<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change scenarios were used to simulate the runoff through the calibrated Tank model. A catchment (4648 ha) located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea was chosen for this research study. The results showed that this model has a reasonable predictive capability in simulating minimum and maximum temperatures at a level of 99%, rainfall at a level of 93%, and radiation at a level of 97% under various scenarios in agreement with the observed data. Moreover, the results of the rainfall-runoff model indicated an increase in the flow rate of about 108% under the A1B scenario, 101% under the A2 scenario, and 93% under the B1 scenario over the 30-year time period of the discharge prediction.</p></abstract>

With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change scenarios were used to simulate the runoff through the calibrated Tank model. A catchment (4648 ha) located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea was chosen for this research study. The results showed that this model has a reasonable predictive capability in simulating minimum and maximum temperatures at a level of 99%, rainfall at a level of 93%, and radiation at a level of 97% under various scenarios in agreement with the observed data. Moreover, the results of the rainfall-runoff model indicated an increase in the flow rate of about 108% under the A1B scenario, 101% under the A2 scenario, and 93% under the B1 scenario over the 30-year time period of the discharge prediction.

Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources

Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG...

Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources

Publié en ligne: 06 avr. 2019

Pages: 14 - 24

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sjce-2019-0003

Mots clés
Climate change, Impact, Downscaling, Rainfall-Runoff model, LARS-WG, Tank model

© 2019 Naser Mohammadzadeh et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources

Publié en ligne: 06 avr. 2019

Pages: 14 - 24

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sjce-2019-0003

Mots clésClimate change, Impact, Downscaling, Rainfall-Runoff model, LARS-WG, Tank model

© 2019 Naser Mohammadzadeh et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Mots clés
Climate change, Impact, Downscaling, Rainfall-Runoff model, LARS-WG, Tank model