<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The men’s Handball World Championship commences with eight round robin groups of four teams before the “main round” of four groups of six teams. These groups of six each include the top three teams from pairs of initial groups. The tournament draw uses pots of eight which risks two teams in the top four appearing in the same group of the main round. A further issue is that teams finishing between third and sixth in the main round groups are awarded tournament places between ninth and 24th without any further matches. Therefore, the purpose of this investigation was to compare the current tournament system with alternatives using pots of four teams in the draw, and / or adding a knockout stage to place teams from ninth to 24th. These four tournament systems were simulated 100,000 times, using underlying regression models for the goals scored based on their World ranking points. Introducing pots of four increased the chance of reaching the quarter-finals for teams ranked one to four and nine to 12 by 1.3% and 1.6% respectively. It is recommended that the draw uses pots of four teams associated with pairs of initial groups that lead to common main draw groups.</p>
</abstract>

The men’s Handball World Championship commences with eight round robin groups of four teams before the “main round” of four groups of six teams. These groups of six each include the top three teams from pairs of initial groups. The tournament draw uses pots of eight which risks two teams in the top four appearing in the same group of the main round. A further issue is that teams finishing between third and sixth in the main round groups are awarded tournament places between ninth and 24th without any further matches. Therefore, the purpose of this investigation was to compare the current tournament system with alternatives using pots of four teams in the draw, and / or adding a knockout stage to place teams from ninth to 24th. These four tournament systems were simulated 100,000 times, using underlying regression models for the goals scored based on their World ranking points. Introducing pots of four increased the chance of reaching the quarter-finals for teams ranked one to four and nine to 12 by 1.3% and 1.6% respectively. It is recommended that the draw uses pots of four teams associated with pairs of initial groups that lead to common main draw groups.

A comparison of tournament systems for the men’s World Handball Championship

International Journal of Computer Science in Sport

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

The men’s Handball World Championship commences with eight round robin groups of four teams before the “main round” of four groups of six teams. These groups...

A comparison of tournament systems for the men’s World Handball Championship

Publié en ligne: 06 oct. 2023

Pages: 62 - 76

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ijcss-2023-0011

Mots clés
PREDICTIVE MODELLING, SIMULATION, TOURNAMENT DESIGN, TEAM HANDBALL

© 2023 Peter O’ Donoghue et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

A comparison of tournament systems for the men’s World Handball Championship

Publié en ligne: 06 oct. 2023

Pages: 62 - 76

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ijcss-2023-0011

Mots clésPREDICTIVE MODELLING, SIMULATION, TOURNAMENT DESIGN, TEAM HANDBALL

© 2023 Peter O’ Donoghue et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Mots clés
PREDICTIVE MODELLING, SIMULATION, TOURNAMENT DESIGN, TEAM HANDBALL