<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age dependency ratio. Previous scenarios anticipated larger gains in life expectancy, leading to demographic aging. However, consistently heightened migration patterns have counteracted the projections. The dual aging process in demographic change has now transformed into a triple demographic transformation, which may have fiscal implications beyond demographic aging.</p>
</abstract>

The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age dependency ratio. Previous scenarios anticipated larger gains in life expectancy, leading to demographic aging. However, consistently heightened migration patterns have counteracted the projections. The dual aging process in demographic change has now transformed into a triple demographic transformation, which may have fiscal implications beyond demographic aging.

The Demographic Change in Transition

Wirtschaftsdienst

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Der demografische Wandel im Wandel

The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age...

The Demographic Change in Transition

Publié en ligne: 20 avr. 2024

Pages: 269 - 274

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0072

© 2024 Sebastian Schultis et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.