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Hypercapnia outcome in COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome patients on mechanical ventilator: A retrospective observational cohort

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31 gen 2025
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Fig. 1.

Study Profile
Study Profile

Fig. 2.

ROC curve for weighted regression
ROC curve for weighted regression

Multivariable Analysis (ROC=0_88)

OR 95% CI p-value
Severe hypercapnia 1.08 0.28–3.48 0,993
SAPS II 1.1347 1.05–1.22 0.001
Prone positioning 0.4574 0.15–1.38 0.165
Hospital-acquired infections 1.4012 0.52–3.75 0.503
Hemodynamic instability 7.2308 2.49–20.9 0.000
Dead space 1.2778 1.01–1.60 0.033
Minute ventilation 1.3399 0.94–1.89 0.100
Plateau Pressure 0.9100 0.76–1.07 0.272
Predicted body weight 0.9182 0.85–0.98 0.012
PaO2/FiO2 ratio 0.9922 0.98–1.00 0.125
Charlson Comorbidity Index 0.8413 0.53–1.31 0.451

Clinical characteristics of patients with severe hypercapnia and no severe hypercapnia

No severe hypercapnia (n=151) Severe hypercapnia (n=137) p-value
Age (years) 60 [50.5–69.0] 61 [53, 65] 0.90
Male sex (n (%)) 85 (56) 84(61) 0.45
Predicted body weight (kg) 67 [62–72] 64 [58–70] 0.01
Charlson comorbidity index (points) 2 [1–3] 2 [2–3] 0.99
Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (points) 38 [32–42] 38 [33–42] 0.97

Co-morbid
Hypertension (n (%)) 86 (57.0) 87 (63.5) 0.31
Asthma (n (%)) 9 (6.0 5 (3.6) 0.52
Chronic obstructive lung disease (n (%)) 4 (2.6) 7 (5.1) 0.43
Restrictive lung disease (n (%)) 1(0.7) 0 1.00
Diabetes mellitus (n (%)) 75 (49.7) 66 (48.2) 0.89

Treatment during ICU stay
Prone positioning (n (%)) 65(43) 8(58.4) 0.01
Remdesivir (n (%)) 114(75) 108 (78) 0.59
Tocilizumab (n (%)) 50(33) 56(40) 0.21
Neuromuscular block (n (%)) 138 (93.9) 137 (97.2) 0.28
Steroid (n (%)) 141 (95.9) 138 (97.9) 0.53
NIV use (n (%)) 117(77) 125(91) 0.002
Recruitment (n (%)) 11 (7.3) 11 (8) 0.98

Arterial blood gases (a day before intubation)
pH 7.3 (7.3–7.4) 7.4 (7.3_7.4) 0.01
PaCO2 (mmHg) 36 [31–41] 39.9 [35–48] 0.0001
PaO2 (mmHg) 69.1 [56.1–88.0] 63.5 [55–76] 0.03
PaO2/FiO2 (ratio) 79 [63–124] 70 [57–86] 0.000
Lactate 1.8(1.2–2.5) 2(1.2–1.4) 0.73

Arterial blood gases (after 24 hours of mechanical ventilation)
pH 7.3(7.3_7.4) 7.3(7.2–7.4) 0.00
PaCO2 (mmHg) 40(35–45) 54(48–60) 0.00
PaO2 (mmHg) 80.2 [68.9, 103] 73 [65, 86.2] 0.002
Lactate 1.8(1.2–2.5) 2(1.3–2.2) 0.98
PaO2/FiO2 (ratio) 122[ 88–182] 93[ 73–123] 0.001
Tidal volume(ml/kg) 6.1(5.9–6.5) 6(5.8–5.6) 0.08
Tidal volume(ml) 400 [400, 440] 400 [350, 420] 0.000
Set respiratory rate 28 [25–30] 30 [28–35] 0.0001
Minute ventilation 11.2 [ 9.6–12.6] 12 [10–12] 0.07
Applied peep 10.5 (8–12) 10 (8–10) 0.45
Plateau pressure 29 [28, 30] 30 [28, 30] 0.003
Driving pressure 18 [16, 20] 19 [16, 21] 0.03
Static compliance 22 [18–27] 23 [19, 25.0] 0.41
Corrected minute ventilation 11 [ 9.2, 13.4] 16[13, 18.3] 0.00
MAP 92(85–100) 92(85–102) 0.63
Heart rate 100(90–110) 101(90–114) 0.10

