North-North | South-North | South-South | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euclidean | Herfindahl | Canberra | Euclidean | Herfindahl | Canberra | Euclidean | Herfindahl | Canberra | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | |
Migration | -0.00334 | -0.0564* | -0.209*** | 0.0541*** | 0.0367*** | 0.0616*** | 0.0111 | 0.0121 | 0.0129 |
(0.0384) | (0.0316) | (0.0595) | (0.0151) | (0.0124) | (0.0192) | (0.0146) | (0.0112) | (0.0162) | |
Trade | 0.0484 | 0.00482 | 0.0660 | 0.0120 | -0.0199 | -0.0394 | -0.0392* | -0.0220 | 0.00725 |
(0.0971) | (0.0798) | (0.150) | (0.0256) | (0.0210) | (0.0326) | (0.0228) | (0.0175) | (0.0252) | |
Constant | -0.360 | 1.412 | 4.312 | -0.540 | -0.145 | 0.0573 | 0.909** | 0.324 | -0.0141 |
(2.159) | (1.774) | (3.345) | (0.521) | (0.428) | (0.662) | (0.448) | (0.344) | (0.496) | |
Observations | 702 | 702 | 702 | 3,108 | 3,108 | 3,108 | 3,173 | 3,173 | 3,173 |
0.953 | 0.991 | 0.944 | 0.983 | 0.982 | 0.966 | 0.958 | 0.981 | 0.960 |
Dependent variables | log(Loans) (1) | Loans (2) |
---|---|---|
log migration | 0.100** | 0.125*** |
(0.047) | (0.038) | |
log migration | 0.058 | 0.145*** |
(0.042) | (0.038) | |
log Distance | -0.744*** | -0.265*** |
(0.110) | (0.050) | |
Obs. | 1,451 | 1,588 |
Obs. with developed borrowing countries | 427 | 431 |
No. of lending countries | 17 | 17 |
No. of borrowing countries | 158 | 158 |
0.86 | 0.94 | |
Estimator | OLS | Poisson |
Panel A: extensive | OLS | IV | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
margin | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) |
Immigrants | 0.0030 | 0.0024 | 0.0080 | ||
(0.001}*** | (0.001)** | (0.003)** | |||
Emigrants | 0.0022 | 0.0011 | 0.0070 | ||
(0.001)*** | (0.001)* | (0.003)** | |||
Total FDI | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0003 | -0.0003 |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000)* | |
Total trade | -0.0005 | -0.0004 | -0.0005 | -0.0011 | -0.0003 |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000)** | (0.000)** | |
Product imports | -0.0008 | -0.0008 | -0.0008 | -0.0009 | -0.0008 |
(0.000)* | (0.000)* | (0.000)* | (0.000)* | (0.000)* | |
83230 | 83230 | 83230 | 83230 | 83230 | |
0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.14 | |
KP F Stat | 89.61 | 72.78 |
Share of votes the for Communist Party (%) | Share of votes for the opposition parties (%) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Basic controls | Plus pre- migration election results | Plus night-time light (full model) | Liberal Democratic Party | Liberal Party | Democratic Party | Party Alliance Our Moldova | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | |
Prevalence of | -0.70*** | -0.63*** | -0.63*** | 0.40*** | 0.24** | 0.08 | -0.16 |
emigration to the west (%) | (0.20) | (0.18) | (0.18) | (0.13) | (0.11) | (0.12) | (0.15) |
Prevalence of | 0.44** | 0.39** | 0.39** | -0.07 | -0.17** | -0.07 | -0.01 |
emigration to the east (%) | (0.17) | (0.16) | (0.16) | (0.09) | (0.07) | (0.08) | (0.11) |
Basic controls | yes | Yes | Yes | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Pre-election migration results | - | Yes | Yes | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Night-time light | - | - | Yes | yes | yes | yes | yes |
District fixed effects | yes | yes | Yes | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Number of observations | 848 | 848 | 848 | 848 | 848 | 848 | 848 |
0.78 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.56 | 0.66 | 0.42 | 0.37 |