Employment | Weekly hours | |
---|---|---|
Constant treatment effect (2016Q2–2016Q3) | -0.001 (0.010) | -0.011 (0.011) |
Quarter-by-quarter estimates | ||
2015Q4 (pre-NLW) | Ref. case | Ref. case |
2016Q1 (pre-NLW) | -0.002 (0.014) | -0.009 (0.016) |
2016Q2 (post-NLW) | -0.005 (0.014) | -0.009 (0.015) |
2016Q3 (post-NLW) | 0.0004 (0.014) | -0.023 (0.015) |
Nobs | 91,393 | 61,551 |
Employment | Weekly hours | |
---|---|---|
NI × post | -0.019*** (0.006) | -0.006 (0.007) |
NI | 0.009** (0.004) | -0.024*** (0.005) |
1998Q3 | 0.005* (0.003) | 0.015*** (0.003) |
1998Q4 | 0.011*** (0.003) | -0.014*** (0.003) |
1999Q1 | 0.018*** (0.003) | -0.014*** (0.003) |
1999Q2 | 0.024*** (0.003) | -0.009*** (0.003) |
1999Q3 | 0.030*** (0.003) | 0.013*** (0.003) |
1999Q4 | 0.035*** (0.003) | -0.008*** (0.003) |
2000Q1 | 0.038*** (0.003) | -0.023*** (0.003) |
Age | 0.029*** (0.001) | 0.003*** (0.001) |
Age2 | -0.0005*** (0.00001) | -0.00006*** (0.00001) |
Male | 0.263*** (0.001) | 0.350*** (0.002) |
Number of children <18 years in household | -0.044*** (0.001) | -0.019*** (0.001) |
Married | 0.044*** (0.002) | -0.037*** (0.002) |
Divorced | -0.018*** (0.004) | -0.096*** (0.005) |
Widowed | -0.028*** (0.006) | -0.102*** (0.009) |
Constant | 0.226*** (0.010) | 3.42*** (0.011) |
0.135 | 0.146 | |
Nobs | 463,647 | 298,473 |
Employment | Weekly hours | |
---|---|---|
Constant treatment effect (1999Q2–2000Q1) | -0.019*** (0.006) | 0.001 (0.007) |
Quarter-by-quarter estimates | ||
1998Q2 (pre-NMW) | Ref. case | Ref. case |
1998Q3 (pre-NMW) | -0.014 (0.012) | 0.001 (0.014) |
1998Q4 (pre-NMW) | -0.003 (0.012) | 0.007 (0.014) |
1999Q1 (pre-NMW) | -0.016 (0.012) | 0.020 (0.014) |
1999Q2 (post-NMW) | -0.025** (0.012) | 0.020 (0.013) |
1999Q3 (post-NMW) | -0.023* (0.012) | 0.010 (0.014) |
1999Q4 (post-NMW) | -0.028** (0.012) | 0.011 (0.014) |
2000Q1 (post-NMW) | -0.033*** (0.012) | -0.009 (0.013) |
Nobs | 463,647 | 282,435 |
Variable | Definition | Description |
---|---|---|
Employed in the reference week | Employed in the reference week = 1, 0 otherwise | |
Employment in minimum wage sector | Those employed in the reference week in sectors with high concentrations of minimum wage workers | Employed in the following sectors: UK SIC07 G, I, and Q = 1, 0 if employed in other sectors* |
Total actual weekly hours in main job | Total actual hours worked in main job in the reference week including overtime | This variable is constructed from TTACHR from the QLFS and HWACTUAL from the QNHS |
Total usual weekly hours in main job | Total usual hours worked in main job including overtime | This variable is constructed from TTUSHR from the QLFS and HWUSUAL from QNHS |
Sex of respondent Age of respondent in years Age of respondent in years, squared | Male = 1, female = 0 Age of respondent in years Age of respondent in years, squared | |
Single | Respondent’s marital status is single | Respondent’s marital status is single = 1, 0 otherwise |
Married/cohabiting | Respondent’s marital status is mar- ried/cohabiting | Respondent’s marital status is married/cohabiting = 1, 0 otherwise |
Widowed | Respondent’s marital status is wid- owed | Respondent’s marital status is widowed = 1, 0 otherwise |
Divorced | Respondent’s marital status is di- vorced | Respondent’s marital status is divorced = 1, 0 otherwise |
