<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><sec id="j_sjph-2017-0016_s_005_w2aab2b8c24b1b7b1aab1c15b1Aa"><h3>Introduction</h3><p>In Slovenia, longevity is increasing rapidly. From 1997 to 2014, life expectancy at birth increased by 7 and 5 years for men and women, respectively. This paper explores how this gain in life expectancy at birth can be attributed to reduced mortality from five major groups of causes of death by 5-year age groups. It also estimates potential future gains in life expectancy at birth.</p></sec><sec id="j_sjph-2017-0016_s_006_w2aab2b8c24b1b7b1aab1c15b2Aa"><h3>Methods</h3><p>The importance of the five major causes of death was analysed by cause-elimination life tables. The total elimination of individual causes of death and a partial hypothetical adjustment of mortality to Spanish levels were analysed, along with age and cause decomposition (Pollard).</p></sec><sec id="j_sjph-2017-0016_s_007_w2aab2b8c24b1b7b1aab1c15b3Aa"><h3>Results</h3><p>During the 1997–2014 period, the increase in life expectancy at birth was due to lower mortality from circulatory diseases (ages above 60, both genders), as well as from lower mortality from neoplasms (ages above 50 years) and external causes (between 20 and 50 years) for men. However, considering the potential future gains in life expectancy at birth, by far the strongest effect can be attributed to lower mortality due to circulatory diseases for both genders. If Spanish mortality rates were reached, life expectancy at birth would increase by more than 2 years, again mainly because of lower mortality from circulatory diseases in very old ages.</p></sec><sec id="j_sjph-2017-0016_s_008_w2aab2b8c24b1b7b1aab1c15b4Aa"><h3>Discussion and conclusions</h3><p>Life expectancy analyses can improve evidence-based decision-making and allocation of resources among different prevention programmes and measures for more effective disease management that can also reduce the economic burden of chronic diseases.</p></sec></abstract>

IntroductionIn Slovenia, longevity is increasing rapidly. From 1997 to 2014, life expectancy at birth increased by 7 and 5 years for men and women, respectively. This paper explores how this gain in life expectancy at birth can be attributed to reduced mortality from five major groups of causes of death by 5-year age groups. It also estimates potential future gains in life expectancy at birth.MethodsThe importance of the five major causes of death was analysed by cause-elimination life tables. The total elimination of individual causes of death and a partial hypothetical adjustment of mortality to Spanish levels were analysed, along with age and cause decomposition (Pollard).ResultsDuring the 1997–2014 period, the increase in life expectancy at birth was due to lower mortality from circulatory diseases (ages above 60, both genders), as well as from lower mortality from neoplasms (ages above 50 years) and external causes (between 20 and 50 years) for men. However, considering the potential future gains in life expectancy at birth, by far the strongest effect can be attributed to lower mortality due to circulatory diseases for both genders. If Spanish mortality rates were reached, life expectancy at birth would increase by more than 2 years, again mainly because of lower mortality from circulatory diseases in very old ages.Discussion and conclusionsLife expectancy analyses can improve evidence-based decision-making and allocation of resources among different prevention programmes and measures for more effective disease management that can also reduce the economic burden of chronic diseases.

Longevity in Slovenia: Past and potential gains in life expectancy by age and causes of death

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Economics, Kardeljeva ploscad 17, 1000 Ljubljana,

Slovenian Journal of Public Health

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

DOLGOŽIVOST V SLOVENIJI: PRETEKLO IN PRIHODNJE PODALJŠEVANJE ŽIVLJENJSKEGA PRIČAKOVANJA PO STAROSTI IN VZROKIH SMRTI

IntroductionIn Slovenia, longevity is increasing rapidly. From 1997 to 2014, life expectancy at birth increased by 7 and 5 years for men and women,...

Longevity in Slovenia: Past and potential gains in life expectancy by age and causes of death

Article Category: Original scientific article

Publié en ligne: 26 févr. 2017

Pages: 124 - 130

Reçu: 27 juin 2016

Accepté: 30 déc. 2016

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/sjph-2017-0016

Mots clés
longevity, life tables, mortality, causes of death, cause elimination, age decomposition, potential gains in life expectancy, life expectancy at birth, Slovenia

© National Institute of Public Health, Slovenia

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Longevity in Slovenia: Past and potential gains in life expectancy by age and causes of death

Article Category: Original scientific article

Publié en ligne: 26 févr. 2017

Pages: 124 - 130

Reçu: 27 juin 2016

Accepté: 30 déc. 2016

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/sjph-2017-0016

Mots cléslongevity, life tables, mortality, causes of death, cause elimination, age decomposition, potential gains in life expectancy, life expectancy at birth, Slovenia

© National Institute of Public Health, Slovenia

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Mots clés
longevity, life tables, mortality, causes of death, cause elimination, age decomposition, potential gains in life expectancy, life expectancy at birth, Slovenia