<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>The detonation of an (hypothetical) improvised nuclear device (IND) can generate atmospheric release of radioactive material in the form of particles and dust that ultimately contaminate the soil. In this study, the detonation of an IND in an urban area was simulated, and its effects on humans were determined. The risk of solid cancer development due to radiation was calculated by taking into account prompt radiation and whole-body exposure of individuals near the detonation site up to 10 km. The excess relative risk (ERR) of developing solid cancer was evaluated by using the mathematical relationships from the Radiation Effects Research Foundation (RERF) studies and those from the HotSpot code. The methodology consists of using output data obtained from simulations performed with the HotSpot health physics code plugging in such numbers into a specific given equation used by RERF to evaluate the resulting impact. Such a preliminary procedure is expected to facilitate the decision-making process significantly.</p></abstract>

The detonation of an (hypothetical) improvised nuclear device (IND) can generate atmospheric release of radioactive material in the form of particles and dust that ultimately contaminate the soil. In this study, the detonation of an IND in an urban area was simulated, and its effects on humans were determined. The risk of solid cancer development due to radiation was calculated by taking into account prompt radiation and whole-body exposure of individuals near the detonation site up to 10 km. The excess relative risk (ERR) of developing solid cancer was evaluated by using the mathematical relationships from the Radiation Effects Research Foundation (RERF) studies and those from the HotSpot code. The methodology consists of using output data obtained from simulations performed with the HotSpot health physics code plugging in such numbers into a specific given equation used by RERF to evaluate the resulting impact. Such a preliminary procedure is expected to facilitate the decision-making process significantly.

Simulated nuclear contamination scenario, solid cancer risk assessment, and support to decision

Defense Engineering Graduate Program, Military Institute of Engineering, (IME)

Institute of Radioprotection and Dosimetry (CNEN/IRD)

Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (COPPE/UFRJ)

Rio de Janeiro State University and IBRAG

Cranfield University and Defence Academy of the United Kingdom

Defense Engineering Graduate Program, Military Institute of Engineering (IME)

Nukleonika

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

The detonation of an (hypothetical) improvised nuclear device (IND) can generate atmospheric release of radioactive material in the form of particles and dust...

Simulated nuclear contamination scenario, solid cancer risk assessment, and support to decision

Publié en ligne: 24 avr. 2019

Pages: 41 - 48

Reçu: 10 sept. 2018

Accepté: 20 févr. 2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/nuka-2019-0005

Mots clés
improvised nuclear device (IND), induced cancer, risk assessment, decision

© 2019 Sergio X. Lima et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Simulated nuclear contamination scenario, solid cancer risk assessment, and support to decision

Publié en ligne: 24 avr. 2019

Pages: 41 - 48

Reçu: 10 sept. 2018

Accepté: 20 févr. 2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/nuka-2019-0005

Mots clésimprovised nuclear device (IND), induced cancer, risk assessment, decision

© 2019 Sergio X. Lima et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Mots clés
improvised nuclear device (IND), induced cancer, risk assessment, decision