Number of Children under the age of 18 years in household | Number of children resident in the household | Number of children under the ages of 17 (RoI) and 19 (NI) years, resident in the household |
Number of children under the age of 18 years in household missing | Dummy for missing data on the num- ber of children <18 years | Missing =1, 0 otherwise |
ISCED 1 | Respondent reports highest level of qualification as “no qualifications” or equivalent | ISCED 1 = 1, 0 otherwise. |
ISCED 2 | Respondent reports highest level of qualification as General Secondary Certificate of Educations (GCSEs) (NI)/ Junior Certificate (RoI) or equivalent | ISCED 2 = 1, 0 otherwise |
ISCED 3–4 | Respondent reports highest level of qualification as A-level (NI)/leaving certificate (RoI) or equivalent | ISCED 3/4 = 1, 0 otherwise |
ISCED 5 | Respondent reports highest level of qualification as sub-degree level higher or further education | ISCED 5 = 1, 0 otherwise |
ISCED 6 | Respondent reports highest level of qualification as degree level or higher | ISCED 6 = 1, 0 otherwise |
ISCED missing | Dummy for missing data on highest qualification level | Missing =1, 0 otherwise |
NI | RoI | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
2015Q4–2016Q1 | 2016Q2–2016Q3 | 2015Q4–2016Q1 | 2016Q2–2016Q3 | |
Employment rate, 25–59/ 64 years | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
Total actual weekly hours in main job | 32.5 (16.6) | 33.6 (16.7) | 35.6 (13.0) | 36.8 (12.8) |
Total usual weekly hours in main job | 37.5 (12.1) | 37.6 (12.6) | 36.5 (11.6) | 36.8 (11.4) |
Proportion of employed in minimum wage sector | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
Male | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.52 |
Age, years | 43.0 (10.7) | 43.1 (10.7) | 42.5 (10.4) | 42.5 (10.4) |
Single | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.35 |
Married/ cohabiting | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
Widowed/ divorced | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
Number of children <18 years in household | 0.91 (1.12) | 0.90 (1.13) | 0.97 (1.20) | 0.96 (1.20) |
ISCED1 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
ISCED2 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
ISCED3–4 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
ISCED5 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.12 |
ISCED6 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
Nobs | 3,430 | 3,832 | 42,170 | 41,961 |
Employment | Weekly hours | |
---|---|---|
NI × post | -0.001 (0.010) | -0.019 (0.012) |
NI | 0.040*** (0.007) | 0.055*** (0.009) |
2016Q1 | -0.001 (0.004) | 0.035*** (0.006) |
2016Q2 | 0.001 (0.004) | 0.059*** (0.006) |
2016Q3 | 0.007* (0.004) | 0.061*** (0.006) |
Age | 0.032*** (0.001) | 0.014*** (0.002) |
Age2 | -0.0004*** (0.00002) | -0.0002*** (0.00002) |
Male | 0.129*** (0.003) | 0.299*** (0.004) |
Number of children <18 years in household | -0.038*** (0.001) | -0.029*** (0.002) |
Married | 0.119*** (0.004) | 0.020*** (0.005) |
Divorced | -0.006 (0.007) | -0.005 (0.011) |
Widowed | -0.021 (0.014) | -0.049** (0.025) |
ISCED 6 | 0.213*** (0.004) | 0.079*** (0.005) |
ISCED 5 | 0.161*** (0.005) | 0.039*** (0.007) |
ISCED 3–4 | 0.094*** (0.005) | 0.019*** (0.006) |
ISCED 2 | -0.028*** (0.005) | -0.036*** (0.007) |
