1. bookVolume 12 (2021): Issue 3 (December 2021)
Journal Details
License
Format
Journal
eISSN
2067-9785
First Published
06 Mar 2017
Publication timeframe
3 times per year
Languages
English
access type Open Access

Economic voting in the Philippines

Published Online: 09 Dec 2021
Volume & Issue: Volume 12 (2021) - Issue 3 (December 2021)
Page range: 1 - 12
Received: 01 Aug 2021
Accepted: 01 Nov 2021
Journal Details
License
Format
Journal
eISSN
2067-9785
First Published
06 Mar 2017
Publication timeframe
3 times per year
Languages
English
Abstract

The article wanted to find out if elections in the Philippines are economically motivated. Using 2019 gubernatorial election results, a logit model with inflation rate, unemployment rate, provincial revenue, and poverty incidence for the economic variables and party affiliation with the President and membership in a political family as the political variables was tested to explain the probability of an incumbent governor to be re-elected. The marginal effects tell us that a change in the unemployment rate decreases the predicted probability of a governor being reelected but interestingly, a change in the poverty incidence rates has the opposite effect.

Keywords

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