<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p> It is extremely important to predict the logistics requirements in a scientific and rational way. However, in recent years, the improvement effect on the prediction method is not very significant and the traditional statistical prediction method has the defects of low precision and poor interpretation of the prediction model, which cannot only guarantee the generalization ability of the prediction model theoretically, but also cannot explain the models effectively. Therefore, in combination with the theories of the spatial economics, industrial economics, and neo-classical economics, taking city of Zhuanghe as the research object, the study identifies the leading industry that can produce a large number of cargoes, and further predicts the static logistics generation of the Zhuanghe and hinterlands. By integrating various factors that can affect the regional logistics requirements, this study established a logistics requirements potential model from the aspect of spatial economic principles, and expanded the way of logistics requirements prediction from the single statistical principles to an new area of special and regional economics.</p></abstract>

It is extremely important to predict the logistics requirements in a scientific and rational way. However, in recent years, the improvement effect on the prediction method is not very significant and the traditional statistical prediction method has the defects of low precision and poor interpretation of the prediction model, which cannot only guarantee the generalization ability of the prediction model theoretically, but also cannot explain the models effectively. Therefore, in combination with the theories of the spatial economics, industrial economics, and neo-classical economics, taking city of Zhuanghe as the research object, the study identifies the leading industry that can produce a large number of cargoes, and further predicts the static logistics generation of the Zhuanghe and hinterlands. By integrating various factors that can affect the regional logistics requirements, this study established a logistics requirements potential model from the aspect of spatial economic principles, and expanded the way of logistics requirements prediction from the single statistical principles to an new area of special and regional economics.

Spatial Economics Model Predicting Transport Volume

Research center of electronic commerce & modern logistics, Xuefu road #10, Dalian economic technological development zone, 116022,

Polish Maritime Research

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

{"article-title":"Spatial Economics Model Predicting Transport Volume"}

It is extremely important to predict the logistics requirements in a scientific and rational way. However, in recent years, the improvement effect on the...

Spatial Economics Model Predicting Transport Volume

Publié en ligne: 16 nov. 2016

Pages: 36 - 43

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/pomr-2016-0044

Mots clés
Spatial economics, Logistics requirements potential model, Regional logistics prediction

© 2016

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Spatial Economics Model Predicting Transport Volume

Publié en ligne: 16 nov. 2016

Pages: 36 - 43

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/pomr-2016-0044

Mots clésSpatial economics, Logistics requirements potential model, Regional logistics prediction

© 2016

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Mots clés
Spatial economics, Logistics requirements potential model, Regional logistics prediction