Brain metastases in non-small cell lung cancer: Prevalence, high-risk factors, and overall survival prognosis
Categoría del artículo: Research Article
Publicado en línea: 12 sept 2025
Recibido: 07 feb 2025
Aceptado: 16 jun 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/fco-2024-0011
Palabras clave
© 2025 Lam Van Ngo et al., published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Brain metastases (BM) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) at the time of diagnosis are quite common, occurring in about 10%–20% of cases[1,2]. Risk factors associated with the frequency of BM in NSCLC include non-squamous carcinoma, elevated serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, lymph node metastases (especially metastasis to multiple mediastinal lymph nodes), and
The primary treatments for NSCLC with BM used to be surgery, radiosurgery, and whole-brain radiotherapy. Chemotherapy had limited effectiveness due to the presence of the blood–brain barrier. However, now there are numerous treatment options, and the effectiveness has greatly improved with the emergence of targeted drugs[6].
Although immunotherapy is an emerging option for increasing treatment options in NSCLC, its benefits in BM are unclear and require further study[7,8]. The median overall survival time for patients with BM is approximately 12 months[9]. Factors such as performance status, gene mutation status, and histopathology play an important role in predicting the survival time of NSCLC with BM[9,10].
Overall assessment of BM in NSCLC will assist clinicians in gaining an overview, thereby contributing to diagnosis and treatment strategies. In Vietnam, no comprehensive studies have evaluated this situation thoroughly. Our study aimed to determine the incidence of brain metastasis, evaluate overall survival time, and assess factors influencing these outcomes in the NSCLC population in Vietnam.
This study was conducted at Nghe An Oncology Hospital in Vietnam. The study protocol received approval from the ethics committee of Nghe An Oncology Hospital.
This study included patients over 18 years old diagnosed with NSCLC by histopathology according to World Health Organization (WHO) 2015 standards[11]. Patients were staged according to AJCC 8th edition, 2017[12]. Diagnosis of BM relied on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) or computed tomography (CT) results.
All patients were regularly monitored and assessed following clinical guidelines. This involved documenting the time of death or the date of the last update, as well as the conclusion of the study.
We excluded patients with unidentified histopathology, multiple cancers, or an inaccessible status of brain metastasis at diagnosis.
This is a retrospective observational study evaluating NSCLC patients from June 2019 to June 2023.
The sample size was calculated using the one-proportion estimation formula, ensuring absolute accuracy as recommended by the WHO[14]. We chose a significance level of 0.05, an absolute precision of 0.02, and estimated the brain metastasis rate to be 10.4% (based on a previous study)[1].
We randomly recruited 895 patients who met the criteria for inclusion in the analysis.
The outcome variable of this study was BM (Yes hoặc No). Overall survival (OS) was defined as the time from treatment to death from any cause. Patients alive at the last follow-up or with missing information were censored.
Dependent variables included age group (<60 and ≥60), sex (male and female), histopathology (non-squamous or squamous), performance status (0–1 or 2–4), tumor stage (T1–T2, T3–T4), nodal stage (N0–2, N3), extracranial metastasis (yes or no), tumor size (<3 cm, ≥3 cm), short axis of
Quantitative variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation (SD) for normally distributed data or median with interquartile range (IQR) for non-normally distributed data. Qualitative variables are presented as frequency and percentage (%).
The chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test was used to compare differences between groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess the association of BM with factors. Results are reported as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. The association with factors was evaluated using the Cox regression model. Results are reported as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs.
All analyses were performed using International Business Machine Statistical Package for the Social Sciences 25.0. A
Table 1 presents the characteristics of the study participants. The median age of the study participants was 63 ± 13 years, The majority of patients were male, with non-squamous carcinoma, older than 60 years, and with PS ECOG 0–1. Approximately one-third of cases had positive
Characteristics of patients participating in the study.
Age (years) | |
Median (±IQR) | 63 ± 13 (range: 24–88) |
Age group (years) | |
<60 | 306 (34.2) |
≥60 | 589 (65.8) |
Sex | |
Male | 666 (74.4) |
Female | 229 (25.6) |
Histopathology | |
Squamous carcinoma | 159 (17.8) |
Non-squamous carcinoma | 736 (82.2) |
PS ECOG | |
0–1 | 734 (82.0) |
2–4 | 161 (18.0) |
Tumor stage | |
T1 | 129 (14.4) |
T2 | 192 (21.5) |
T3 | 207 (23.1) |
T4 | 367 (41.0) |
Node stage | |
N0 | 201 (22.5) |
N1 | 30 (3.4) |
N2 | 310 (34.6) |
N3 | 354 (39.6) |
Tumor size (cm) | |
<3 | 217 (24.2) |
≥3 | 678 (75.8) |
Short axis of mediastinal node (cm) | |
<1.5 | 638 (71.3) |
≥1.5 | 257 (28.7) |
Positive | 250 (27.9) |
Negative/unknown | 645 (72.1) |
CEA (ng/ml) | |
<5 | 251 (28.0) |
≥5 | 644 (72.0) |
Extracranial metastasis | |
Yes | 506 (56.5) |
No | 389 (43.5) |
Note: ECOG: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group,
Table 2 shows a brain metastasis prevalence of 13.1%. It is high in non-squamous carcinoma subgroups, lymph node stage N3, short axis of
Prevalence of brain metastases in non-small cell lung cancer according to factors.
(117) 13.1 | - | |
Age group (years) | ||
<60 | 45 (14.7) | 0.347 |
≥60 | 72 (12.2) | |
Sex | ||
Male | 88 (13.2) | 0.910 |
Female | 29 (12.7) | |
Histopathology | ||
Squamous carcinoma | 10 (6.3) | 0.006 |
Non-squamous carcinoma | 107 (14.5) | |
PS ECOG | ||
0–1 | 91 (12.4) | 0.245 |
2–4 | 26 (16.1) | |
Tumor stage | ||
T1–T2 | 40 (12.5) | 0.757 |
T3–T4 | 77 (13.4) | |
Node stage | ||
N0–2 | 51 (9.4) | <0.001 |
N3 | 66 (18.6) | |
Tumor size (cm) | ||
<3 | 25 (11.5) | 0.488 |
≥3 | 92 (13.6) | |
Short axis of mediastinal node (cm) | ||
<1.5 | 73 (11.4) | 0.028 |
≥1.5 | 44 (17.1) | |
Positive | 41 (16.4) | 0.077 |
Negative/unknown | 76 (11.8) | |
CEA (ng/ml) | ||
<5 | 18 (7.2) | 0.001 |
≥5 | 99 (15.4) | |
Extracranial metastasis | ||
Yes | 76 (15.0) | 0.057 |
No | 41 (10.5) |
Note: ECOG: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group,
Table 3 shows the association of BM in NSCLC with several factors: BM are associated with non-squamous carcinoma (OR = 2.04, 95% CI: 1.01–4.14), lymph node stage N3 (OR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.15–2.72), and CEA status ≥5 ng/ml (OR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.05–3.13).
Some factors associated with brain metastases in non-small cell lung cancer: Univariate and multivariate logistic regression.
Crude OR (95% CI) | Adjustment OR (95% CI) | |||
Age group (years) | ||||
<60 | 1.24 (0.83–1.85) | 1.21 (0.80–1.83) | ||
≥60 | 1 | 0.297 | 1 | 0.370 |
Sex | ||||
Male | 1.05 (0.67–1.65) | 1,17 (0.73–1.90) | ||
Female | 1 | 0.832 | 1 | 0.513 |
Histopathology | ||||
Squamous carcinoma | 1 | 1 | ||
Non-squamous carcinoma | 2.53 (1.29–4.97) | 0.007 | 2.04 (1.01–4.14) | 0.049 |
PS ECOG | ||||
0–1 | 1 | 1 | ||
2–4 | 1.36 (0.85–2.18) | 0.202 | 1.51 (0.92–2.50) | 0.102 |
Tumor stage | ||||
T1–T2 | 1 | 1 | ||
T3–T4 | 1.09 (0.72–1.64) | 0.685 | 0.98 (0.62–1.53) | 0.925 |
Node stage | ||||
N0–2 | 1 | 1 | ||
N3 | 2.20 (1.49–3.26) | < 0,001 | 1.77 (1.15–2.72) | 0.009 |
Tumor size (cm) | ||||
<3 | 1 | 1 | ||
≥3 | 1.21 (0.75–1.93) | 0.436 | 1.33 (0.79–2.22) | 0.286 |
Short axis of mediastinal node (cm) | ||||
<1.5 | 1 | 1 | ||
≥1.5 | 1.60 (1.07–2.40) | 0.023 | 1.32 (0.84–2.05) | 0.224 |
Positive | 1.47 (0.97–2.22) | 1.34 (0.85–2.11) | ||
Negative/unknown | 1 | 0.067 | 1 | 0.206 |
CEA (ng/ml) | ||||
<5 | 1 | 1 | ||
≥5 | 2.35 (1.39–3.97) | 0.001 | 1.81 (1.05–3.13) | 0.034 |
Extracranial metastasis | ||||
Yes | 1.50 (1.00–2.25) | 1.11 (0.72–1.71) | ||
No | 1 | 0.050 | 1 | 0.626 |
Note: ECOG: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, OR: odds ratio, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval 95%,
Figure 1 shows the overall survival time for NSCLC patients with and without BM. The median overall survival time of patients with BM was lower than that of patients without BM (15.3 vs. 18.3 months,

Overall survival time for non-small cell lung cancer patients with and without brain metastases: Kaplan–Meier analysis.
