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Diaspora Externalities


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Fig. 1

Emigration and political change in Moldova, 1998–2009Source: Barsbai et al. (2017).
Emigration and political change in Moldova, 1998–2009Source: Barsbai et al. (2017).

Bilateral migration and cultural convergence by development status

North-NorthSouth-NorthSouth-South
EuclideanHerfindahlCanberraEuclideanHerfindahlCanberraEuclideanHerfindahlCanberra
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)
Migration-0.00334-0.0564*-0.209***0.0541***0.0367***0.0616***0.01110.01210.0129
(0.0384)(0.0316)(0.0595)(0.0151)(0.0124)(0.0192)(0.0146)(0.0112)(0.0162)
Trade0.04840.004820.06600.0120-0.0199-0.0394-0.0392*-0.02200.00725
(0.0971)(0.0798)(0.150)(0.0256)(0.0210)(0.0326)(0.0228)(0.0175)(0.0252)
Constant-0.3601.4124.312-0.540-0.1450.05730.909**0.324-0.0141
(2.159)(1.774)(3.345)(0.521)(0.428)(0.662)(0.448)(0.344)(0.496)
Observations7027027023,1083,1083,1083,1733,1733,173
R20.9530.9910.9440.9830.9820.9660.9580.9810.960

The effect of migration on loans for developed versus developing countries

Dependent variableslog(Loans) (1)Loans (2)
log migrationij0.100**0.125***
(0.047)(0.038)
log migrationij * (non-developed country)j0.0580.145***
(0.042)(0.038)
log Distanceij-0.744***-0.265***
(0.110)(0.050)
Obs.1,4511,588
Obs. with developed borrowing countries427431
No. of lending countries1717
No. of borrowing countries158158
R20.860.94
EstimatorOLSPoisson

The effect of South-South migration on exports

Panel A: extensiveOLSIV
margin(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
Immigrants0.00300.00240.0080
(0.001}***(0.001)**(0.003)**
Emigrants0.00220.00110.0070
(0.001)***(0.001)*(0.003)**
Total FDI-0.0001-0.0001-0.0001-0.0003-0.0003
(0.000)(0.000)(0.000)(0.000)(0.000)*
Total trade-0.0005-0.0004-0.0005-0.0011-0.0003
(0.000)(0.000)(0.000)(0.000)**(0.000)**
Product imports-0.0008-0.0008-0.0008-0.0009-0.0008
(0.000)*(0.000)*(0.000)*(0.000)*(0.000)*
N8323083230832308323083230
R20.150.150.150.140.14
KP F Stat89.6172.78

East/west migration and general election results in Moldova, July 2009

Share of votes the for Communist Party (%)Share of votes for the opposition parties (%)
Basic controlsPlus pre- migration election resultsPlus night-time light (full model)Liberal Democratic PartyLiberal PartyDemocratic PartyParty Alliance Our Moldova
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
Prevalence of-0.70***-0.63***-0.63***0.40***0.24**0.08-0.16
emigration to the west (%)(0.20)(0.18)(0.18)(0.13)(0.11)(0.12)(0.15)
Prevalence of0.44**0.39**0.39**-0.07-0.17**-0.07-0.01
emigration to the east (%)(0.17)(0.16)(0.16)(0.09)(0.07)(0.08)(0.11)
Basic controlsyesYesYesyesyesyesyes
Pre-election migration results-YesYesyesyesyesyes
Night-time light--Yesyesyesyesyes
District fixed effectsyesyesYesyesyesyesyes
Number of observations848848848848848848848
R20.780.820.820.560.660.420.37