<abstract xml:lang="en" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>This article is a continuation of a previous one named Fuzzy model use for prediction of the state of emergency of river basin in the case of flash flood (<italic>Janál</italic> &amp; <italic>Starý</italic>, 2009), where the potential applications of fuzzy logic in the field of flash flood forecasting were described. Flash flood forecasting needs a specific approach because of the character of torrential rainfall. Storms are very difficult to forecast in space and time. The hydrological models designed for flash flood prediction have to be able to work with very uncertain input data. Moreover, the models have to be capable of evaluating the level of danger in as short a time as possible because of the highly dynamic character of the modeled process. The fuzzy model described in the previous article was modified into a form usable in operational hydrology and a simulation of its operational application was run using this model. The selected time period for the simulation was the summer of 2009, when numerous flash floods occurred in Czech Republic. The topic of this article is the preparation of the model for practical use and the results of the simulation of its operation.</p></abstract>

This article is a continuation of a previous one named Fuzzy model use for prediction of the state of emergency of river basin in the case of flash flood (Janál & Starý, 2009), where the potential applications of fuzzy logic in the field of flash flood forecasting were described. Flash flood forecasting needs a specific approach because of the character of torrential rainfall. Storms are very difficult to forecast in space and time. The hydrological models designed for flash flood prediction have to be able to work with very uncertain input data. Moreover, the models have to be capable of evaluating the level of danger in as short a time as possible because of the highly dynamic character of the modeled process. The fuzzy model described in the previous article was modified into a form usable in operational hydrology and a simulation of its operational application was run using this model. The selected time period for the simulation was the summer of 2009, when numerous flash floods occurred in Czech Republic. The topic of this article is the preparation of the model for practical use and the results of the simulation of its operation.

Fuzzy Model Used for the Prediction of a State of Emergency for a River Basin in the Case of a Flash Flood - PART 2

Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Brno Regional Office, Kroftova 43, 616 67, Brno, Czech Republic

Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Brno University of Technology, Žižkova 17, 662 37 Brno, Czech Republic

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

This article is a continuation of a previous one named Fuzzy model use for prediction of the state of emergency of river basin in the case of flash flood...

Fuzzy Model Used for the Prediction of a State of Emergency for a River Basin in the Case of a Flash Flood - PART 2

Publicado en línea: 30 ago 2012

Páginas: 162 - 173

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10098-012-0014-3

Palabras clave
fuzzy logika, fuzzy množiny, malá povodí, operativní předpověď

This content is open access.

Fuzzy Model Used for the Prediction of a State of Emergency for a River Basin in the Case of a Flash Flood - PART 2

Publicado en línea: 30 ago 2012

Páginas: 162 - 173

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10098-012-0014-3

Palabras clavefuzzy logika, fuzzy množiny, malá povodí, operativní předpověď

This content is open access.

Palabras clave
fuzzy logika, fuzzy množiny, malá povodí, operativní předpověď