Table 4 presents a multivariable Cox regression analysis of the association between overall survival time in patients with brain metastatic NSCLC and various factors. Overall survival time is associated with positive
Association of overall survival time in patients with brain metastases in non-small cell lung cancer with various factors: Multivariable Cox regression analysis.
Age group (years) | ||
<60 | 0.86 (0.50–1.46) | 0.569 |
≥60 | 1 | |
Sex | ||
Male | 0.95 (0.50–1.80) | 0.862 |
Female | 1 | |
Histopathology | ||
Squamous carcinoma | 1 | 0.296 |
Non-squamous carcinoma | 0.63 (0.26–1.50) | |
PS ECOG | ||
0–1 | 0.60 (0.32–1.11) | 0.103 |
2–4 | 1 | |
Tumor stage | ||
T1–T2 | 1 | 0.281 |
T3–T4 | 0.71 (0.38–1.32) | |
Node stage | ||
N0–2 | 1 | 0.262 |
N3 | 0.73 (0.41–1.27) | |
Tumor size (cm) | ||
<3 | 0.71 (0.35–1.43) | 0.332 |
≥3 | 1 | |
Short axis of mediastinal node (cm) | ||
<1.5 | 0.80 (0.48–1.35) | 0.404 |
≥1.5 | 1 | |
Positive | 0.38 (0.20–0.70) | 0.002 |
Negative/unknown | 1 | |
CEA (ng/ml) | ||
<5 | 0.78 (0.34–1.80) | 0.554 |
≥5 | 1 | |
BM lesions | ||
1–3 lesions | 0.56 (0.33–0.96) | 0,036 |
>3 lesions | 1 | |
Size of BM lesions | ||
<3 cm | 1 | 0.996 |
≥3 cm | 0.99 (0.52–1.91) | |
WBRT | ||
Yes | 0.98 (0.55–1.81) | 0.970 |
No | 1 | |
Extracranial metastasis | ||
Yes | 1 | 0.830 |
No | 0.93 (0.51–1.72) |
Note: ECOG: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, HR: hazard ratio, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval,
Figure 2 shows that the median overall survival time is higher in the group with 1–3 BM (19.5 vs. 9.3 months,

Overall survival time of patients with NSCLC with brain metastases in subgroups: Kaplan–Meier analysis, log-rank test.
In Vietnam, this is the first study to evaluate BM in NSCLC. We observed a high prevalence of BM at the time of diagnosis, and it was closely linked to several factors. In addition, BM limit the overall survival time of patients with NSCLC. We also found some prognostic factors for overall survival in this group of patients. Our findings will assist clinicians in gaining a comprehensive perspective on patients with brain metastatic NSCLC during diagnosis and treatment.
The presence of BM was typically detected using CT scan or
In this study, when analyzing univariate and multivariate logistic regression, we found that BM are closely associated with non-squamous carcinoma, lymph node stage N3, and serum CEA status ≥5 ng/ml. In an analysis from the US National Cancer database, factors such as younger age, glandular and large cell histology, histological grade >II, tumor size >3 cm, and lymph node positivity were associated with BM in NSCLC[1]. In addition, distant metastases to the liver/bone/lymph nodes, tumor stage, and higher node stage also showed a higher likelihood of BM[16]. Lesion diameter >5.505 cm, calcium concentration >2.295 mmol/l, and CEA >11.160 ng/ml are also prognostic factors for this condition[4]. In Mexico, age, serum CEA, and genetic mutation status are recognized as high-risk factors for BM[17]. Previous studies indicate a high incidence of BM in patients with positive
BM are a factor that affects the quality of life as well as the overall survival of patients with NSCLC. Our study found that the median overall survival time in the group of patients with BM was lower than in those without BM (15.3 vs. 18.3 months,
When analyzing multivariable Cox regression, we noted a benefit in overall survival time in patients with BM with
The limitations of this study include its retrospective design and the fact that it was conducted at a single center. The collection of data, particularly regarding the smoking variable, was somewhat affected. Limited resources may have resulted in some patients lacking access to new treatment options, such as targeted therapies and immunotherapy, which could influence the results. Nevertheless, this study provides valuable information on the treatment of NSCLC in Vietnam. Future research should aim to evaluate the effectiveness of new medications, like targeted therapies and immunotherapy, specifically for patients with NSCLC who have BM.
Our study indicates a high prevalence of BM in NSCLC in Vietnam. The application of new treatment methods has improved treatment effectiveness.
This study offers an overview of BM in NSCLC, aiming to enhance diagnostic and treatment effectiveness in real-life settings in Vietnam.