 9981 | 10004 | 10098 | 10106 |
Full-time wage employment (FTWE) (000) | 7453 | 2889 | 7647 | 3057 | 7708 | 3211 | 3841 | 1093 | 3999 | 1248 | 4000 | 1311 |
Full time wage employment ratio | 0.47 | 0.19 | 0.48 | 0.19 | 0.48 | 0.20 | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.40 | 0.12 | 0.40 | 0.13 |
Informal (FTWE) (000) | 806 | 348 | 761 | 336 | 736 | 337 | 793 | 308 | 791 | 316 | 747 | 311 |
Informality (FTWE) | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.24 |
Average wages (FTWE) (TL) | 1697 | 1575 | 1867 | 1709 | 2163 | 2035 | 1424 | 1273 | 1557 | 1394 | 1832 | 1693 |
Change in average wages | 10.02% | 8.58% | 15.80% | 19.02% | 9.27% | 9.43% | 17.74% | 21.46% | ||||
Average informal wages (FTWE) (TL) | 1002 | 772 | 1134 | 856 | 1306 | 1011 | 841 | 665 | 913 | 720 | 1072 | 837 |
Change in average informal wages | 13.24% | 10.90% | 15.12% | 18.15% | 8.50% | 8.24% | 17.48% | 16.30% | ||||
Less than high school emp. (FTWE) | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.32 | 0.07 |
Tertiary educated emp. (FTWE) | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.67 | 0.49 | 0.65 | 0.48 |
15-24 employment (FTWE) | 0.32 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.09 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.10 |
35-44 employment (FTWE) | 0.62 | 0.23 | 0.63 | 0.26 | 0.62 | 0.27 | 0.53 | 0.15 | 0.55 | 0.17 | 0.54 | 0.18 |
Less than high school informality (FTWE) | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.53 | 0.31 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 0.48 |
Tertiary educated informality (FTWE) | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
15-24 informality (FTWE) | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.30 |
35-44 informality (FTWE) | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.22 |
Less than high school average wage (FTWE) (TL) | 1228 | 909 | 1353 | 1007 | 1588 | 1246 | 1057 | 771 | 1160 | 850 | 1398 | 1060 |
Tertiary educated average wage (FTWE) (TL) | 2819 | 2290 | 3010 | 2468 | 3362 | 2798 | 2468 | 2057 | 2603 | 2154 | 2895 | 2518 |
15-24 average wage (FTWE) (TL) | 1078 | 1062 | 1195 | 1159 | 1467 | 1449 | 916 | 907 | 1015 | 1004 | 1215 | 1256 |
35-44 average wage (FTWE) (TL) | 1892 | 1728 | 2086 | 1844 | 2389 | 2208 | 1607 | 1408 | 1729 | 1482 | 2029 | 1777 |
Fraction of formal affected | Fraction at minimum | Excluding outlier regions | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male | Female | Male | Female | Male | Female | |
By education | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
No high school degree | 0.482*** | 0.184 | 0.566*** | 0.103 | 0.535*** | −0.249 |
(0.114) | (0.218) | (0.096) | (0.283) | (0.068) | (0.200) | |
High school degree | 0.392*** | 0.540*** | 0.328*** | 0.587*** | 0.318*** | 0.467*** |
(0.071) | (0.096) | (0.079) | (0.100) | (0.050) | (0.089) | |
Higher degree | 1.283*** | 0.549*** | 1.286*** | 0.504*** | 1.069*** | 0.469*** |
(0.240) | (0.112) | (0.239) | (0.130) | (0.195) | (0.092) | |
15–24 | 0.336* | 0.246 | 0.426** | 0.144 | 0.522** | −0.201 |
(0.196) | (0.196) | (0.196) | (0.274) | (0.206) | (0.258) | |
25–34 | 0.321*** | 0.522*** | 0.311*** | 0.578*** | 0.296*** | 0.521*** |
(0.068) | (0.087) | (0.069) | (0.113) | (0.052) | (0.075) | |
35–44 | 0.277*** | 0.463** | 0.347*** | 0.603*** | 0.279*** | 0.582*** |
(0.081) | (0.197) | (0.081) | (0.161) | (0.065) | (0.126) | |
45–54 | 0.852*** | 0.321 | 0.733*** | 0.318 | 0.631*** | 0.594 |
(0.174) | (0.428) | (0.117) | (0.437) | (0.076) | (0.488) | |
55–64 | 1.927*** | −0.467 | 0.933** | −0.219 | 1.005*** | −0.154 |
(0.195) | (0.564) | (0.391) | (0.342) | (0.328) | (0.342) | |
Individual level control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Standard errors clustered at NUT2-level | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year and region fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
5 regions x year effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |