<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>If there are no heavy sanctions in place to prevent it, the problem of the cancellation of appointments can lead to huge economic losses and can have a significant impact on underutilized resources of healthcare facilities. A good model to predict the appointment cancellations could be an effective solution to this problem. Therefore, a new Bayesian method is proposed to estimate accurately the probability of the cancellation of visits to healthcare institutions based on specific factors such as age. This model uses the regression for binary variables, linking the explanatory variables to the probability of appearance at a previously made appointment with a new weighted function and estimating the parameters with the Bayesian method. The goodness of the new method is demonstrated by applying it to a real case and by comparing it to other methodologies. Therefore, the advantages of the proposed method are exposed and possible real-world applications are described.</p></abstract>

If there are no heavy sanctions in place to prevent it, the problem of the cancellation of appointments can lead to huge economic losses and can have a significant impact on underutilized resources of healthcare facilities. A good model to predict the appointment cancellations could be an effective solution to this problem. Therefore, a new Bayesian method is proposed to estimate accurately the probability of the cancellation of visits to healthcare institutions based on specific factors such as age. This model uses the regression for binary variables, linking the explanatory variables to the probability of appearance at a previously made appointment with a new weighted function and estimating the parameters with the Bayesian method. The goodness of the new method is demonstrated by applying it to a real case and by comparing it to other methodologies. Therefore, the advantages of the proposed method are exposed and possible real-world applications are described.

A new link function for the prediction of binary variables

Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

{"article-title":"A new link function for the prediction of binary variables"}

If there are no heavy sanctions in place to prevent it, the problem of the cancellation of appointments can lead to huge economic losses and can have a...

A new link function for the prediction of binary variables

Publié en ligne: 14 déc. 2018

Pages: 67 - 77

Reçu: 12 juin 2018

Accepté: 25 oct. 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014

Mots clés
Bayesian method, binary variables, cancellation prediction, heath care, link function

© 2018 Gloria Gheno, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

A new link function for the prediction of binary variables

Publié en ligne: 14 déc. 2018

Pages: 67 - 77

Reçu: 12 juin 2018

Accepté: 25 oct. 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014

Mots clésBayesian method, binary variables, cancellation prediction, heath care, link function

© 2018 Gloria Gheno, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Mots clés
Bayesian method, binary variables, cancellation prediction, heath care, link function