Hyperfibrinolysis and the risk of hemorrhage in stable cirrhotic patients

Background: Bleeding is an important complication of cirrhosis. Currently, there is no coagulation test that can reliably predict clinical hemorrhage. However, previous studies demonstrated significant correlations between hyperfibrinolysis and following bleeding in advanced cirrhotic patients. Objectives: Estimate the prevalence of hyperfibrinolysis in cirrhotic patients at stable conditions and to assess its role in predicting subsequent hemorrhage. Methods: The prospective cohort study included 58 consecutive cirrhotic patients at the Liver Clinic, Chulalongkorn Hospital. Assays for liver functions, PT, APTT, fibrinogen, fibrin degradation products (FDPs) and euglobulin lysis time (ELT) were performed at baseline. The subjects were followed-up for 10 months to observe clinical hemorrhage and survival. Results: The mean age was 56.4 years and 47% were male. The etiologies of liver diseases were virus (62.1%), alcohol (24.1%) or unknown (8.6%). Hyperfibrinolysis as reflected by ELT<120 minutes or FDPs>10 μg/mL was present in 32.8% and 74.1%, respectively. Fibrinolytic activity was significantly correlated with platelet counts and coagulation times, but not as much with liver function tests. By 10 months, 13 cases (22.4%) showed hemorrhagic episodes and 7 (12.1%) were expired, including 2 from bleeding. The significant predictors for death were Child class B or C, presence of ascites, hyperbilirubinemia, hypoalbuminemia, and prolonged APTT. However, none of the clinical, biochemical, or hemostatic factors was associated with clinical bleeding. Conclusion: Hyperfibrinolysis is common in cirrhotic outpatients. However, it cannot predict subsequent hemorrhage or survival. Novel hemostatic tests are required to assess the probability of bleeding in this disorder.