<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Poland is responsible for 9% of CO<sub>2</sub> emission in the European Union (EU), making it the fifth biggest emitter in the region. The energy sector is dominated by electricity produced from coal (around 70%). The country currently uses massive subsidies to boost the coal sector. We propose a dynamic intertemporal hybrid general equilibrium model to simulate the economic effects of sector regulations and new policy targets within environmental taxation scenarios, by accounting for a complex set of linkages between the energy sector and other components of the economy. Our simulation results suggest that positive economic growth is possible with a realistic energy mix, but it will not offer considerable emission reduction, as required by the European Commission. In the short-time horizon, the best choice is renewable energy sources indicated by less capital-intensive technologies (such as biomass). In the long-time horizon, more capital-intensive technologies (such as wind turbines) will be a better choice for economic growth. Carbon tax plays a crucial role in optimal energy mix targets, since its elimination ceteris paribus implies negative economic growth.</p>
</abstract>

Poland is responsible for 9% of CO2 emission in the European Union (EU), making it the fifth biggest emitter in the region. The energy sector is dominated by electricity produced from coal (around 70%). The country currently uses massive subsidies to boost the coal sector. We propose a dynamic intertemporal hybrid general equilibrium model to simulate the economic effects of sector regulations and new policy targets within environmental taxation scenarios, by accounting for a complex set of linkages between the energy sector and other components of the economy. Our simulation results suggest that positive economic growth is possible with a realistic energy mix, but it will not offer considerable emission reduction, as required by the European Commission. In the short-time horizon, the best choice is renewable energy sources indicated by less capital-intensive technologies (such as biomass). In the long-time horizon, more capital-intensive technologies (such as wind turbines) will be a better choice for economic growth. Carbon tax plays a crucial role in optimal energy mix targets, since its elimination ceteris paribus implies negative economic growth.

Economic Dynamic Modelling of Climate Policy in Poland

Central European Economic Journal

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Economic Dynamic Modelling of Climate Policy in Poland"}

Poland is responsible for 9% of CO2 emission in the European Union (EU), making it the fifth biggest emitter in the region. The energy sector is dominated by...

Scenarios	CO₂ tax	Coal-based electricity production	No restrictions for other energy resources	Other energy mix restrictions
BAU	Yes	No limits (coal = 91%)	Yes	No(gas = 3%oil = 2%biomass = 2%hydro = 1%wind = 0.3%other = 0.9%)
Coal	Yes	Fixed at the 2019 level	Yes	No
coal_0	No	Fixed at the 2019 level	Yes	No
mix_biomass	Yes	Exogenous decrease in 2024 and 2030	No	Exogenous increase of biomass-based electricity to reach 23% in 2030
mix_wind	Yes	Exogenous decrease in 2024 and 2030	No	Exogenous increase of wind-based electricity to reach 23% in 2030

Economic Dynamic Modelling of Climate Policy in Poland

Publicado en línea: 20 ago 2021

Páginas: 246 - 255

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ceej-2021-0018

Palabras clave
computable general equilibrium modelling, decarbonization, energy technologies

© 2021 Olga Kiuila et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Figure 1

Figure 2

Selected scenarios

Economic Dynamic Modelling of Climate Policy in Poland

Publicado en línea: 20 ago 2021

Páginas: 246 - 255

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ceej-2021-0018

Palabras clavecomputable general equilibrium modelling, decarbonization, energy technologies

© 2021 Olga Kiuila et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Figure 1

Figure 2

Selected scenarios

Palabras clave
computable general equilibrium modelling, decarbonization, energy technologies