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Determinants of foreign direct investment from EU-15 Countries in Poland


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Full sample estimates for the period 1996–2015

Explanatory variable(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
H-DIFF0.239*** (3.20)0.030 (0.34)0.048 (0.56)0.083 (1.22)−0.003 (0.04)0.015 (0.22)
K-DIFF−1.088*** (5.43)0.007 (0.03)−0.001 (0.01)−0.507* (1.80)−0.253 (0.89)−0.293 (1.04)
SDI3.891*** (6.28)1.075** (1.97)1.151** (2.12)2.477*** (3.37)0.121 (0.28)0.178 (0.41)
SUM6.997*** (21.95)4.803*** (15.68)4.820*** (15.83)5.365*** (5.07)1.778*** (4.34)1.760*** (4.34)
DISTANCE−1.416** (2.25)−1.453*** (2.69)
Constant−73.259*** (25.49)−58.936*** (19.28)−48.966*** (9.06)−59.540*** (4.12)−13.737** (2.01)−2.628 (0.33)
Time-specific effectsNoNoNoYesYesYes
Country-specific effectsFixedRandomRandomFixedRandomRandom
Overall R20.1880.2750.3370.2610.4930.596
Within R20.7650.7240.7260.8410.8330.833
Between R20.1540.2190.3070.1770.2490.426
F-test for country-specific effects (p-val)83.66 (0.000)77.25 (0.000)
LM test for country-specific effects (p-val)732.41 (0.000)710.56 (0.000)1002.34 (0.000)1029.34 (0.000)
Hausman test (p-val)5600.25 (0.000)1110.73 (0.000)6.37 (0.999)10.94 (0.983)

Limited sample estimates for the pre-accession period 1996–2004

Explanatory variable(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
H-DIFF0.235 (0.87)−0.033 (0.12)−0.148 (0.59)0.308 (1.21)0.055 (0.24)−0.027 (0.13)
K-DIFF−1.437 (1.37)−3.946*** (4.80)−4.923*** (6.54)−1.084 (0.94)−0.915 (0.96)−1.731* (1.97)
SDI−0.683 (0.33)−0.619 (0.61)−0.743 (0.96)−1.104 (0.56)−0.642 (0.70)−0.512 (0.75)
SUM7.185*** (7.56)3.975*** (6.05)2.879*** (5.90)7.308*** (2.63)1.817*** (2.70)1.554*** (3.21)
DISTANCE−2.720*** (3.93)--−2.140*** (3.42)
Constant−76.606*** (3.06)−2.609 (0.16)43.076*** (2.73)−82.267* (1.92)−7.431 (0.49)20.986 (1.41)
Time-specific effectsNoNoNoYesYesYes
Country-specific effectsFixedRandomRandomFixedRandomRandom
Overall R20.2640.2840.5540.2650.3740.641
Within R20.6960.6640.6280.7500.7380.734
Between R20.2620.2610.5770.2590.2640.611
F-test for country-specific effects (p-val)52.39 (0.000)51.42 (0.000)
LM test for country-specific effects (p-val)252.63 (0.000)136.16 (0.000)350.36 (0.000)214.43 (0.000)
Hausman test (p-val)228.51 (0.000)87.88 (0.000)12.64 (0.396)17.28 (0.139)

Limited sample estimates for the post-accession period 2005–2015

Explanatory variable(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
H-DIFF0.012 (0.17)–0.024 (0.36)–0.009 (0.14)–0.029 (0.46)–0.030 (0.46)–0.018 (0.29)
K-DIFF0.354 (1.17)0.405* (1.80)0.425* (1.89)–0.646* (1.75)–0.542 (1.44)–0.520 (1.40)
SDI1.596** (2.45)0.594 (1.23)0.688 (1.41)–0.076 (0.09)0.469 (1.00)0.539 (1.14)
SUM1.232** (1.97)0.994** (2.55)0.985** (2.49)–1.974 (1.39)0.556 (1.13)0.516 (1.03)
DISTANCE–1.205* (1.89)–1.115* (1.73)
Constant–11.711** (2.13)–10.050*** (2.64)–1.535 (0.26)45.004* (2.12)6.925 (0.82)16.065 (1.62)
Time-specific effectsNoNoNoYesYesYes
Country-specific effectsFixedRandomRandomFixedRandomRandom
Overall R20.0450.1290.2370.1190.1350.223
Within R20.2400.2260.2290.4090.3870.390
Between R20.0370.1190.2380.1910.1120.206
F-test for country-specific effects (p-val)65.49 (0.000)74.82 (0.000)
LM test for country-specific effects (p-val)367.39 (0.000)404.82 (0.000)398.08 (0.000)430.19 (0.000)
Hausman test (p-val)1.85 (0.763)3.29 (0.510)9.26 (0.814)8.48 (0.863)

Definitions and summary statistics of explanatory variables

Explanatory variableDefinitionMeanStd. dev.MinMax
H-DIFFHuman capital per worker difference0.2600.4080.0010.900
K-DIFFCapital per worker difference20,0143.40072,901.28085,208.190421,443.300
SDIHelpman’s size dispersion index0.3770.0970.0920.500
SUMSum of parent country and Poland’s GDPs1,543,024.000979,411.400439,640.9004,678,112.000
DISTANCEGeographic distance of each parent country’s capital city from Warsaw1292.267609.9815152756

Correlations between explanatory variables

VariableH-DIFFK-DIFFSDIGDPSUMDISTANCE
H-DIFF1–0.193–0.0060.2650.599
K-DIFF1–0.1260.155–0.041
SDI1–0.1000.117
SUM1–0.085
DISTANCE1
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