<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The article wanted to find out if elections in the Philippines are economically motivated. Using 2019 gubernatorial election results, a logit model with inflation rate, unemployment rate, provincial revenue, and poverty incidence for the economic variables and party affiliation with the President and membership in a political family as the political variables was tested to explain the probability of an incumbent governor to be re-elected. The marginal effects tell us that a change in the unemployment rate decreases the predicted probability of a governor being reelected but interestingly, a change in the poverty incidence rates has the opposite effect.</p>
</abstract>

The article wanted to find out if elections in the Philippines are economically motivated. Using 2019 gubernatorial election results, a logit model with inflation rate, unemployment rate, provincial revenue, and poverty incidence for the economic variables and party affiliation with the President and membership in a political family as the political variables was tested to explain the probability of an incumbent governor to be re-elected. The marginal effects tell us that a change in the unemployment rate decreases the predicted probability of a governor being reelected but interestingly, a change in the poverty incidence rates has the opposite effect.

Economic voting in the Philippines

Department of Economics, College of Economics and Management

HOLISTICA – Journal of Business and Public Administration

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Economic voting in the Philippines"}

The article wanted to find out if elections in the Philippines are economically motivated. Using 2019 gubernatorial election results, a logit model with...

Economic voting in the Philippines

Published Online: Dec 09, 2021

Page range: 1 - 12

Received: Aug 01, 2021

Accepted: Nov 01, 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/hjbpa-2021-0019

Keywords
economic voting, incumbent-oriented hypothesis, restrospective

© 2021 Amelia L. Bello, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Economic voting in the Philippines

Published Online: Dec 09, 2021

Page range: 1 - 12

Received: Aug 01, 2021

Accepted: Nov 01, 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/hjbpa-2021-0019

Keywordseconomic voting, incumbent-oriented hypothesis, restrospective

© 2021 Amelia L. Bello, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords
economic voting, incumbent-oriented hypothesis, restrospective