<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<sec><h3>Research background</h3>
<p>Every country attempts to improve its balance of payments (BOP) position to enhance macroeconomic policy. Algeria, like many developing countries, is experiencing a BOP deficit. This raises concerns about the reasons for this deficit and prioritizes the quest for potential answers.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Purpose</h3>
<p>In the context of the Monetary Approach to the balance of payments (MABP), this paper investigates the long-run relationship between domestic credit, inflation, interest rate, GDP, and net foreign assets to find whether BOP is a monetary phenomenon in Algeria from 1980 to 2019.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Research methodology:</h3>
<p>The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test, combined with the critical approximation p-values of Kripfganz and Schneider (2020), has been applied.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Results</h3>
<p>The findings clearly showed a long-run relationship among the variables. The long-run estimates strongly supported MABP propositions, and domestic credit had a negative and statistically significant influence on net foreign assets. This suggests that Algeria’s BOP is a monetary phenomenon, and excess money supply played a crucial role in Algeria’s balance of payments disequilibrium.</p>
</sec>
<sec><h3>Novelty</h3>
<p>The contribution of this paper is the use of the ARDL bounds test in combination with the novel critical approximation <italic>p</italic>-values of Kripfganz and Schneider (2020), which provided more robust results. This study could help monetary authorities to elaborate the suitable policies in dealing with BOP problems in Algeria.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>

Research background
Every country attempts to improve its balance of payments (BOP) position to enhance macroeconomic policy. Algeria, like many developing countries, is experiencing a BOP deficit. This raises concerns about the reasons for this deficit and prioritizes the quest for potential answers.

Purpose
In the context of the Monetary Approach to the balance of payments (MABP), this paper investigates the long-run relationship between domestic credit, inflation, interest rate, GDP, and net foreign assets to find whether BOP is a monetary phenomenon in Algeria from 1980 to 2019.

Research methodology:
The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test, combined with the critical approximation p-values of Kripfganz and Schneider (2020), has been applied.

Results
The findings clearly showed a long-run relationship among the variables. The long-run estimates strongly supported MABP propositions, and domestic credit had a negative and statistically significant influence on net foreign assets. This suggests that Algeria’s BOP is a monetary phenomenon, and excess money supply played a crucial role in Algeria’s balance of payments disequilibrium.

Novelty
The contribution of this paper is the use of the ARDL bounds test in combination with the novel critical approximation p-values of Kripfganz and Schneider (2020), which provided more robust results. This study could help monetary authorities to elaborate the suitable policies in dealing with BOP problems in Algeria.

Balance of Payments as a Monetary Phenomenon: An ARDL Bounds Test Method for Algeria

Department of Economic Science, Marketing and Economic Studies and Research Laboratory (LERME)

Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Research background
Every country attempts to improve its balance of payments (BOP) position to enhance macroeconomic policy. Algeria, like many developing...

Balance of Payments as a Monetary Phenomenon: An ARDL Bounds Test Method for Algeria

Publié en ligne: 09 juin 2023

Pages: 64 - 86

Reçu: 01 déc. 2022

Accepté: 27 mars 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foli-2023-0004

Mots clés
Balance of Payments, Monetary Approach, Algeria, ARDL, Cointegration

© 2023 Azeddine Ghilous et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Balance of Payments as a Monetary Phenomenon: An ARDL Bounds Test Method for Algeria

Publié en ligne: 09 juin 2023

Pages: 64 - 86

Reçu: 01 déc. 2022

Accepté: 27 mars 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foli-2023-0004

Mots clésBalance of Payments, Monetary Approach, Algeria, ARDL, Cointegration

© 2023 Azeddine Ghilous et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Mots clés
Balance of Payments, Monetary Approach, Algeria, ARDL, Cointegration