<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Pandemics have the potential to cause immense disruption of our everyday activities and has impact on the communities and societies mainly through the restrictions applied to the business activities, services, manufacturing, but also education, transportation etc. Therefore, it is important to create suitable prediction models to establish convenient methods for the planning of the operations and processes to cope with the difficulty. In this paper, the prediction model for the spread of the viral disease in term of the estimated maximal weekly confirmed cases and weekly deaths using the Weibull distribution as a theoretical model for statistical data processing is presented. The theoretical prediction model was applied and confirmed on the data available for the whole world and compared to the situation in Europe and Slovakia for the pandemic waves and can be used for the more precise prediction of the pandemic situation and to enhance planning of the activities and processes regarding to the restrictions applied during the worsening pandemic situation.</p>
</abstract>

Pandemics have the potential to cause immense disruption of our everyday activities and has impact on the communities and societies mainly through the restrictions applied to the business activities, services, manufacturing, but also education, transportation etc. Therefore, it is important to create suitable prediction models to establish convenient methods for the planning of the operations and processes to cope with the difficulty. In this paper, the prediction model for the spread of the viral disease in term of the estimated maximal weekly confirmed cases and weekly deaths using the Weibull distribution as a theoretical model for statistical data processing is presented. The theoretical prediction model was applied and confirmed on the data available for the whole world and compared to the situation in Europe and Slovakia for the pandemic waves and can be used for the more precise prediction of the pandemic situation and to enhance planning of the activities and processes regarding to the restrictions applied during the worsening pandemic situation.

Prediction Model of the Pandemic Spreading Based on Weibull Distribution

Management Systems in Production Engineering

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Prediction Model of the Pandemic Spreading Based on Weibull Distribution"}

Pandemics have the potential to cause immense disruption of our everyday activities and has impact on the communities and societies mainly through the...

Prediction Model of the Pandemic Spreading Based on Weibull Distribution

Publié en ligne: 19 mai 2022

Pages: 179 - 186

Reçu: 01 janv. 2022

Accepté: 01 avr. 2022

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/mspe-2022-0022

Mots clés
Pandemics, Prediction model, Weibull distribution

© 2022 Ľuboš Guľáš et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Prediction Model of the Pandemic Spreading Based on Weibull Distribution

Publié en ligne: 19 mai 2022

Pages: 179 - 186

Reçu: 01 janv. 2022

Accepté: 01 avr. 2022

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/mspe-2022-0022

Mots clésPandemics, Prediction model, Weibull distribution

© 2022 Ľuboš Guľáš et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Mots clés
Pandemics, Prediction model, Weibull distribution