Navigating the Future: Scenario-Based Analysis of AI Integration in Military Applications and its Implications for Global Security

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in military education and security presents both opportunities and challenges. By combining a scenario matrix and policy recommendations, this research offers insights for policymakers and defense strategists on balancing AI advancement with security governance to foster stability in military applications. This study employs a Scenario-Based Analysis (SBA) to evaluate four distinct scenarios ‒ Optimistic Adoption, Risky Innovation, Controlled Progress and Technological Stagnation - based on AI adoption levels and governance strength. Findings suggest that high AI adoption with strong governance enhances operational efficiency and international security, while rapid AI expansion without regulatory oversight leads to cybersecurity vulnerabilities and ethical dilemmas. Strong governance is identified as a crucial factor in mitigating risks and ensuring responsible AI deployment. The study further highlights the importance of AI-driven strategic simulations, cybersecurity resilience and ethical frameworks in defense strategies.