<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The current study scrutinizes the calendar anomalies in the context of the local market by analyzing the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). For this purpose, closing prices of KSE-100, KSE-30 and KSE-All share Index from January, 2009 to June, 2021 have been used as well as a thorough individual firm level analysis is done, taking average log-returns of selected sample firms returns using OLS regression, general GARCH (1,1), asymmetric TGARCH and PGARCH models. The results indicate monthly seasonality, with significant April, July, and September effect in PSX indices returns. The findings of the study reveal that weak form inefficiency exists in Pakistan Stock Market, which implies the possibility of earning abnormal returns by investors using timing strategies. Due to global pandemic conditions, investor psychology investors turned circumspect. Consequently, the individual firms’ trading has also reduced.</p>
</abstract>

The current study scrutinizes the calendar anomalies in the context of the local market by analyzing the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). For this purpose, closing prices of KSE-100, KSE-30 and KSE-All share Index from January, 2009 to June, 2021 have been used as well as a thorough individual firm level analysis is done, taking average log-returns of selected sample firms returns using OLS regression, general GARCH (1,1), asymmetric TGARCH and PGARCH models. The results indicate monthly seasonality, with significant April, July, and September effect in PSX indices returns. The findings of the study reveal that weak form inefficiency exists in Pakistan Stock Market, which implies the possibility of earning abnormal returns by investors using timing strategies. Due to global pandemic conditions, investor psychology investors turned circumspect. Consequently, the individual firms’ trading has also reduced.

COVID-19 and Seasonality in Monthly Returns: a Firm Level Analysis of PSX

Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"COVID-19 and Seasonality in Monthly Returns: a Firm Level Analysis of PSX"}

The current study scrutinizes the calendar anomalies in the context of the local market by analyzing the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). For this purpose,...

COVID-19 and Seasonality in Monthly Returns: a Firm Level Analysis of PSX

Publié en ligne: 03 juin 2024

Pages: 201 - 230

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2024-0010

Mots clés
month-of-the-year effect, July Effect, Tax loss selling hypothesis, Pakistan stock exchange, calendar effect, July Effect, Tax loss selling

© 2024 Farah Naz et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

COVID-19 and Seasonality in Monthly Returns: a Firm Level Analysis of PSX

Publié en ligne: 03 juin 2024

Pages: 201 - 230

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2024-0010

Mots clésmonth-of-the-year effect, July Effect, Tax loss selling hypothesis, Pakistan stock exchange, calendar effect, July Effect, Tax loss selling

© 2024 Farah Naz et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Mots clés
month-of-the-year effect, July Effect, Tax loss selling hypothesis, Pakistan stock exchange, calendar effect, July Effect, Tax loss selling