Mortality 127(84) 130(94) 0.04

Univariate Regression Analysis

OR (95%CI) p-value
Severe hypercapnia 3.5096 (1.4605, 8.4333) 0.005
Age 1.05 (1.02, 1.09) 0.003
Gender, male 0.84 (0.40, 1.80) 0.6
Predicted body weight 0.96 (0.92, 1.01) 0.11
SAPSII 1.11 (1.06, 1.17) <0.001
Charlson Comorbidity Index 1.14 (1.06, 1.91) 0.022
Non-invasive ventilation before intubation 2.29 (0.94, 5.20) 0.056
Prone positioning 0.50 (0.22, 1.07) 0.082
Use of steroid 7.47 (1.76, 29.9) 0.004
Use of Tociluzumab 0.79 (0.37, 1.71) 0.5
Use of Remdisivir 0.79 (0.28, 1.90) 0.6
Use of neuromuscular block 8.57 (2.58, 27.8) <0.001
PaO2/FiO2 ratio before mechanical ventilation 1.00 (0.99, 1.00) 0.2

After 24-h of ventilation
PaO2/FiO2 ratio 0.99 (0.99, 1.00) 0.009
Tidal volume, ml 1.00 (0.99, 1.00) 0.3
Tidal volume, ml/kg 1.18 (0.70, 2.10) 0.5
Minute ventilation 1.19 (1.01, 1.41) 0.042
Respiratory rate 1.09 (1.02, 1.17) 0.011
Driving pressure 0.94 (0.86, 1.03) 0.2
Compliance 1.02 (0.96, 1.08) 0.6
Plateau pressure 1.01 (0.90, 1.14) 0.8
Dead space 1.25 (1.12, 1.41) <0.001
Applied peep 1.13 (1.00, 1.29) 0.054
Duration of hospital stay 0.94 (0.91, 0.98) <0.001
Duration of mechanical ventilation 1.02 (0.94, 1.11) 0.7
Acidosis 2.25 (1.06, 4.88) 0.036
Hospital-acquired infections 1.93 (0.88, 4.12) 0.092
Hemodynamic instability 6.36 (2.87, 14.2) <0.001

Secondary outcome in severe hypercapnia and no severe hypercapnia

Severe hypercapnia No severe hypercapnia p-value
Hemodynamic instability 125(82) 115(83) 0.91
Arrhythmia 31 (21) 25 (17.7) 0.79
Acute coronary syndrome 40 (27.2) 32 (22.7) 0.63
Impair liver enzyme 11 (7.2) 8 (5.0) 0.79
Emphysema 15 (9) 23 (16.3) 0.22
Renal replacement therapy 48(31) 29(28) 0.05
Pneumothorax 8 (5) 11 (8) 0.48
Deep vein thrombosis 2 (1.3) 1 (1.4) 1.00
Hospital Acquired Infection 99 (65) 107 (75.9) 0.03
Pulmonary embolism 3(2) 5 (2) 0.13
Ventilator duration 7 [ 4, 10] 6 [ 4, 10] 0.19
Hospital length of stay 11 [ 8, 15] 14 [ 9, 21] 0.04
Ventilator duration in survivals(days) 11(6–21) 6.3(4.5–5.75) 0.065
Hospital length of stay in survivals(days) 34(29–33) 17(14–11) 0.005