<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>The purpose of this paper is to test hysteresis of the Romanian labour force participation rate, by using time series data, with quarterly frequency, covering the period 1999Q1-2013Q4. The main results reveal that the Romanian labour force participation rate is a nonlinear process and has a partial unit root (i.e. it is stationary in the first regime and non-stationary in the second one), the main breaking point being registered around year 2005. In this context, the value of using unemployment rate as an indicator for capturing joblessness in this country is debatable. Starting from 2005, the participation rate has not followed long-term changes in unemployment rate, the disturbances having permanent effects on labour force participation rate.</p></abstract>

The purpose of this paper is to test hysteresis of the Romanian labour force participation rate, by using time series data, with quarterly frequency, covering the period 1999Q1-2013Q4. The main results reveal that the Romanian labour force participation rate is a nonlinear process and has a partial unit root (i.e. it is stationary in the first regime and non-stationary in the second one), the main breaking point being registered around year 2005. In this context, the value of using unemployment rate as an indicator for capturing joblessness in this country is debatable. Starting from 2005, the participation rate has not followed long-term changes in unemployment rate, the disturbances having permanent effects on labour force participation rate.

Is the Labour Force Participation Rate Non-Stationary in Romania?

Faculty of Management, IBS Hyderabad, IFHE University, Room No.: Block C- 204, Dontanpalli (Village), Shankerpalli Road, Hyderabad, A.P., Pin: 501203, India, E-mail:

West University of Timisoara, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, 16 J.H. Pestalozzi Street, 300115, Timisoara, Romania, and LEO (Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orléans) UMR7322, Faculté de Droit d'Economie et de Gestion, University of Orléans, Rue de Blois - B.P. 6739, 45067, Orléans, France

Review of Economic Perspectives

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

{"article-title":"Is the Labour Force Participation Rate Non-Stationary in Romania?"}

The purpose of this paper is to test hysteresis of the Romanian labour force participation rate, by using time series data, with quarterly frequency, covering...

Is the Labour Force Participation Rate Non-Stationary in Romania?

Publié en ligne: 29 janv. 2015

Pages: 411 - 426

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/revecp-2015-0007

Mots clés
Labour, Participation, Hysteresis, Process, Nonlinearity, Policy Implications

© 2014 Aviral Kumar Tiwari and Mihai Mutascu

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Is the Labour Force Participation Rate Non-Stationary in Romania?

Publié en ligne: 29 janv. 2015

Pages: 411 - 426

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/revecp-2015-0007

Mots clésLabour, Participation, Hysteresis, Process, Nonlinearity, Policy Implications

© 2014 Aviral Kumar Tiwari and Mihai Mutascu

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Mots clés
Labour, Participation, Hysteresis, Process, Nonlinearity, Policy Implications