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Impact of economic conditions on (restricted) immigration to the United States: The Polish case

  
Sep 18, 2021

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Chart 1

U.S. immigration visas for Polish citizens 1992–2011, (in thousands).Source: Own elaboration based on the U.S. Department of State: U.S. Visa Law and Policy, Visa Statistics, Annual Reports.
U.S. immigration visas for Polish citizens 1992–2011, (in thousands).Source: Own elaboration based on the U.S. Department of State: U.S. Visa Law and Policy, Visa Statistics, Annual Reports.

Correlation between migration volumes and macroeconomic indicators, 1994–2018_

USA

Immigration total Immigration from Poland

Estimates (significance) Estimates (significance)
U.S. variables
Unemployment (lagged difference) −77,621.7* 820.5957
GDP growth (lagged) 43,287.5* −421.6084
Per capita GDP (lagged difference) 109.6* −.410685
FDI to GDP 8,831,567 −87,336.7
Share of investment in GDP (lagged difference) 70,564.67 −778.4
Polish variables
Unemployment (lagged difference) N.A. 551.2*
GDP growth (lagged) N.A. −708.3***
FDI (lagged difference) N.A. −7.17e-08
FDI to GDP N.A. −25,858.7
Share of investment in GDP (lagged difference) N.A. −345.1