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Trends in Pancreatic Cancer Mortality in Serbia: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis

Sanja Ilic

Sanja Ilic

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Department of Social MedicineSerbia
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Ilic, Sanja
, 
Filip Dzudovic

Filip Dzudovic

University of Pristina, Faculty of MedicineKosovska Mitrovica, Serbia
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Dzudovic, Filip
, 
Jovana Radovanovic

Jovana Radovanovic

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Department of EpidemiologySerbia
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Radovanovic, Jovana
, 
Viktor Selakovic

Viktor Selakovic

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Department of Communication Skills, Ethics and PsychologySerbia
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Selakovic, Viktor
, 
Emilija Subanovic

Emilija Subanovic

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical SciencesSerbia
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Subanovic, Emilija
, 
Natalija Djurovic

Natalija Djurovic

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical SciencesSerbia
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Djurovic, Natalija
, 
Dragana Andric

Dragana Andric

Clinical Center Kragujevac, Department for organization, planning, evaluation and medical informatics KragujevacSerbia
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Andric, Dragana
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Zorana Babic

Zorana Babic

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical SciencesSerbia
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Babic, Zorana
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Svetlana Vukosavljevic

Svetlana Vukosavljevic

  • University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical SciencesSerbia
  • Health Center Dr Dimitrije Pitović KosjerićSerbia
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Vukosavljevic, Svetlana
 e 
Maja Mirocevic Rotolo

Maja Mirocevic Rotolo

  • University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical SciencesSerbia
  • A3 Medical CenterSutomore, Montenegro
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Rotolo, Maja Mirocevic
  
07 ago 2025
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Categoria dell'articolo: Original Scientific Article
Pubblicato online: 07 ago 2025
Ricevuto: 04 apr 2025
Accettato: 08 mag 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eabr-2025-0007
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© 2025 Sanja Ilic et al., published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Figure 1.

Trends of age-standardized pancreatic cancer mortality rates in Serbia by sex, in the period 2000–2021.
Trends of age-standardized pancreatic cancer mortality rates in Serbia by sex, in the period 2000–2021.

Figure 2.

Distribution of pancreatic cancer mortality by age groups in Serbia, 2000 – 2021.
Distribution of pancreatic cancer mortality by age groups in Serbia, 2000 – 2021.

Figure 3.

Trend in mortality of pancreatic cancer in Serbia, 2000 – 2021.
Trend in mortality of pancreatic cancer in Serbia, 2000 – 2021.

Number of death cases, crude rates and ASRs (per 100,000) for pancreatic cancer in Serbia, 2000 – 2021_

Year Total Men Women
N Crude rate ASRa N Crude rate ASRa N Crude rate ASRa
2000 747 9.94 5.30 401 10.97 6.48 346 8.96 4.28
2001 772 10.29 5.34 445 12.20 7.04 327 8.48 3.96
2002 835 11.13 5.72 466 12.78 7.22 369 9.58 4.49
2003 855 11.43 5.87 451 12.40 6.98 404 10.51 4.88
2004 852 11.42 5.70 476 13.12 7.32 376 9.81 4.29
2005 988 13.32 6.61 518 14.32 8.07 470 6.25 3.11
2006 910 12.28 6.11 520 14.43 7.99 390 10.24 4.54
2007 966 13.09 6.18 491 13.68 7.42 475 12.52 5.13
2008 1034 14.07 6.60 561 15.70 8.29 473 12.53 5.17
2009 1020 13.03 6.49 546 15.34 8.19 474 12.60 5.01
2010 1088 14.92 7.06 566 15.96 9.51 522 13.94 5.78
2011 1055 14.58 6.73 570 16.18 8.32 485 13.06 5.43
2012 1099 15.26 6.65 573 16.34 8.04 526 14.24 5.46
2013 1070 14.93 6.56 585 16.76 8.24 485 13.19 5.12
2014 1056 14.81 6.41 573 16.50 7.99 483 13.20 5.09
2015 1134 15.98 6.89 618 17.89 8.44 516 14.18 5.61
2016 1151 16.31 6.83 599 17.42 8.15 552 15.25 5.81
2017 1156 16.47 6.77 619 18.10 8.35 537 14.91 5.44
2018 1168 16.73 6.98 615 18.08 8.41 553 15.44 5.79
2019 1206 17.36 7.14 640 18.91 8.69 566 15.89 5.80
2020 1169 16.94 6.81 625 18.60 8.46 544 15.37 5.39
2021 1157 16.93 6.76 595 17.88 7.97 562 16.02 5.74
Overall 22488 14.15 6.43 12053 15.62 8.24 10435 12.55 5.06

Joinpoint regression analysis* of pancreatic cancer mortality by age in Serbia, 2000 – 2021_

Total Men Women
ASR±SD AAPCa (95% CIb) ASR±SD AAPCa (95% CIb) ASR±SD AAPCa (95% CIb)
25 – 29 0.2±0.2 0.1±0.2 0.2±0.3
30 – 34 0.3±0.3 0.3±0.4 0.3±0.5
35 – 39 0.4±0.4 −0.9 (−4.5–2.9) 1.2±0.7 0.3±0.5
40 – 44 2.1±0.6 −1.3 (−3.6–1.2) 3.1±1.5 −1.5 (−4.3–1.5) 1.4±0.7
45 – 49 5.01±1.2 0.4 (−1.4–2.4) 6.3±2.0 −0.5 (−2.5–1.6) 3.9±1.8 2.1 (−2.4–7.1)
50 – 54 10.4±1.2 0.1 (−0.8–0.9) 13.8±4.2 −0.1 (−1.9–1.7) 7.8±1.5 0.5 (−1.2–2.3)
55 – 59 18.7±2.1 0.1 (−0.8–1.1) 24.5±3.9 −0.7 (−1.9–0.5) 13.3±2.4 1.9* (0.6–3.2)
60 – 64 27.8±3.0 1.2* (0.5–1.8) 35.2±5.1 1.1* (0.1–2.2) 20.7±4.1 1.7 (−0.2–3.7)
65 – 69 40.0±5.5 1.7* (1.1–2.4) 50.6±7.4 1.* (1.0–2.5) 30.2±5.8 2.1* (0.6–3.7)
70 – 74 52.2±6.1 1.6* (0.6–2.6) 63.5±9.8 1.6* (0.6–2.6) 42.9±6.6 0.9* (0.01–1.8)
75 – 79 62.1±9.4 2.5* (1.2–3.7) 71.3±14.5 2.1* (0.6–3.6) 53.7±9.0 2.9* (0.3–3.6)
80 – 84 70.4±10.0 1.7* (0.7–2.8) 77.9±18.1 1.5 (−1.1–4.3) 65.2±12.2 2.1* (0.7–3.4)
85+ 63.3±11.4 3.1* (1.6–4.5) 68.2±22.9 57.9±13.3 4.4* (2.1–6.4)
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Medicina, Medicina clinica, Medicina clinica, altro
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