<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p> Trend analysis is one of the most commonly used tools for detecting changes in climatic and hydrologic time series. Attempts are devoted to the study of seasonal climatology in Syria, including information on the level of rainfall at various climatic stations in Syria for the period 1991-2009. Wet (from October to May) and dry (June to September) seasonal precipitation are obtained from surface observations. There are numbers of statistical tests that exist to assess the significance of trends in time series. However, the existence of positive autocorrelation in the data increases the probability of detecting trends when actually none exist, and vice versa. Most of the recent studies about climate change suggest that the behavior of some of the climatological variables has already changed and will continue to change towards increasing or decreasing magnitudes and frequencies, depending on the type of variable. Increased rainfall and following floods are expected in some regions while other regions will experience smaller rainfall and longer droughts, meaning water scarcity.</p></abstract>

Trend analysis is one of the most commonly used tools for detecting changes in climatic and hydrologic time series. Attempts are devoted to the study of seasonal climatology in Syria, including information on the level of rainfall at various climatic stations in Syria for the period 1991-2009. Wet (from October to May) and dry (June to September) seasonal precipitation are obtained from surface observations. There are numbers of statistical tests that exist to assess the significance of trends in time series. However, the existence of positive autocorrelation in the data increases the probability of detecting trends when actually none exist, and vice versa. Most of the recent studies about climate change suggest that the behavior of some of the climatological variables has already changed and will continue to change towards increasing or decreasing magnitudes and frequencies, depending on the type of variable. Increased rainfall and following floods are expected in some regions while other regions will experience smaller rainfall and longer droughts, meaning water scarcity.

Recent climate change in Syria: Seasonal rainfall and climatology of Syria for 1991-2009

Selected Scientific Papers - Journal of Civil Engineering

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Trend analysis is one of the most commonly used tools for detecting changes in climatic and hydrologic time series. Attempts are devoted to the study of...

Recent climate change in Syria: Seasonal rainfall and climatology of Syria for 1991-2009

Publié en ligne: 18 janv. 2019

Pages: 77 - 96

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/sspjce-2018-0022

Mots clés
Syria, statistical methods, climatic station, rainfall, precipitations, climate change

© 2019 Ibrahim Alkhalaf, et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Recent climate change in Syria: Seasonal rainfall and climatology of Syria for 1991-2009

Publié en ligne: 18 janv. 2019

Pages: 77 - 96

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/sspjce-2018-0022

Mots clésSyria, statistical methods, climatic station, rainfall, precipitations, climate change

© 2019 Ibrahim Alkhalaf, et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Mots clés
Syria, statistical methods, climatic station, rainfall, precipitations, climate change