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Who helps the unemployed? Workers’ receipt of public and private transfers

INFORMAZIONI SU QUESTO ARTICOLO

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Figure 1

Share of unemployed individuals receiving a transfer from family (top) and unemployment insurance (bottom), heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID.Notes: Data are from the 1976–2013 waves of the PSID. Sample comprises 19- to 59-year-old adults who are either head of household or spouse. Family transfers are 1-year household totals (transfer reported by head, spouse, or both). A worker is unemployed if he/she reports at least 1 week of unemployment in a year.
Share of unemployed individuals receiving a transfer from family (top) and unemployment insurance (bottom), heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID.Notes: Data are from the 1976–2013 waves of the PSID. Sample comprises 19- to 59-year-old adults who are either head of household or spouse. Family transfers are 1-year household totals (transfer reported by head, spouse, or both). A worker is unemployed if he/she reports at least 1 week of unemployment in a year.

Figure 2

Coefficients from regression of family transfers on years since unemployment, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID.Notes: Data are from the 1976–2013 waves of the PSID. Sample comprises 19- to 59-year-old adults who are either head of household or spouse. Family transfers are 1-year household totals (transfer reported by head, spouse, or both). A worker is unemployed if he/she reports at least 1 week of unemployment in a year. Figure shows coefficient estimates of regression of family transfer on time since unemployment; regressions include covariates, individual fixed effects, and year fixed effects.
Coefficients from regression of family transfers on years since unemployment, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID.Notes: Data are from the 1976–2013 waves of the PSID. Sample comprises 19- to 59-year-old adults who are either head of household or spouse. Family transfers are 1-year household totals (transfer reported by head, spouse, or both). A worker is unemployed if he/she reports at least 1 week of unemployment in a year. Figure shows coefficient estimates of regression of family transfer on time since unemployment; regressions include covariates, individual fixed effects, and year fixed effects.

Figure 3

Coefficients from regression of family transfers on time since unemployment, spell due to displacement (top) and voluntary spell (bottom), heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID.Notes: Data are from the 1976–2013 waves of the PSID. Sample comprises 19- to 59-year-old adults who are either head of household or spouse. Family transfers are 1-year household totals (transfer reported by head, spouse, or both). A worker is unemployed if he/she reports at least 1 week of unemployment in a year. The regressions of family transfer on time since unemployment include covariates, individual fixed effects, and year fixed effects.
Coefficients from regression of family transfers on time since unemployment, spell due to displacement (top) and voluntary spell (bottom), heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID.Notes: Data are from the 1976–2013 waves of the PSID. Sample comprises 19- to 59-year-old adults who are either head of household or spouse. Family transfers are 1-year household totals (transfer reported by head, spouse, or both). A worker is unemployed if he/she reports at least 1 week of unemployment in a year. The regressions of family transfer on time since unemployment include covariates, individual fixed effects, and year fixed effects.

Replacement rate and receipt of unemployment insurance benefits and family cash transfers among unemployed workers, heads of household and spouses aged 19-59 years, 1976-2013 PSID

Replacement rateShare reporting receipt
Potential weekly UI benefitReported 6-month UI benefitReported 6-month transferUI benefitsFamily cash transferBoth UI and familyNeither UI nor family
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
All0.4320.2770.4110.2860.1530.0290.533
Age, years
290.4420.2880.3790.2160.2090.0300.544
390.4300.2580.4130.3260.1290.0320.514
490.4210.2650.4710.3390.0970.0250.538
590.4230.3190.5680.3760.0750.0190.531
Race
Black0.4280.2760.3030.2370.1620.0270.574
White0.4350.2700.5110.3360.1490.0320.483
Gender
Male0.4290.2610.2930.3610.1490.0320.459
Female0.4360.3070.5450.2050.1570.0250.613
Family
Married0.4330.2760.4120.3100.1090.0240.557
Divorced0.4300.2590.3780.2930.1870.0410.479
Never married0.4320.3040.4320.2130.2530.0340.499
Education
LTHS0.4370.2930.3540.2640.1200.0150.601
HS0.4400.2850.3340.2980.1390.0270.536
Some college0.4330.2680.4390.2990.1710.0370.492
BA or higher0.4080.2480.5550.2580.1960.0360.510
White HS0.4450.2720.3580.3770.1240.0310.467
Black HS0.4330.2910.3030.2300.1570.0230.590
White BA0.4020.2550.6500.2610.1990.0330.508
Black BA0.4190.2180.1870.2550.1940.0430.508

Coefficient estimates from regression of family transfer receipt on unemployment spell, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID

