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Fragmenting the Family? The Complexity of Household Migration Strategies in Post-apartheid South Africa

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Figure 1

Urban/rural location of receiving households for child migrants in wave 4, by change in maternal co-residence status over waves 1–4Notes: The sample is based on African children aged 0–8 years in wave 1 who experienced a migration event over the panel and whose mothers were alive in wave 4. Panel weights are used. Source: NIDS waves 1 and 4 (mother and child co-residence status); waves 1–4 (child migrant status). NIDS, National Income Dynamics Study.
Urban/rural location of receiving households for child migrants in wave 4, by change in maternal co-residence status over waves 1–4Notes: The sample is based on African children aged 0–8 years in wave 1 who experienced a migration event over the panel and whose mothers were alive in wave 4. Panel weights are used. Source: NIDS waves 1 and 4 (mother and child co-residence status); waves 1–4 (child migrant status). NIDS, National Income Dynamics Study.

Figure 2

Population pyramids for the rural and urban sitesSource: Population Census 2011.
Population pyramids for the rural and urban sitesSource: Population Census 2011.

Contribution of orphaning to parental absence

19932017
Number of children without a coresident mother2.6million3.4million
Mother deceased (as a percentage of children without coresident mother)8%18%
Number of children without a coresident father7.4million9.4million
Father deceased (as a percentage of children without coresident father)11%15%

Sending and receiving geotypes for child migrants

Sending destination (2008)Receiving destination (2014–2015)
UrbanRural (traditional authority)Rural (farms)Total
Urban63.6236.38100
Rural (traditional authority)46.7151.641.65100
Rural (farms)24.2173.851.94100
Total53.1445.960.90100

Parental co-residence with children, 1993–2017

Child lives with199320082017
Both parents34.6 (1.06)27.1 (1.37)30.4 (0.60)
Mother, not father43.4 (0.90)44.7 (1.17)45.4 (0.59)
Father, not mother2.7 (0.23)2.5 (0.31)3.1 (0.18)
Neither parent19.3 (0.72)25.8 (0.99)21.1 (0.45)

Parental contact and financial support to children

How frequently does (parent) see the child?MotherFather
Non-resident household memberAbsent: lives elsewhereNon-resident household memberAbsent: lives elsewhere
Every day0.4 (0.32)4.3 (0.89)0.05.4 (0.56)
Several times a week9.9 (2.97)13.8 (1.77)16.5 (6.29)13.0 (0.99)
Several times a month55.3 (5.08)39.4 (2.52)49.5 (5.88)24.8 (1.07)
Several times a year32.1 (2.73)34.6 (2.56)32.7 (5.67)26.2 (1.26)
Never2.4 (1.06)8.0 (1.05)1.2 (0.71)30.6 (1.05)
(Parent) supports the child financially70.3 (5.03)50.4 (2.33)82.5 (3.99)38.3 (1.44)

Likelihood of child migration by mother’s migration and employment status

Odds ratioStandard error
Mother migrated42.952***0.178
Mother’s employment status (wave 1)
Unemployed: not actively searching1.090***0.007
Unemployed: actively seeking work2.386***0.012
Employed1.420***0.007
Child’s age (wave 1)1.224***0.003
(Child’s age)2 (wave 1)0.965***0.000
Child’s geotype (wave 1)
Urban areas2.918***0.012
Commercial farms8.850***0.065
Number of observations = 2,433
Log pseudo-likelihood = −1,143,443.9