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Smart Analysis of Tourism Policy Efficiency in Bulgaria for the Period 1980-2017

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<DIV align=justify> The purpose of this study is to determine the role of tourism in the economy of Bulgaria. In this paper, we present the history of the Bulgarian tourism industry trends from the beginning to its contemporary policy patterns. We apply an econometric methodology consisting of unit root test, cointegration analysis, linear regression, correlation analysis, Granger causality test and 3-D visualizations by IBM Watson Studio based on the statistics for the period 1980-2017. Exploring the link between tourism and the economic development of Bulgaria, the tourism – led - growth hypothesis about Bulgaria is validated for the post-communism period. Our findings show that a relationship between tourism and Bulgaria’s economic development exists. We can conclude that tourism is in part an endogenous growth process.

INTRODUCTION

INTRODUCTION

Frontmatter

{"title":{"xml:lang":"en","content":"Frontmatter"}}

Contents

{"title":{"xml:lang":"en","content":"Contents"}}

{"title":{"xml:lang":"en","content":"INTRODUCTION"}}

CHAPTER ONE: The history of the Bulgarian tourism industry and its trends

CHAPTER ONE: The history of the Bulgarian tourism industry and its trends

CHAPTER TWO: EMPIRICAL COMPARISON OF BULGARIAN TOURISM FOR THE PERIOD 1980-2017

CHAPTER TWO: EMPIRICAL COMPARISON OF BULGARIAN TOURISM FOR THE PERIOD 1980-2017

CONCLUSION

{"title":{"xml:lang":"en","content":"CONCLUSION"}}

REFERENCES

{"title":{"xml:lang":"en","content":"REFERENCES"}}

Appendix 1. The dynamics of the variables for the first period (1980- 1989)

Appendix 1. The dynamics of the variables for the first period (1980- 1989)

Appendix 2. The dynamics of the variables for the second period (1990- 2017)

Appendix 2. The dynamics of the variables for the second period (1990- 2017)

Dr Ivanka Vasenska: SWU "Neofit Rilski", email: <A href="mailto:ivankav@abv.bg">ivankav@abv.bg</A> Dr Ani Stoykova: SWU "Neofit Rilski", email: <A href="mailto:ani_qankova_st@abv.bg">ani_qankova_st@abv.bg</A> Dr Mariya Paskaleva: SWU "Neofit Rilski", email: <A href="mailto:m.gergova@abv.bg">m.gergova@abv.bg</A>

 The purpose of this study is to determine the role of tourism in the economy of Bulgaria. In this paper, we present the history of the Bulgarian tourism industry trends from the beginning to its contemporary policy patterns. We apply an econometric methodology consisting of unit root test, cointegration analysis, linear regression, correlation analysis, Granger causality test and 3-D visualizations by IBM Watson Studio based on the statistics for the period 1980-2017.

 The purpose of this study is to determine the role of tourism in the economy of Bulgaria. In this paper, we present the history of the...

INTRODUCTION - Smart Analysis of Tourism Policy Efficiency...

Title

INTRODUCTION

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