Binary transfer receiptReal transfer amount (in $2013)
(1)(2)(3)(4)
Unemployment (U)0.039*** (0.002)70.921*** (12.284)
U displaced0.037*** (0.004)49.332** (16.624)
U voluntary0.047*** (0.004)66.902*** (20.292)
U not specified0.034*** (0.003)81.649*** (17.184)
Becomes homeowner0.006* (0.003)0.006* (0.003)219.624*** (35.85)219.577*** (35.848)
Gets married0.017*** (0.005)0.017*** (0.005)5.077 (39.528)5.084 (39.535)
Gets divorced0.004 (0.005)0.004 (0.005)27.743 (31.09)27.701 (31.089)
(separated)
Becomes a parent0.004 (0.003)0.004 (0.003)-11.928 (28.081)-11.911 (28.078)
Leaves school0.071*** (0.006)0.071*** (0.006)394.865*** (56.53)394.850*** (56.543)
Becomes disabled-0.01 (0.007)-0.01 (0.007)-4.644 (32.211)-5.056 (32.207)
Homeowner-0.016*** (0.002)-0.016*** (0.002)1.389 (14.459)1.3 (14.463)
Married-0.061*** (0.004)-0.061*** (0.004)-83.636** (25.677)-83.729** (25.67)
Divorced/separated-0.013* (0.005)-0.013* (0.005)16.409 (31.815)16.352 (31.813)
Has children0.009*** (0.002)0.009*** (0.002)59.668*** (17.249)59.755*** (17.247)
Student0.050*** (0.007)0.049*** (0.007)234.176*** (57.261)234.371*** (57.218)
Disabled HH member0.027*** (0.004)0.027*** (0.004)53.140** (18.225)52.949** (18.221)
State UR0.002** (0.001)0.002** (0.001)9.492** (3.445)9.553** (3.443)
Age-0.012*** (0.001)-0.012*** (0.001)-34.083*** (4.792)-34.217*** (4.794)
Other XitYYYY
Individual and year fixed effectsYYYY
Mean of dependent variable8.0%8.0%$242.99$242.99
N278,794278,794278,794278,794

Coefficient estimate of regression of family transfer receipt on unemployment, by demographic subgroup, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID

Groupγ EstimateMeanPercentage increaseGroupγ EstimateMeanPercentage increase
Aged 19–29 years0.044***0.1431%Married0.027***0.05351%
SE0.004SE0.002
Aged 30–39 years0.034***0.06850%Divorced0.050***0.10846%
SE0.004SE0.008
Aged 40–49 years0.023***0.04947%Never married0.054***0.17830%
SE0.004SE0.006
Aged 50–59 years0.015**0.03938%Less than HS0.022***0.07231%
SE0.005SE0.005
Male0.043***0.07657%HS degree0.036***0.07151%
SE0.003SE0.003
Female0.035***0.08342%Some college0.039***0.08944%
SE0.003SE0.004
Black0.037***0.09340%BA or higher0.061***0.08671%
SE0.004SE0.006
White0.041***0.07356%
SE0.003

Share of observed family transfers concurrent with life events, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID

Share of transfersConditional transfer size in $2013
Exiting college0.057 (0.231)$4,015 ($7,749)
Getting married0.038 (0.191)$2,796 ($5,858)
Becoming separated0.056 (0.229)$2,565 ($4,775)
Buying a house0.047 (0.211)$5,795 ($12,708)
Having a child0.054 (0.226)$3,094 ($7,769)
Unemployed0.236 (0.425)$2,060 ($4,158)
None of the above0.599 (0.490)$3,034 ($6,479)

Coefficient estimates of regressions of family transfer receipt on unemployment insurance receipt, actual and instrumented, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID

ObservedIVIVIV
All yearsAll years1976–19951996–2013
(1)(2)(3)(4)
Unemployment0.047***0.046***0.035***0.057**
SE0.0030.010.0070.018
U*UI-0.026***-0.022-0.013-0.042
SE0.0040.0280.0210.050
XitYYYY
Individual fixed effectsYYYY
State × Year fixed effectsYYYY
Wage splineYYYY
N225,298225,298104,434120,864
Unemployment81.996***126.348104.796*268.452
SE16.8881.7142.05171.039
U*UI-44.413-172.286-199.33-504.385
SE23.553233.246120.452480.321
XitYYYY
Individual fixed effectsYYYY
State × Year fixed effectsYYYY
Wage splineYYYY
N225,298225,298104,434120,864

Coefficient estimate of regression of family transfer receipt on unemployment, by length of spell, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID

All spellsDisplacedVoluntaryNot specified
(1)(2)(3)(4)
Tit = Dummy
Short spell0.027***0.022**0.049***0.015**
SE0.0040.0080.0090.005
Medium spell0.035***0.032***0.045***0.029***
SE0.0030.0040.0050.003
Long spell0.061***0.059***0.052***0.065***
SE0.0040.0070.010.006
Tit = Amount
Short spell44.339-19.44282.35348.26
SE24.40631.86350.44934.488
Medium spell61.758***35.0254.571*78.637***
SE14.8720.2823.20322.913
Long spell118.278***118.122***91.879*122.748***
SE19.31928.92641.326.474

Coefficient estimate of regression of family transfer receipt on unemployment, by variable construction, heads of household and spouses aged 19–59 years, 1976–2013 PSID

Binary transfer receiptReal transfer amount (in $2013)
OwnHeadSpouseOwnHeadSpouse
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
Unemployment0.036***0.044***0.00667.603***64.481***1.456
SE0.0020.0030.0029.97911.4792.955
Other XitYYYYYY
Individual and Year fixed effectsYYYYYY
Mean of dependent variable6.0%7.3%0.9%$162.60$209.62$33.38
N278,794173,125105,669278,794173,125105,669