Constant | -0.004 (0.028) | 3.02*** (0.038) |
0.099 | 0.085 | |
Nobs | 91,393 | 61,329 |
NMW introduction | NLW introduction | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Employment | Weekly hours | Employment | Weekly hours | |
Baseline | -0.019*** (0.006) | 0.001 (0.007) | -0.001 (0.010) | -0.011 (0.011) |
Baseline as logit (marginal effects) | -0.020*** (0.006) | – | -0.0002 (0.011) | – |
Exclude 1999Q1 | -0.022*** (0.007) | 0.006 (0.007) | – | – |
Exclude 2015Q4 | – | – | -0.00001 (0.012) | -0.007 (0.014) |
Exclude 2016Q1 | – | – | -0.002 (0.012) | -0.015 (0.013) |
Total actual hours | – | -0.005 (0.008) | – | -0.018 (0.012) |
Border region only | -0.010 (0.007) | 0.006 (0.008) | 0.014 (0.013) | -0.011 (0.015) |
Estimated with wild bootstrap clustered standard errors ( | -0.019*** (0.002) | 0.001 (0.656) | -0.001 (0.600) | -0.011*** (0.002) |
NI | RoI | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1998Q2–1999Q1 | 1999Q2–2000Q1 | 1998Q2–1999Q1 | 1999Q2–2000Q1 | |
Employment rate, 22– 59/64 years | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
Total actual weekly hours in main job | 34.6 (18.0) | 35.0 (17.9) | 40.4 (14.8) | 40.1 (14.5) |
Total usual weekly hours in main job | 39.6 (13.5) | 39.5 (13.9) | 39.1 (12.7) | 38.7 (12.0) |
Proportion of employed in minimum wage sector | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
Male | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
Age, years | 40.0 (11.3) | 40.2 (11.2) | 39.7 (11.3) | 39.8 (11.3) |
Single | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.33 |
Married/cohabiting | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.62 | 0.61 |
Widowed/divorced | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
Number of children <18 years in household | 1.07 (1.27) | 1.04 (1.26) | 1.09 (1.32) | 1.05 (1.29) |
Nobs | 11,366 | 11,552 | 220,795 | 219,934 |
Before | After | |
---|---|---|
NMW introduction, 22+ years | 1998Q2–1999Q1 | 1999Q2–2000Q1 |
NI minimum hourly wage | N/A | £3.60 |
RoI minimum hourly wage | N/A | N/A |
NLW introduction, 25+ years | 2015Q4–2016Q1 | 2016Q2–2016Q3 |
NI minimum hourly wage | £6.70 | £7.20 |
RoI minimum hourly wage | €8.65 (2015Q4) | €9.15 |
€9.15 (2016Q1) |
NMW introduction | NLW introduction | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Employment | Weekly hours | Employment | Weekly hours | |
Baseline | -0.019*** (0.006) [463,647] | 0.001 (0.007) [282,435] | -0.001 (0.010) [91,393] | -0.012 (0.011) [61,551] |
Men | -0.020** (0.008) [238,402] | 0.005 (0.007) [161,121] | -0.020 (0.013) [46,661] | 0.005 (0.012) [32,430] |
Women | -0.019** (0.009) [225,245] | -0.006 (0.012) [121,314] | 0.018 (0.015) [44,732] | -0.027 (0.018) [29,121] |
Age 22–34/ 25–34 years | -0.022** (0.010) [161,846] | 0.013 (0.010) [115,105] | -0.005 (0.019) [21,976] | -0.020 (0.019) [15,716] |
Age 35–59/ 64 years | -0.019*** (0.008) [301,801] | -0.008 (0.009) [167,330] | -0.002 (0.012) [69,417] | -0.009 (0.013) [48,835] |
Higher qualification level | – | – | -0.005 (0.012) [51,531] | -0.02 (0.012) [39,319] |
Lower qualification level | – | – | -0.001 (0.018) [19,055] | 0.002 (0.023) [9,168] |
(Share of those employed who are) employed in minimum wage sector | -0.008 (0.007) [322,021] | -0.011 (0.013) [75,607] | -0.018 (0.013) [66,462] | 0.011 (0.021) [19,439] |