Overoptimism |
Managing overoptimism |
Managing overoptimism |
Managing overoptimism |
Over- or underestimate the frequency of favourable and/ or unfavourable outcomes. |
Develop a willingness to be coached. |
Quality coaching can get you over the water and nearer the target. |
As with golf, if you have a bad experience, you learn and progress. |
(Ashton and Roberts, 2005; Sharot, 2011; Shefrin, 2007). |
Strengthen mental control by conscientiously committing to improvement (Cohen et al., 2006; Hayslip et al., 2010a; Hellstrom, 2009). |
Commit to pre and post shot routines rather than dwelling on the leaderboard. |
To reach the pin, with golf and financial planning, quality advice is critical. |
Belief they are better than they actually are, exaggerate their ability to control events and blame. (Shefrin, 2007; Barber and Odean, 2001; Fischhoff, Slovic and Lichtenstein et al, 1977). |
Manage one’s thinking by planning to reach the target. |
Maintain focus on target rather than focusing on trying to avoid an action. |
Like the successful, wealthy, good golfers know, bad golf cannot be rectified with blame. Instead, operating effectively requires careful analysis of fact prior to making financial decisions. |
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Consider immediate shot in play and impact of decisions from previous play. |
Manage thinking by planning to minimise bad shots and analysis of facts to play effectively. |
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(Baker, Horton and Pearce et al., 2005; Binsch et al., 2009; Hill et al., 2011). |
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Emotional judgements |
Managing emotional judgement |
Managing emotional judgement |
Managing emotional judgement |
Create an illusion of control, believe to have influence over uncontrollable events built from earlier successes. |
Adopt risk-averse behaviours to manage the impact of negative thinking created from prior unwanted outcome. |
Top golfers focus on one shot at a time. To minimise loss, good golfers are more likely to play safe, leaving the ball short of the hole to avoid difficult follow-up putts |
People forget about probabilities. Like golf, better to play safe and putt for par. |
(Montier, 2007; Presson and Benassi, 1996). |
(Forsyth, 2003: Pope and Schweitzer, 2011). |
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