<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>A system dynamics model has been developed for the power sector of Mauritius, which captures a range of complex interactions between the economic, social and environmental aspects of the national economy, with deeper emphasis on the role of energy in these interactions. The model has been validated by replicating the historical trends of key development indicators, and its results were compared to the projections of the national utility company. The validation process shows that the model provides a faithful representation of the actual electricity sector of Mauritius, and can be easily adapted to the use of different assumptions. This paper describes the main characteristics of the model and its results as compared to electricity demand projections carried out by the Central Electricity Board to 2022. The results suggest that further analysis could be done to test alternative low carbon investment scenarios.</p></abstract>

A system dynamics model has been developed for the power sector of Mauritius, which captures a range of complex interactions between the economic, social and environmental aspects of the national economy, with deeper emphasis on the role of energy in these interactions. The model has been validated by replicating the historical trends of key development indicators, and its results were compared to the projections of the national utility company. The validation process shows that the model provides a faithful representation of the actual electricity sector of Mauritius, and can be easily adapted to the use of different assumptions. This paper describes the main characteristics of the model and its results as compared to electricity demand projections carried out by the Central Electricity Board to 2022. The results suggest that further analysis could be done to test alternative low carbon investment scenarios.

System Dynamics Modelling of the Power Sector in Mauritius

Centre for Systemic Planning, 74 Societe La Fleche, La Gaulette, Mauritius

ELIA – Ecological Living in Action, 74 Societe La Fleche, La Gaulette, Mauritius

KnowlEdge Srl, 35, via Col Di Lana, Castellanza 21053, Italy

Environmental and Climate Technologies

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Public License.

{"article-title":"System Dynamics Modelling of the Power Sector in Mauritius"}

A system dynamics model has been developed for the power sector of Mauritius, which captures a range of complex interactions between the economic, social and...

System Dynamics Modelling of the Power Sector in Mauritius

Publié en ligne: 12 févr. 2016

Pages: 20 - 35

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/rtuect-2015-0010

Mots clés
System dynamics, electricity demand forecasting, power sector, Mauritius

© 2015 Riga Technical University

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Public License.

System Dynamics Modelling of the Power Sector in Mauritius

Publié en ligne: 12 févr. 2016

Pages: 20 - 35

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/rtuect-2015-0010

Mots clésSystem dynamics, electricity demand forecasting, power sector, Mauritius

© 2015 Riga Technical University

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Public License.

Mots clés
System dynamics, electricity demand forecasting, power sector, Mauritius