<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Generally, one of the important issues related to currency crises is the output losses caused by these phenomena. In this study, determinants of output losses and particularly the role of the central bank will be evaluated during currency crises. Moreover, the paper tries to investigate the roles of macroeconomic variables and also monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies on the output losses during currency crises. In this regard, an econometric model with panel data has been used for emerging market countries during 1980-2016. The results show that currency crises accruing have a positive and significant effect on output losses. While the successful defence of central bank has had the negative effects on the output losses, but it is positive for the unsuccessful defence and the non-intervention or immediate depreciation. However, the role of the macroeconomic condition is important where total foreign reserves can be considered as a buffer against the output losses, while inflation and deviation of the real exchange rate from its trend have had positive effects on the output losses. Finally, the output losses can be reduced by an active monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies.</p>
</abstract>

Generally, one of the important issues related to currency crises is the output losses caused by these phenomena. In this study, determinants of output losses and particularly the role of the central bank will be evaluated during currency crises. Moreover, the paper tries to investigate the roles of macroeconomic variables and also monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies on the output losses during currency crises. In this regard, an econometric model with panel data has been used for emerging market countries during 1980-2016. The results show that currency crises accruing have a positive and significant effect on output losses. While the successful defence of central bank has had the negative effects on the output losses, but it is positive for the unsuccessful defence and the non-intervention or immediate depreciation. However, the role of the macroeconomic condition is important where total foreign reserves can be considered as a buffer against the output losses, while inflation and deviation of the real exchange rate from its trend have had positive effects on the output losses. Finally, the output losses can be reduced by an active monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies.

Output Losses from Currency Crises and the Role of Central Bank

Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences

Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Output Losses from Currency Crises and the Role of Central Bank"}

Generally, one of the important issues related to currency crises is the output losses caused by these phenomena. In this study, determinants of output losses...

Output Losses from Currency Crises and the Role of Central Bank

Publié en ligne: 06 sept. 2021

Pages: 79 - 97

Reçu: 28 avr. 2020

Accepté: 06 janv. 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0025

Mots clés
Currency Crises, Output Losses, Successful and Unsuccessful Intervention

© 2021 Mahdi Yazdani et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Output Losses from Currency Crises and the Role of Central Bank

Publié en ligne: 06 sept. 2021

Pages: 79 - 97

Reçu: 28 avr. 2020

Accepté: 06 janv. 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0025

Mots clésCurrency Crises, Output Losses, Successful and Unsuccessful Intervention

© 2021 Mahdi Yazdani et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Mots clés
Currency Crises, Output Losses, Successful and Unsuccessful Intervention