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Mapping the Parameter Space of Simulated Lotteries

   | 02 feb 2024
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This study presents an econophysics based approach to the study of lotteries. By treating lotteries as complex systems we analyse the guiding dynamics of real-world lotteries. We found that the growth of the jackpot, that can be won, between two successive draws is proportional to its preceding value. This growth is best described as a linear function with two parameters a and b reflecting foundational player pool sales and the excitement generated by the current jackpot respectively. A computer simulation considering additional parameters (such as the price of a ticket: s, and the format of the lottery: p) is used to study the statistical features of simulated lotteries covering a vast parameter space. This approach enables us to construct a detailed map of how various parameters influence lottery behaviour by examining the statistical characteristics of the simulated lotteries. The findings emphasize the need for thoughtful pricing strategies in real-world lotteries and suggest that simulations can assist organizers in making informed decisions.

eISSN:
2285-388X
Lingua:
Inglese
Frequenza di pubblicazione:
2 volte all'anno
Argomenti della rivista:
Business and Economics, Business Management, other, Mathematics and Statistics for Economists, Statitistics, Econometrics