<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The paper studies the effects of foreign (the US, the UK and the Chinese) and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on unemployment in Germany, France, Italy and Spain. The analysis is run separately for the rates of adult and youth unemployment. Impulse responses derived from vector autoregressive models show that the magnitudes of the responses of the adult and youth segments of the labour market are quite different. Following an uncertainty shock, the youth unemployment rate increases significantly more than the adult unemployment rate. This is the case for France, Italy and Spain. The German labour market seems to be resistant to foreign (except Chinese) and domestic EPU shocks, while the remaining labour markets, foremost the Spanish and Italian ones, are susceptible to uncertainty shocks, especially to the US EPU shocks.</p>
</abstract>

The paper studies the effects of foreign (the US, the UK and the Chinese) and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on unemployment in Germany, France, Italy and Spain. The analysis is run separately for the rates of adult and youth unemployment. Impulse responses derived from vector autoregressive models show that the magnitudes of the responses of the adult and youth segments of the labour market are quite different. Following an uncertainty shock, the youth unemployment rate increases significantly more than the adult unemployment rate. This is the case for France, Italy and Spain. The German labour market seems to be resistant to foreign (except Chinese) and domestic EPU shocks, while the remaining labour markets, foremost the Spanish and Italian ones, are susceptible to uncertainty shocks, especially to the US EPU shocks.

Spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on adult and youth unemployment

Review of Economic Perspectives

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

{"article-title":"Spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on adult and youth unemployment"}

The paper studies the effects of foreign (the US, the UK and the Chinese) and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on unemployment in Germany,...

Spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on adult and youth unemployment

Online veröffentlicht: 08. März 2023

Seitenbereich: 47 - 70

Eingereicht: 27. Sept. 2022

Akzeptiert: 03. Feb. 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2023-0001

Schlüsselwörter
Economic policy uncertainty, youth unemployment, adult unemployment, spillover effects, impulse responses

© 2023 Silvo Dajčman et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on adult and youth unemployment

Online veröffentlicht: 08. März 2023

Seitenbereich: 47 - 70

Eingereicht: 27. Sept. 2022

Akzeptiert: 03. Feb. 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2023-0001

SchlüsselwörterEconomic policy uncertainty, youth unemployment, adult unemployment, spillover effects, impulse responses

© 2023 Silvo Dajčman et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Schlüsselwörter
Economic policy uncertainty, youth unemployment, adult unemployment, spillover effects, impulse responses